by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Mar 04, 2025
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 5, 2025
Venue: Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Florida +2.5, Alabama -2.5; Over/Under: 177.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Florida +2.5, Alabama -2.5; Over/Under: 177.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Florida +2.5, Alabama -2.5; Over/Under: 177.5 points
Season Record
Florida Gators: 25-4 (12-4) (2nd place, SEC)
Alabama Crimson Tide: 23-6 (12-4) (3rd place, SEC)
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Recent Form
Florida Gators: 4-1 last 5
Alabama Crimson Tide: 2-3 last 5
Florida Gators vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview and Analysis
Florida is entering this game with a 25-4 record overall, a 12-4 record in conference games, and they are 6-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game. Will Richard led the team in points in that game with 25 while Thomas Haugh was next on the team with 17. Walter Clayton Jr. and Alex Condon each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Alex Condon led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 47.8% from the field, 42.4% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.2 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 21-8 this season and their O/U record is 12-17.
Alabama is entering this game with a 23-6 record overall, a 12-4 conference record, and they are 12-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Tennessee Volunteers in their last game. Mark Sears led the team in points in that game with 24 while Labaron Philon was next on the team with 13. Mark Sears and Labaron Philon each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Grant Nelson led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 41.7% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 65.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 91 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 80.1 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 17-12 this season and their O/U record is 15-13-1.
Florida vs Alabama Prediction
The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has looked really good in their games this season with their 23-6 record overall and their 12-4 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They are ranked like one of the best teams in the nation and they have been great on their home court with their 12-2 home record this season. Meanwhile, Florida has also looked really good in their games this season with their 25-4 record overall and their 12-4 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They are also ranked like one of the best teams in the nation and have been a good road team with their 6-3 road record this year. Florida is coming into this one as the hotter team since they are 4-1 in their last 5 games and coming off a win over Texas A&M in their last one. Alabama hasn't looked great lately, going 2-3 in their last 5 games and they are coming off a tight loss to Tennessee in their last one, but all of their losses lately have been in road games too. Alabama is going to be desperate to bounce back at home after a tight road loss to a top 5 team when they were in a position to win that game. Florida has a lot of impressive wins and is still trying to prove that they are worthy of a number 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, but this is a desperate situation for Alabama and they will bring their best effort here to beat a team like Florida. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game.
Florida Alabama Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, March 5, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 93 Florida 89.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Florida Gators: 15-3 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 23-13 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 12-6 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 21-14 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.
Alabama Crimson Tide: 2-5 ATS in a home game where the total is 170 or more. 1-5 1H ATS in a home game where the total is 170 or more. 8-3 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 15-4 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 20-11 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%).
Key Injuries
Florida Gators: S. Alexis (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. O. Rioux (C) Out - Redshirt.
Alabama Crimson Tide: D. Reid (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Mallette (G) Questionable - Knee. L. Wrightsell (G) Out - Achilles. N. Cunningham (F) Out - Redshirt.
Notable Quotes
"Obviously Auburn is gonna win the league by themselves, what they’ve done this year. It’s incredible. But we have a chance to go into Tuscaloosa on Wednesday and if we win that game, then we’re in the driver’s seat to get second place. So we have a lot on the line left." - Todd Golden on this upcoming game against Alabama on Wednesday.
"I'm going to take most of the blame. In the last 30 seconds, it's on me. We subbed our bigs out before I should have. I shouldn't have subbed them out until after we secured the rebound. So that was on me, and then I had a chance to call a timeout (on the inbounds play), and at four, I should've called it, I thought we were getting it in. That's on me, and we probably could've had better guys in, been a little smaller at the end." - Nate Oats after his team’s loss against Tennessee in their game on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
Florida Gators
R. Chinyelu
W. Clayton
A. Condon
A. Martin
W. Richard
Alabama Crimson Tide
G. Nelson
C. Omoruyi
L. Philon
M. Sears
J. Stevenson
Statistical Leaders
Florida Gators
PPG: W. Clayton (16.9)
APG: W. Clayton (4)
Reb/G: A. Condon (7.7)
Alabama Crimson Tide
PPG: M. Sears (19.1)
APG: M. Sears (5)
Reb/G: G. Nelson (8)
Coaches:
Florida Gators: Todd Golden (3rd season)
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
