Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/17/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, May 17, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +100, Avalanche -120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +100, Avalanche -120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +100, Avalanche -120; Over/Under:  6 goals

Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)

Colorado Avalanche:  50-25-7 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Dallas Stars:  7-2-1 last 10

Colorado Avalanche:  6-4-0 last 10

The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-10-5 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, losing that one at home 5-3. Joe Pavelski, Miro Heiskanen, and Logan Stankoven each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Jason Robertson led the team in assists with 2 while Jamie Benn led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 27 shots with 22 saves and a .815 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Avalanche are entering this game with 107 points, a 50-25-7 record overall, and they were 31-9-1 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one on the road 5-3. Cale Makar led the team in goals scored with 2 while Artturi Lehkonen, Nathan MacKinnon, and Casey Mittelstadt each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Artturi Lehkonen, Nathan MacKinnon, Jonathan Drouin, Samuel Girard, Josh Manson, Zach Parise, and Mikko Rantanen each led the team in assists with 1 while Cale Makar and Josh Manson each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Alexandar Georgiev was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 26 shots with 23 saves and a .885 save percentage. Their offense has scored 304 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 254 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars and the 3rd seeded Avalanche from the Central Division for Round 2 of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Stars have a 3-2 series lead after the Avalanche won game 5 of this series on the road. The Avalanche got themselves into an early hole in this series as they are facing elimination, but they were able to get game 5 back and now have a chance to even up this series on their home ice where they have looked a lot better this season. The Avalanche lost both home games in this series since both of their wins in this series came in Dallas, but they also had a 31-9-1 home record during the regular season so they are going to rebound in this game and get a home win here. The Stars have looked great all season and they have been a really good road team too, but they have also been really streaky in these playoff games going back to their 1st series against the Golden Knights too. The Avalanche were able to get a big win in Dallas in game 5 and now they have the momentum coming back home with a chance to tie the series, and this is still the same core players on the Avalanche that did win a Stanley Cup just a few years ago so they know what they need to do here and will dig in deep on their home ice. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game. 

Stars Avalanche Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, May 17, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 4 Stars 1.

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Dallas Stars: 25-7 (+15 units) on the moneyline off a loss against a division rival. 33-16 (+12.2 units) on the moneyline after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals. 73-43 (+13.4 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive losses. 24-16 UNDER in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 14-7 UNDER in the 6th game of a playoff series. 11-6 UNDER after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games.

Colorado Avalanche: 23-18 (-8.5 units) on the moneyline off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival. 53-38 (-12.6 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored. 32-26 (-6.4 units) on the moneyline after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals. 15-7 UNDER in the 6th game of a playoff series. 16-9 UNDER after allowing 3 goals or more in 4 straight games.

Dallas Stars:  R. Hintz (LW) Ques Fri - Upper Body. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Colorado Avalanche:  V. Nichushkin (RW) out of season - Suspension. L. O'Connor (RW) out for season - Hip. G. Landeskog (LW) out for season - Knee.

“We knew we were going to get their best game in the series, and they did. Their big guys all are on the scoresheet tonight, which we’ve probably anticipated would happen.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Avalanche in game 5 of this series on Wednesday.

“Tough-go for a handful of games ... it’s a huge response after goal one, after goal two.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s win against the Stars in game 5 of this series on Wednesday.

LW Robertson, Jason

C Duchene, Matt

RW Pavelski, Joe

LD Harley, Thomas

RD Heiskanen, Miro

G Oettinger, Jake

LW Lehkonen, Artturi

C MacKinnon, Nathan

RW Drouin, Jonathan

LD Toews, Devon

RD Makar, Cale

G Georgiev, Alexandar

Points: J. Robertson (80)

Goals: W. Johnston (32)

Assists: J. Robertson (51)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Points: N. MacKinnon (140)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (51)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (89)

GAA: J. Annunen (2.25)

Coaches:

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (8th season)