Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/05/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  FDSWI

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +9.5, Bucks -9.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +9.5, Bucks -9.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +9.5, Bucks -9.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  32-30 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  34-25 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  5-5 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 32-30 record overall this season and they are 13-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Milwaukee Bucks and the Sacramento Kings. Kai Jones led the team in points in that game with 21 while Naji Marshall was next on the team with 18 points. Naji Marshall and Spencer Dinwiddie each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Kai Jones led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.5% from the field, 26.9% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 31-29-2 this season and their O/U record is 31-31.

The Bucks are entering this game with a 34-25 record overall this season and they are 20-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets and the Dallas Mavericks, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Atlanta Hawks still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Mavericks, Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 29 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 28 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50.6% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 88.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.5 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 28-31-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-31.

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 34-25 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked really good on their home court too with their 20-9 home record this year. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 32-30 record overall, but that record also has them in the bottom half of the West and in the last play-in spot. They haven't been a good road team either with their 13-17 road record. The Mavericks have struggled a lot lately as they are 5-5 in their last 10 games and they have also lost 2 games in a row now. The wheels have been falling off over the last few weeks since they traded away Luka Doncic, and things continue to get worse for them. They traded for Anthony Davis who got injured right away, and now they are going to be without Kyrie Irving for the rest of the season as he tore his ACL in their last game. They ended up getting blown out by the Kings on their own home court in that one too. The Bucks have looked a lot better lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. The Mavericks are in a terrible situation right now and the Bucks can take advantage of that as they just beat this team on the road a few days ago too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 5, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 112 Mavericks 92.

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Dallas Mavericks: 7-18 ATS against Central division opponents. 30-52 1H ATS in non-conference games. 44-24 1H OVER as a road underdog. 

Milwaukee Bucks: 30-15 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. 33-27 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 19-9 OVER at home when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 

Dallas Mavericks:  P. Washington (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. C. Martin (SF) Day To Day - Hip. K. Irving (SG) Day To Day - Knee. J. Hardy (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. A. Davis (PF) Out - Groin. D. Gafford (C) Out - Knee. D. Lively (C) Out - Ankle.

Milwaukee Bucks:  G. Antetokounmpo (PF) Day To Day - Calf. K. Kuzma (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. P. Connaughton (SG) Out - Calf.

"Just unlucky, you know, hope that he's healthy and it's not serious. The injuries that we've had this season, guys are trying to hold it together. You get other bodies back and it just seems that every time we're close to getting someone back, someone goes down. And tonight both Hardy and Kyrie go down and so we're running out of bodies here, but guys keep fighting." - Jason Kidd on the injury to Kyrie Irving.

“Listen, we’re not scared to try something different. But he has been very good coming off the bench and that has served us well.” - Doc Rivers on changing the starting lineup.

PG Spencer Dinwiddie

SG Dante Exum

SF Klay Thompson

PF P.J. Washington

C Dwight Powell

PG Damian Lillard

SG Taurean Prince

SF Kyle Kuzma

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PPG: A. Davis (25.7)

APG: K. Irving (4.6)

Reb/G: A. Davis (12)

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.9)

APG: D. Lillard (7.3)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (12.1)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)