Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/25/2023

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Dec 24, 2023
Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Monday, December 25, 2023
Venue:  Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavs +5, Suns -5; Over/Under:  235 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavs +5, Suns -5; Over/Under:  235 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavs +5.5, Suns -5.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points

Season Record

Dallas Mavericks:  17-12 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Phoenix Suns:  14-14 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks:  6-4 last 10
Phoenix Suns:  3-7 last 10


Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Preview and Analysis


The Mavericks are entering this game with a 17-12 record overall and they are 9-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 39 while Tim Hardaway Jr. was next on the team with 23 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 52% from the field, 51.1% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.9 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 15-14 this season and their O/U record is 19-10.



The Suns are entering this game with a 14-14 record overall and they are 7-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Portland Trail Blazers and the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 28 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 24 points. Devin Booker led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Udoka Azubuike led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 44.3% from the field, 20% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 10-17-1 this season and their O/U record is 16-12.


Mavericks vs Suns Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 17-12 record overall and they haven't been bad in their road games either with their 9-6 road record. They haven't been great lately but they did beat up on the Spurs in their last game and do have a bit of momentum now coming into this one. Meanwhile, the Suns haven't looked great this season with their 14-14 record overall as they have been struggling to keep their stars healthy this year. They have looked terrible on their home court with their 7-8 home record and they haven't looked great lately either, losing 2 games in a row now. The Mavericks have looked a lot better in their games lately and they have been the more consistent team as the Suns haven't figured out how to battle through all of their injuries and stay consistent. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Suns Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, December 25, 2023 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 122 Suns 112.
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NBA Betting Trends


Dallas Mavericks: 1-7 ATS as an underdog. 1-11 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 3-10 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more. 19-10 OVER in all games. 10-5 OVER in road games. 12-6 OVER after one or more consecutive overs.

Phoenix Suns: 27-15 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 32-24 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games. 10-3 OVER as a home favorite. 10-4 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. 5-1 OVER after playing 2 consecutive road games.

Key Injuries


Dallas Mavericks:  D. Lively II (C) Ques Mon - Ankle. M. Kleber (PF) Early Jan - Toe. J. Green (SG) Early Jan - Elbow. K. Irving (PG) Out indefinitely - Heel.

Phoenix Suns:  J. Okogie (SG) Out indefinitely - Hip. J. Nurkic (C) Ques Mon - Personal. B. Beal (SG) Early Jan - Ankle. D. Lee (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“We still have some injuries, so we've got to still keep it together. Everybody's got to stay together, and next-man-up mentality.” - Luka Doncic after their win against the Spurs in their game on Saturday.


“Another tough third quarter. We have to be better and improve our offensive execution. We are not playing well enough right now.” - Frank Vogel after his team’s loss against the Kings in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Tim Hardaway Jr.
SF Dante Exum
PF Grant Williams
C Dwight Powell

Phoenix Suns
PG Devin Booker
SG Eric Gordon 
SF Grayson Allen
PF Kevin Durant
C Jusuf Nurkic

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (32.9)
APG: L. Doncic (9.1)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.6)

Phoenix Suns
PPG: K. Durant (30.9)
APG: D. Booker (8.2)
Reb/G: J. Nurkic (10.3)

Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)
Phoenix Suns: Frank Vogel (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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