Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 18, 2023
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch: NBA TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Mavericks +2, Bucks -2; Over/Under: 245.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Mavericks +2, Bucks -2; Over/Under: 245.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Mavericks +2.5, Bucks -2.5; Over/Under: 245.5 points
Season Record
Dallas Mavericks: 9-3 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Milwaukee Bucks: 7-4 (2nd place, Central Division)
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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks: 7-3 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks: 6-4 last 10
Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Analysis
The Mavericks are entering this game with a 9-3 record overall and they are 5-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Washington Wizards in their last game. Tim Hardaway Jr. led the team in points in that game with 31 while Luka Dončić was next on the team with 26 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Dereck Lively II led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 52.2% from the field, 40.5% from 3-point range, and 58.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.7 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 7-5 this season and their O/U record is 10-2.
The Bucks are entering this game with a 7-4 record overall and they are 5-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Chicago Bulls and the Toronto Raptors in their last game, but this is also the 2nd leg of a back-to-back with their game against the Charlotte Hornets still to be played on Friday night. In their game against the Raptors, Damian Lillard led the team in points in that game with 37 while Malik Beasley was next on the team with 30 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Brook Lopez led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 51.8% from the field, 51.3% from 3-point range, and 95.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.7 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 2-8-1 this season and their O/U record is 7-4.
Mavericks vs Bucks Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked really good this season with their 9-3 record overall and they have also been good in their road games with their 5-2 road record. Meanwhile, the Bucks have been slipping lately with their 7-4 record overall and have struggled in a lot of their games. They are 5-1 in their home games this season but they are also playing this game on a back-to-back while the Mavericks are rested and the way both teams have come out of the gate this year, the Mavs are playing a lot better right now. The Mavericks have the potential to pull off an upset win on the road, especially since they are the rested team here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game.
Mavericks Bucks Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Saturday, November 18, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 122 Bucks 118.
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NBA Betting Trends
Dallas Mavericks: 6-3 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 5-2 ATS in road games. 10-2 OVER in all games. 6-1 OVER in road games. 5-1 OVER after a game where they covered the spread.
Milwaukee Bucks: 2-9 ATS in all games. 1-5 ATS in home games. 7-4 OVER in all games. 13-7 OVER against Southwest division opponents. 34-25 OVER in non-conference games.
Key Injuries
Dallas Mavericks: K. Irving (PG) Ques Sat - Foot. M. Kleber (PF) Early Dec - Toe.
Milwaukee Bucks: C. Livingston (SF) Out Fri - Ankle. G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Ques Fri - Calf. M. Beauchamp (SF) Ques Fri - Ankle. J. Crowder (SF) Mid Jan - Groin.
Notable Quotes
“The left foot’s bothering him. It’s sore. So we’re just not going to take any chances.” - Jason Kidd on Kyrie Irving after his team’s win against the Wizards in their game on Wednesday.
“He made a lot of timely shots. That’s what he’s here for. He’s an unbelievable shooter.” - Adrian Griffin on Malik Beasley after his team’s win against the Raptors in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Derrick Jones Jr.
PF Grant Williams
C Dereck Lively II
Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Malik Beasley
SF Khris Middleton
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (30.7)
APG: L. Doncic (8.1)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (7.8)
Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (29.5)
APG: D. Lillard (5.7)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (9.6)
Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)
Milwaukee Bucks: Adrian Griffin (1st season)