Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/04/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, January 4, 2024

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3.5, Warriors +3.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3.5, Warriors +3.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3.5, Warriors +3.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  24-11 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Golden State Warriors:  16-17 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  8-2 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 24-11 record overall and they are 10-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Charlotte Hornets in their last game. Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 25 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 22 points. Jamal Murray led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 49.4% from the field, 39.5% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 16-18-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-22.

The Warriors are entering this game with a 16-17 record overall and they are 10-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Orlando Magic in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 36 while Jonathan Kuminga was next on the team with 19 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jonathan Kuminga led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 53.8% from the field, 37.1% from 3-point range, and 64.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.3 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 16-17 this season and their O/U record is 19-14.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 24-11 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the West right now. They haven't looked as good in their road games this season with their 10-8 road record, but they are going to be motivated here since they have 2 teams in their own division ahead of them in the standings right now. Meanwhile, the Warriors haven't looked great in their games this season with their 16-17 record overall and they are finally taking a big step back which has been coming for this team. They have regressed a lot this season and haven't even looked that good in their home games either, going 10-8 in home games this season. They have some momentum from a win against the Magic in their last game but this just isn't the same dominant team that they were a season ago, especially in their home games. The Nuggets also have some momentum from their win against the Hornets the other night and they will be looking to go on a rampage now after losing on their home court again to the Thunder the other night who also sit above them in the standings. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, January 4, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 118 Warriors 102.

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Denver Nuggets: 4-7 ATS after playing 4 consecutive home games. 16-22 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 3-6 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 15-8 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 19-8 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 220. 8-4 UNDER after playing 4 consecutive home games.

Golden State Warriors: 19-9 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-2 ATS as a home underdog. 24-10 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent. 9-3 UNDER as a home underdog. 30-16 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 9-4 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread.

Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Golden State Warriors:  G. Payton II (PG) Ques Thurs - Hamstring. D. Green (PF) Mid Jan - Suspension.

“Guys were locked in and defense was leading to offense. We took care of it in the second half, and that’s Denver Nuggets basketball.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Hornets in their game on Monday.

“Steph was amazing. But Steph is always amazing. Even when he doesn’t score 36 points, just the attention he draws defensively, what he does to an opposing defense, the way he opens up the floor, he's a remarkable player. He really got himself going on a night when we needed it.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Magic in their game on Tuesday.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Chris Paul

SG Stephen Curry

SF Klay Thompson

PF Jonathan Kuminga 

C Trayce Jackson-Davis

PPG: N. Jokic (25.7)

APG: N. Jokic (9.1)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.3)

PPG: S. Curry (27.6)

APG: C. Paul (7.3)

Reb/G: K. Looney (7.5)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)