Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/01/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Friday, March 1, 2024

Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +9.5, Celtics -9.5; Over/Under:  236 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +9.5, Celtics -9.5; Over/Under:  236 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +9.5, Celtics -9.5; Over/Under:  236 points

Dallas Mavericks:  34-25 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Boston Celtics:  46-12 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  8-2 last 10

Boston Celtics:  9-1 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 34-25 record overall and they are 16-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 30 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 29 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 16 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 54.2% from the field, 34.9% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 32-27 this season and their O/U record is 29-29-1.

The Celtics are entering this game with a 46-12 record overall and they are 27-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 9 game winning streak with wins coming against the Memphis Grizzlies, the Atlanta Hawks, the Washington Wizards, the Miami Heat, the Brooklyn Nets twice in a row, the Chicago Bulls, the New York Knicks, and the Philadelphia 76ers in their last game. Jaylen Brown led the team in points in that game with 31 while Jayson Tatum was next on the team with 29 points. Jayson Tatum led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kristaps Porziņģis led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 52.7% from the field, 22.7% from 3-point range, and 91.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.2 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 28-27-3 this season and their O/U record is 28-30.

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked great in their games all season with their 46-12 record overall which has them leading the East with the best record in the entire NBA. They also have one of the best home records in the NBA this season with their 27-3 home record. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have also looked good in their games this season with their 34-25 record overall, but they are also fighting for a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They have been a good road team this year but haven't been at their best in those games with their 16-12 road record. The Mavericks did just pull off a win in Toronto and they have been really hot lately with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games, but the Celtics have also been hot with their 9-1 record in their last 10 games. The Celtics have also been a lot more consistent in their games this season and have way more momentum on their side right now with 9 wins in a row. They have only lost 3 times on their home court all season and as good as the Mavericks have been lately, they just aren't good enough to keep this game close on the road with the way the Celtics have looked lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Celtics Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 1, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 117 Mavericks 103.

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Dallas Mavericks: 18-10 ATS in road games. 11-6 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 12-4 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 16-9 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more. 19-13 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

Boston Celtics: 5-9 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 1-5 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games. 4-8 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. 13-6 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 20-10 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230.

Dallas Mavericks:  M. Kleber (PF) Ques Fri - Nose.

Boston Celtics:  None.

“Just a normal game, triple-double. He was really good. I guess 25 means he’s still going to be really good as he gets older here.” - Jason Kidd on Luka Doncic after his team’s win against the Raptors in their game on Wednesday.

“We were able to win a different way. We've never said we have to win (shooting 3s). We always take what the defense gives us and we're one of the best teams doing that. And that's kind of our offensive philosophy — take the best shot and find the best shot.” - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s win against the 76ers in their game on Tuesday.

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Josh Green

PF P.J. Washington 

C Dereck Lively II 

PG Jrue Holiday

SG Derrick White

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Jayson Tatum

C Kristaps Porzingis

PPG: L. Doncic (34.4)

APG: L. Doncic (9.7)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.8)

PPG: J. Tatum (27)

APG: J. Tatum (4.9)

Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.5)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)