Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/25/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Feb 24, 2025
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, February 25, 2025
Venue:  Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
Where to Watch:  ESPN+, Hulu, Disney+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Oilers -115, Lightning -105; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Oilers -115, Lightning -105; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Oilers -115, Lightning -105; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Edmonton Oilers:  34-19-4 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
Tampa Bay Lightning:  32-20-4 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Edmonton Oilers:  5-4-1 last 10
Tampa Bay Lightning:  7-2-1 last 10



Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Preview and Analysis


The Oilers are entering this game with 72 points, a 34-19-4 record overall, and they are 16-9-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Washington Capitals in their last game, losing that one on the road 7-3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Leon Draisaitl, and Jeff Skinner each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Viktor Arvidsson, Zach Hyman, and Connor McDavid each led the team in assists with 1 while Evan Bouchard led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Calvin Pickard was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 6 goals on 33 shots with 27 saves and a .818 save percentage. Their offense has scored 188 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 165 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


The Lightning are entering this game with 68 points, a 32-20-4 record overall, and they are 19-7-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Seattle Kraken in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1. Brandon Hagel, Luke Glendening, Nikita Kucherov, and Nicholas Paul each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Brandon Hagel, Cameron Atkinson, Anthony Cirelli, Michael Eyssimont, Emil Lilleberg, Ryan McDonagh, and Brayden Point each led the team in assists with 1 while Nikita Kucherov and Zemgus Girgensons each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 37 shots with 36 saves and a .973 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 201 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 154 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.


Oilers vs Lightning Prediction

The current betting odds have the Lightning listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lightning have looked good in their games this season with their 32-20-4 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot at the moment. They have looked great on home ice this season with their 19-7-2 home record, and they have also been hot lately. Meanwhile, the Oilers have looked really good in their games this season with their 34-19-4 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the West and in a playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 16-9-2 road record, but they haven't looked that good lately. They are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games and they have lost 2 games in a row now coming out of the All-Star break. Both losses were by multiple goals too, coming off a 7-3 loss to the Capitals in their last one. McDavid hit an all-time high in the 4 Nations Tournament after scoring the OT winner in the Final against USA, but he hasn't recovered well from that tournament as the Oilers have come out of the break slumping. Now they face a red hot Lightning team that has looked solid at home all season and has been really hot in their games lately. The Lightning are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row now. The Lightning can take advantage of a slumping Oilers team that has been giving up a ton of goals since coming back from the break. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lightning to win this game. 

Oilers Lightning Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, February 25, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Lightning 5 Oilers 3.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert hockey picks today. And if you enjoyed this Edmonton Oilers Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NHL predictions and previews.

NHL Betting Trends


Edmonton Oilers: 55-42 (-18.4 units) on the moneyline as a road favorite. 11-12 (-11.6 units) on the moneyline after allowing 6 goals or more. 78-64 (-10.2 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 20-13 OVER off a road blowout loss by 3 goals or more.

Tampa Bay Lightning: 25-11 (+12 units) on the moneyline at home when the money line is -100 to -150. 68-44 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 25-15 (+4.5 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 82-56 OVER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game.

Key Injuries


Edmonton Oilers:  E. Kane (LW) Out - Knee. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.

Tampa Bay Lightning:  J. Johansson (G) Day To Day - Lower Body. N. Kucherov (RW) Day To Day - Upper Body.


Notable Quotes


“Everybody’s just got to be a little bit better. Whether that’s on our backchecks, our breakouts, our passing, our penalty kill — everything could be a little bit better.” - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s loss against the Capitals in their game on Sunday.


“If there’s one guy that needs or one position player that needs the rest, it’s the goalie. I was glad he got the break. And you can see tonight he was really dialed in.” - Jon Cooper after his team’s win against the Kraken in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Edmonton Oilers
LW Vasily Podkolzin
C Connor McDavid
RW Kasperi Kapanen
LD Mattias Ekholm
RD Evan Bouchard
G Calvin Pickard

Tampa Bay Lightning
LW Jake Guentzel
C Brayden Point
RW Nikita Kucherov
LD Victor Hedman
RD Janis Jérôme Moser
G Andrei Vasilevskiy

Statistical Leaders


Edmonton Oilers
Points: L. Draisaitl (86)
Goals: L. Draisaitl (42)
Assists: C. McDavid (50)
GAA: C. Pickard (2.69)

Tampa Bay Lightning
Points: N. Kucherov (83)
Goals: B. Point (31)
Assists: N. Kucherov (57)
GAA: A. Vasilevskiy (2.29)

Coaches:
Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)
Tampa Bay Lightning: Jon Cooper (13th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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