Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/28/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, December 28, 2023

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN 

Where to Watch:  BSNX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +10, T-Wolves -10; Over/Under:  229 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +9.5, T-Wolves -9.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +9.5, T-Wolves -9.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  18-12 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  22-7 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  6-4 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with an 18-12 record overall and they are 10-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the San Antonio Spurs and the Phoenix Suns in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Cleveland Cavaliers still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Suns, Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 50 while Derrick Jones Jr. was next on the team with 23 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 15 while Dereck Lively II led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 53.6% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.8 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 16-14 this season and their O/U record is 19-11.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 22-7 record overall and they are 12-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 25 while Mike Conley Jr. was next on the team with 17 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Anthony Edwards and Naz Reid each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 46.6% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 81.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 15-12-2 this season and their O/U record is 16-13.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked really good in their games this season with their 22-7 record overall which has them right at the top of the West. They have also looked really good in their home games all year with their 12-1 home record. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have also looked good this season with their 18-12 record overall but they haven't looked as good in their road games with their 10-6 road record. They are also in a bad situation here playing on a back-to-back and having to travel for this game too. The Timberwolves are rested and they also lost their last game against the Thunder so they will be looking to bounce back in a big way on their home court. The Mavericks have been dealing with injuries all season and they are in a terrible spot here against a rested T-Wolves team that has looked like one of the best in the NBA this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, December 28, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 122 Mavericks 102.

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Dallas Mavericks: 10-2 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. 23-14 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 10-5 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. 8-3 OVER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 14-23 ATS off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival. 5-10 ATS after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 60% or higher. 12-6 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 16-5 OVER after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. 

Dallas Mavericks:  L. Doncic (SF) Ques Wed - Quadricep. M. Kleber (PF) Early Jan - Toe. J. Green (SG) Early Jan - Elbow. K. Irving (PG) Out indefinitely - Heel.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. Clark (SG) Mid Feb - Achilles.

“He’s one of the best in the world. As I’ve always said, we can’t take him for granted. When he’s feeling it, you’re just trying to get him the ball as much as possible.” - Jason Kidd on Luka Doncic after his team’s win against the Suns in their Christmas Day game on Monday.

“Our spacing was poor.” - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Thunder in their game on Tuesday.

PG Luka Doncic

SG Tim Hardaway Jr.

SF Dante Exum

PF Grant Williams

C Dereck Lively II

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: L. Doncic (33.5)

APG: L. Doncic (9.4)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.5)

PPG: A. Edwards (25.2)

APG: M. Conley (6.2)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)