by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 18, 2021
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue: Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Florida -9, Missouri +9; Over/Under: 69.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Florida -9, Missouri +9; Over/Under: 69 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Florida -8.5, Missouri +8.5; Over/Under: 69.5 points
Season Record
Florida Gators: 5-5 (5th place, SEC East)
Missouri Tigers: 5-5 (4th place, SEC East)
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Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Florida Gators: won at home on Nov. 13 against the Samford Bulldogs 70-52.
Missouri Tigers: won at home on Nov. 13 against the South Carolina Gamecocks 31-28.
Florida Gators Analysis
Florida is coming into this game with a 5-5 record overall and they are 1-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup this year and they are currently 2-5 in their conference games this season. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 3 game losing streak that they were on. Emory Jones had a great game as he completed 28/34 passes for 464 yards and 6 touchdowns. Jones also led the team in rushing with 86 yards and 1 touchdown on 10 carries while Dameon Pierce and Malik Davis both ran in TDs in that game, Pierce with 2 and Davis with 1. Kemore Gamble had a nice day as he led the receivers with 122 yards and 2 touchdowns on 6 receptions while Justin Shorter had 93 yards on 6 receptions. Davis, Nay'Quan Wright, Pierce, and Ja'Markis Weston all caught the other touchdown passes in that one with 1 each. Rashad Torrence II led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted ones. Brenton Cox led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 335 points in their 10 games this season averaging 33.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 274 points against them allowing 27.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 492.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 371.2 YPG.
Missouri Tigers Analysis
Missouri is coming into this game with a 5-5 record overall and they are 4-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 2-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and they are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Connor Bazelak played alright in their last game but he also struggled at times as he completed 15/23 passes for 180 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Tyler Badie had a very nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 209 yards and 1 touchdown on 34 carries. Mookie Cooper led the receivers with 72 yards and 1 touchdown on 3 receptions while Daniel Parker caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Jaylon Carlies led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles. Isaiah McGuire, Martez Manuel, and Akial Byers all recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while Kris Abrams-Draine came up with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 315 points in their 10 games this season averaging 31.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 359 points against them allowing 35.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 434.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 455.9 YPG.
Florida vs Missouri Prediction
Missouri is coming into this game as a 9 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Missouri has been playing much better recently with 2 wins in their last 3 games, both against conference opponents. Florida has not been playing well recently on a big losing streak in the conference right now. Florida won their last game but that was against a team from the FCS, they did score 70 points in that game as well, but they also allowed Samford to score 52 points against them. There are too many problems going on with Florida as the season is coming to an end and they only find themselves in contention for a bowl game. The best bet to place in this game is on Missouri to cover the spread here and keep this a close one.
Florida Missouri Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Florida 30 Missouri 23.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Florida Gators: 34-39 O/U as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 148-154 O/U in all games. 109-118 O/U as a favorite. 49-54 O/U in road games. 104-107 O/U against conference opponents.
Missouri Tigers: 117-128 O/U in all games. 54-65 O/U in home games. 77-90 O/U against conference opponents. 78-86 O/U after playing a conference game.
Key Injuries
Florida Gators: E. White (OL) Ques Sat - Ankle injury. V. Miller (LB) out for season - Bicep injury. J. Hill (CB) out for season - Knee injury.
Missouri Tigers: S. Robinson (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. I. Burdine (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. C. Cook (OL) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
"Calling a win disappointing is disrespectful to the game and our players." - Dan Mullen on his team’s win against an FCS opponents where they allowed 52 points in that game.
"He's tough as nails. If there's a better running back in our conference, I'd like to see him." - Eli Drinkwitz on the performance of Tyler Badie in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Florida Gators
WR Jacob Copeland
WR Shorter, Justin
WR Whittemore, Trent
TE Gamble, Kemore
QB Jones, Emory
RB Pierce, Dameon
Missouri Tigers
WR Dove, Tauskie
WR Chism, Keke
WR Banister, Barrett
TE Parker Jr., Daniel
QB Bazelak, Connor
RB Badie, Tyler
Statistical Leaders
Florida Gators
Passing: E. Jones (2138)
Rushing: E. Jones (628)
Receiving: Receiving: J. Copeland (473)
Touchdowns: D. Pierce (10)
Missouri Tigers
Passing: C. Bazelak (2310)
Rushing: T. Badie (1247)
Receiving: T. Dove (470)
Touchdowns: T. Badie (12)
Coaches:
Florida Gators: Dan Mullen (4th season)
Missouri Tigers: Eli Drinkwitz (2nd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
