Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/21/2023

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Friday, April 21, 2023

Venue:  Xcel Energy Center, St Paul, MN 

Where to Watch:  TBS

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars -115, Wild -105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars -115, Wild -105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars -115, Wild -105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Dallas Stars:  47-21-14 (2nd place, Central Division)

Minnesota Wild:  46-25-11 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Dallas Stars:  8-1-1 last 10

Minnesota Wild:  4-4-2 last 10

The Stars are entering this game finishing the regular season with 108 points, a 47-21-14 record overall, and they were 25-11-5 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Minnesota Wild in their last game, winning that one at home 7-3. Roope Hintz had a hattrick scoring 3 goals, Evgenii Dadonov scored 2 goals, while Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin each had 1 goal in that game. Miro Heiskanen led the team in assists with 4 while Wyatt Johnston led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 26 shots with 23 saves and a .885 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 285 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 218 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Wild are entering this game finishing the regular season with 103 points, a 46-25-11 record overall, and they were 25-12-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that one on the road 7-3. Frédérick Gaudreau, Marcus Johansson, and Oskar Sundqvist each had 1 goal in that game. Gustav Nyquist led the team in assists with 2 while Matt Boldy led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Marc-André Fleury was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 7 goals on 31 shots with 24 saves and a .774 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 246 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 225 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Wild listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7-game series between the Wild and the Stars for the 1st round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 going into Minnesota and the two games have been very different. The Wild had to come from behind in the 1st game and won in double OT as both teams started to wear down. They were a lot worse in game 2 as they were run out of the arena in a 7-3 loss as the Stars evened up the series. The Stars have been the better team in both games so far but they were helped a lot in game 2 with Fleury starting for the Wild. Fleury has not been good this season and he showed it in that game by allowing all 7 goals as his team left him out there to dry. Filip Gustavsson will be well rested for this game though and back in net for the Wild in this 1st home game, and that will be huge since he was one of the best goalies in the NHL this season. He will not be so quick to allow goals like Fleury in this game and he will keep the Wild alive with a chance to win here in what will likely be another defensive game that doesn't see many goals in it. Gustavsson will be the difference here as the Wild bounce back on home ice and take another series lead here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Wild to win this game.

Stars Wild Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, April 21, 2023 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Wild 2 Stars 1.

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Dallas Stars: 25-13 (+8.9 units) on the moneyline after one or more consecutive overs. 21-12 (+7.1 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored. 40-19 UNDER in a road game where the total is 5.5. 27-13 UNDER after playing a home game.

Minnesota Wild: 41-42 (-7.4 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent. 20-23 (-15.2 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored. 25-16 UNDER after playing a road game. 29-18 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 5 days.

Dallas Stars:  J. Pavelski (C) Ques Fri - Undisclosed.

Minnesota Wild:  R. Hartman (RW) Ques Fri - Lower Body. J. Klingberg (D) Ques Fri - Lower Body. J. Eriksson Ek (C) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. M. Shaw (C) out for season - Knee.

“He's elite and he’s capable of taking over games like that. And we needed him. Our team, with what happened with Pavelski the other night, a little bit rattled, we needed our best players to step up tonight and make a statement. And they did. Every one of them, not just Roope.” - Peter DeBoer after his team’s win against the Wild in their game on Wednesday, game 2 of this series. 

"It's what we do, right? We've done it all year. Nothing was on Fleury tonight, it was all on us. ... They had a short-handed breakaway and two power-play goals. What would you like Fleury to do?" - Dean Evason after his team’s loss against the Stars in their game on Wednesday, game 2 of this series. 

LW Robertson, Jason

C Hintz, Roope

RW Seguin, Tyler

LD Suter, Ryan

RD Heiskanen, Miro

G Oettinger, Jake

LW Kaprizov, Kirill

C Steel, Sam

RW Zuccarello, Mats

LD Middleton, Jacob

RD Spurgeon, Jared

G Gustavsson, Filip

Points: J. Robertson (109)

Goals: J. Robertson (46)

Assists: J. Robertson (63)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.37)

Points: K. Kaprizov (75)

Goals: K. Kaprizov (40)

Assists: M. Zuccarello (45)

GAA: F. Gustavsson (2.10)

Coaches:

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (1st season)

Minnesota Wild: Dean Evason (4th season)