Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/12/2023

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, May 12, 2023

Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Oilers -130, Golden Knights +110; Over/Under:  7 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Oilers -130, Golden Knights +110; Over/Under:  7 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Oilers -130, Golden Knights +110; Over/Under:  7 goals

Edmonton Oilers:  50-23-9 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

Vegas Golden Knights:  51-22-9 (1st place, Pacific Division)

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Edmonton Oilers:  6-2-2 last 10

Vegas Golden Knights:  7-3-0 last 10

The Oilers are entering this game finishing the regular season with 109 points, a 50-23-9 record overall, and they were 27-11-3 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Nick Bjugstad, Evan Bouchard, and Mattias Ekholm each scored 1 goal in that game. Connor McDavid led the team in assists with 2 while Connor McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, and Zach Hyman each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 26 shots with 25 saves and a .962 save percentage. Their offense has scored 325 goals this season averaging 4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 260 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The Golden Knights are entering this game finishing the regular season with 111 points, a 51-22-9 record overall, and they were 25-15-1 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-1. Nicolas Roy scored the only goal for them in that game. William Carrier and Shea Theodore each led the team in assists with 1 while Jonathan Marchessault led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 33 shots with 29 saves and a .879 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 272 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 229 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7-game series between the Oilers and the Golden Knights for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 2-2 after the Oilers stole back game 4 on the road. This series has gone back and forth with Vegas taking the lead twice and the Oilers evening up the series twice. Both teams have responded to their losses in this series in the next game right after and this game is not going to be any different. The Golden Knights were the number 1 seed in the West during the regular season yet they still find themselves as underdogs at home and after they have even taken 2 leads in this series already. The Oilers are a really good team but they have big defensive issues as they give up a ton of goals in their games and that is what will keep the Golden Knights in this game with a chance to win. The Golden Knights have an offense just as potent as the Oilers do but their defensive play has been a lot better and now that they are really thin at the goalie position, they will make sure they play extra hard on defense and block as many shots and scoring chances as they can. The Golden Knights will dig in defensively here at home to take a series lead once again and put themselves in a position to end it in Edmonton. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game and take a 3-2 series lead.

Oilers Golden Knights Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, May 12, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Golden Knights 6 Oilers 3.

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Edmonton Oilers: 20-18 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline after a win by 2 goals or more. 28-25 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game. 21-9 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders. 45-24 OVER off a home win.

Vegas Golden Knights: 57-34 (+14.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-16 (+11.1 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive unders. 14-7 OVER after playing 2 consecutive road games. 11-5 OVER revenging a road blowout loss versus an opponent by 3 goals or more. 

Edmonton Oilers:  R. Murray (D) Mid May - Back.

Vegas Golden Knights:  L. Brossoit (G) Ques Thurs - Lower Body. L. Thompson (G) Mid May - Lower Body. N. Patrick (C) out for season - Upper Body. R. Lehner (G) out for season - Hip.

“We put ourselves in a bad spot early. Managing the puck, staying out of the box … we didn’t do either of those in the first period well enough. You start chasing the game and now they’re excited and they’re thinking ‘We’re going to bounce back’ and they get to their game.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s loss against the Oilers in their game on Wednesday, game 4 of this series.

“We think when we’re at our best, we are a very tough team to handle. I’ve seen it so far in two of the four games. The challenge is going to be to put them together back to back and win a game in a tough building.” - Jay Woodcroft after his team’s win against the Golden Knights in their game on Wednesday, game 4 of this series. 

LW Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan

C McDavid, Connor

RW Hyman, Zach

LD Nurse, Darnell

RD Ceci, Cody

G Skinner, Stuart

LW Barbashev, Ivan

C Eichel, Jack

RW Marchessault, Jonathan

LD Martinez, Alec

RD Pietrangelo, Alex

G Hill, Adin

Points: C. McDavid (153)

Goals: C. McDavid (64)

Assists: C. McDavid (89)

GAA: S. Skinner (2.75)

Points: J. Eichel (66)

Goals: J. Marchessault (28)

Assists: C. Stephenson (49)

GAA: L. Brossoit (2.17)

Coaches:

Edmonton Oilers: Jay Woodcroft (2nd season)

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (1st season)