Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/23/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, January 23, 2025

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  KFAA

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +11.5, Thunder -11.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +11.5, Thunder -11.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +11.5, Thunder -11.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  23-20 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  35-7 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  3-7 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 23-20 record overall this season and they are 10-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Charlotte Hornets, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Minnesota Timberwolves still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Hornets, Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 33 while Daniel Gafford was next on the team with 31 points. Naji Marshall led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Daniel Gafford led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 43.2% from the field, 18.8% from 3-point range, and 88.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.8 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 20-22-1 this season and their O/U record is 20-23.

The Thunder are entering this game with a 35-7 record overall this season and they are 19-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Brooklyn Nets, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Utah Jazz still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Nets, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 27 while Isaiah Joe was next on the team with 24 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Jaylin Williams led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 55.2% from the field, 44.2% from 3-point range, and 92.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 103.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 27-13-3 this season and their O/U record is 21-21-1.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 35-7 record overall which has them leading the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 19-2 home record which is the best home record in the league. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 23-20 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West. They haven't looked good lately though as they have been struggling without their best player, Luka Doncic, and they haven't been a good road team this year either with their 10-12 road record. They are coming off a loss to the Hornets in their last one which isn't a great loss and they have been terrible lately with their 3-7 record in their last 10 games. It doesn't help that they are playing this game on a back-to-back so they won't have their best effort for this one, especially since they have to travel for it. The Thunder have been one of the best teams in the NBA all season, but they have also been really hot lately with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games. They are also on a back-to-back here, but it is more manageable for them since both games are at home and the 1st one is against one of the worst teams in the West, the Utah Jazz. The Thunder will also bring their best effort for this one, not only because the Mavericks are the better team on this back-to-back, but also because the Thunder lost to the Mavericks in Dallas the other night. The Thunder will be looking to get the Mavs back here for that loss and the Mavs haven't looked great in their games without Doncic so the Thunder can take advantage of that. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game.

Mavericks Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, January 23, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 126 Mavericks 108.

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Dallas Mavericks: 10-17 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 13-28 ATS in January games. 24-18 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses. 20-12 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 51-28 ATS as a home favorite. 19-7 ATS off a win against a division rival. 36-19 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 10-5 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite. 

Dallas Mavericks:  K. Thompson (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. N. Marshall (SF) Day To Day - Illness. Q. Grimes (SG) Day To Day - Back. D. Powell (C) Out - Hip. J. Hardy (SG) Out - Ankle. D. Lively (C) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Exum (PG) Out - Wrist. L. Dončić (PG) Out - Calf.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  J. Williams (SG) Day To Day - Hip. C. Holmgren (PF) Out - Hip. I. Hartenstein (C) Out - Calf. A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Toe. N. Topić (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

"He has been shooting, but we're still a ways away." - Jason Kidd on the injury to Dante Exum.

“An honor. A huge thank you to all the people that are behind the scenes in the organization that work with the players, not only this season, but in previous seasons. This has been a build, and a lot of people have their fingerprints on that.” - Mark Daigneault on being named a coach in the All-Star game. 

PG Spencer Dinwiddie

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Klay Thompson

PF P.J. Washington

C Daniel Gafford

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Cason Wallace

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Jaylin Williams

PPG: L. Dončić (28.1)

APG: L. Dončić (7.8)

Reb/G: L. Dončić (8.3)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.5)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.1)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (12.2)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)