Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/07/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Venue:  Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars -115, Jets -105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars -115, Jets -105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars -110, Jets -110; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

Winnipeg Jets:  56-22-4 (1st place, Central Division)

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Dallas Stars:  4-6-0 last 10

Winnipeg Jets:  6-4-0 last 10

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 22-16-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, winning that one at home 4-2. Mikko Rantanen led the team in goals scored with 3 as he recorded the hattrick while Wyatt Johnston scored 1 goal for them in that one. Matt Duchene led the team in assists with 2 while Mikko Rantanen led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 27 shots with 25 saves and a .926 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Jets are entering the playoffs with 116 points, a 56-22-4 record overall, and they were 30-7-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the St Louis Blues in their last game, winning that one at home 4-3 in double overtime. Cole Perfetti led the team in goals scored with 2 while Adam Lowry and Vladislav Namestnikov each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Kyle Connor and Neal Pionk each led the team in assists with 3 while Kyle Connor led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Connor Hellebuyck was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 29 shots with 26 saves and a .896 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 191 goals against them allowing 2.3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Jets listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Jets and the 2nd seeded Stars from the Central Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. Both of these teams are coming off a tough series in the 1st round. The Stars needed 7 games in their series with the Avalanche while the Jets also needed 7 games in their series against the Blues. The Jets needed double OT and a very late comeback to get to this round, but they found a way to win that final game and now they have some momentum on their side coming into this series. The Jets looked great on home ice this year and they did win all 4 home games in their series against the Blues. They also came out strong with a 2-0 series lead from the first 2 games at home and they did have the best record in the NHL during the regular season so they aren't going to be an easy team to beat here. The Jets did look shaky at times in the 1st round, but so did the Stars and even though they got through the Avalanche in that 1st round, that was still a series that they trailed in the games for most of the time. They needed a late comeback to win game 7 too, but they also got off to a really slow start in that series with a home loss in the 1st game. Now they have to go on the road and both of these teams are going to be ready after playing a 7 game series in the last round, but the edge goes to the Jets who have been the better team all year and didn't lose a home game in the 1st round. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jets to win this game. 

Stars Jets Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, May 7, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Jets 3 Stars 2.

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Dallas Stars: 15-16 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline off a home win against a division rival. 80-80 (-16 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 94-83 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 48-25 UNDER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more. 39-27 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Winnipeg Jets: 88-44 (+25.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 69-55 (+15 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 91-61 (+26.8 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 52-30 UNDER off a home win. 23-11 UNDER off a home win against a division rival.

Dallas Stars:  J. Robertson (LW) Day To Day - Knee. M. Heiskanen (D) Day To Day - Knee. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

Winnipeg Jets:  M. Scheifele (C) Day To Day - Undisclosed.

“I never felt we were going to lose. Even when it was 2-0 and we didn’t have anything going. There’s a belief in that room that something was going to happen, and, obviously, Rantanen put the team on his back in the last 10 minutes. But I think the group is pretty special. They have had a lot of stuff thrown at them from an adversity point of view, and they keep responding and keep responding, and keep answering the doubters. I felt something was going to happen, but I could not have predicted that.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Avalanche in game 7 of that series on Saturday.

“Amazing, absolutely amazing. I’ve seen a lot of hockey games, been in a lot of hockey games. To be a part of that was one of the most exciting games I’ve been a part of. Man, we were extremely nervous to start the game, got down quickly, but just our resolve, just our ability to stay in it, pretty much that’s all I kept preaching. Just hang in there, just hang in there.” - Scott Arniel after his team’s win against the Blues in game 7 of that series on Sunday.

LW Mikael Granlund

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Esa Lindell

RD Cody Ceci

G Jake Oettinger

LW Kyle Connor

C Vladislav Namestnikov

RW Gabriel Vilardi

LD Josh Morrissey

RD Dylan Demelo

G Connor Hellebuyck

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Points: K. Connor (97)

Goals: K. Connor (41)

Assists: K. Connor (56)

GAA: C. Hellebuyck (2.00)

Coaches:

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)

Winnipeg Jets: Scott Arniel (1st season)