Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/23/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 23, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Oilers +110, Stars -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Oilers +110, Stars -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Oilers +110, Stars -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Edmonton Oilers:  49-27-6 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)

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Edmonton Oilers:  7-3-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  7-2-1 last 10

The Oilers are entering this game with 104 points, a 49-27-6 record overall, and they were 21-18-2 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Vancouver Canucks in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Cody Ceci, and Zach Hyman each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Evan Bouchard led the team in assists with 2 while Zach Hyman led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 17 shots with 15 saves and a .882 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 294 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 237 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-11-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, winning that one on the road 2-1. Jamie Benn and Matt Duchene each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Evgenii Dadonov, Joe Pavelski, and Tyler Seguin each led the team in assists with 1 while Jamie Benn led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 30 shots with 29 saves and a .967 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 2nd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the Western Conference Finals of the NHL playoffs. The Stars ended their series against the Avalanche in 6 games while the Oilers needed 7 games to beat the Canucks. The Oilers also needed to come back from behind to win that series while the Stars had a firm grip on their series against the Avs. The Stars have also looked really good on their home ice all year while the Oilers haven't looked that great in road games. The Oilers were only 21-18-2 in their road games during the regular season and their offense hasn't really been clicking lately either. They found a way to beat the Canucks in their last series but they didn't need a big offensive effort in that series with the way the Canucks play. The Stars have a lot more offensive power though and that is going to make this a very difficult game for the Oilers to win on the road in game 1, especially since McDavid hasn't had a big impact in a lot of their games lately. The Stars are also rolling into this series with more rest on their side and they have the motivation to win this game 1 since they fell behind 1-0 in each of the last 2 rounds of the playoffs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Oilers Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, May 23, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Oilers 1.

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Edmonton Oilers: 27-10 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline after a 2 game unbeaten streak. 19-5 (+9.5 units) on the moneyline off a road win. 19-7 (+8.4 units) on the moneyline revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 7-0 OVER in the 1st game of a playoff series. 16-8 OVER revenging a loss where the team scored 1 or less goals. 18-6 OVER off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival.

Dallas Stars: 88-76 (-13.8 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 35-34 (-13.1 units) on the moneyline after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game. 52-38 (-12 units) on the moneyline in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 28-15 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 8-4 OVER off a road win by 1 goal. 9-4 OVER after winning their previous game in overtime.

Edmonton Oilers:  None.

Dallas Stars:  R. Hintz (LW) Ques Thurs - Upper Body. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

“We played, I thought, really well. That could be a turning point in the game, but our penalty kill, like it has been for almost all the playoffs, has been really solid.” - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s win against the Canucks in game 7 of that series on Monday, winning that series 4-3.

“Just elation. I was so tired, I started skating and then I got tired. I don’t even know what I did after that, to be honest with you. I was pretty pumped up.” - Matt Duchene after their win against the Avalanche in game 6 of that series on Friday, winning that series 4-2.

LW Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan

C McDavid, Connor

RW Hyman, Zach

LD Ekholm, Mattias

RD Bouchard, Evan

G Skinner, Stuart

LW Robertson, Jason

C Duchene, Matt

RW Pavelski, Joe

LD Harley, Thomas

RD Heiskanen, Miro

G Oettinger, Jake

Points: C. McDavid (132)

Goals: Z. Hyman (54)

Assists: C. McDavid (100)

GAA: C. Pickard (2.45)

Points: J. Robertson (80)

Goals: W. Johnston (32)

Assists: J. Robertson (51)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Coaches:

Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (1st season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)