Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/03/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, May 3, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ABC, ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -135, Stars +114; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -135, Stars +115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -140, Stars +120; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  49-29-4 (3rd place, Central Division)

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  5-3-2 last 10

Dallas Stars:  3-7-0 last 10

The Avalanche are entering the playoffs with 102 points, a 49-29-4 record overall, and they were 23-17-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one at home 7-4. Valeri Nichushkin led the team in goals scored with 2 while Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar, Martin Nečas, Artturi Lehkonen, and Josh Manson each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar, Gabriel Landeskog, and Brock Nelson each led the team in assists with 2 while Artturi Lehkonen led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Mackenzie Blackwood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 26 shots with 22 saves and a 846 save percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 28-10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, losing that one on the road 7-4. Roope Hintz led the team in goals scored with 2 while Mikko Rantanen and Mikael Granlund each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mikko Rantanen led the team in assists with 3 while Roope Hintz led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 46 shots with 41 saves and a .891 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 7 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Stars and the 3rd seeded Avalanche from the Central Division for the 1st round of the NHL playoffs. This series is all tied up 3-3 after the Avalanche won game 6 at home. The Avalanche evened up this series at 3 with a 7-4 win over the Stars in the 6th game of this series and that was a game they looked really good in. The Avalanche have looked like the better team in this series for a majority of it and they have led for most of the series too, even the games they ended up losing. They have a really good offense that has been scoring a lot of goals in this series and they are the kind of team that can score their way out of trouble, even when their defense isn't playing great. The Stars have been the better defensive team in this series at times, but their offense hasn't been the best and they weren't playing well coming into this series either, giving up a ton of goals in the final week of the season. The Stars have fought hard in this series to force 7 games, but 2 of the 3 games they won were both in overtime while the 3 wins for the Avalanche have been a lot more convincing. The Avalanche are starting to roll again and they will use the momentum from that 7-4 win and carry it over into this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game.  

Avalanche Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, May 3, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 4 Stars 3.

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Colorado Avalanche: 25-22 (-10.3 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 21-18 (-10 units) on the moneyline after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game. 72-63 (-8.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 9-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 5.5.

Dallas Stars: 9-3 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline when tied in a playoff series. 24-10 (+9.1 units) on the moneyline off a loss against a division rival. 14-5 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline after allowing 6 goals or more. 11-6 OVER off a road loss against a division rival.

Colorado Avalanche:  R. Colton (C) Day To Day - Lower Body. T. Poolman (D) Out For Season - Head.

Dallas Stars:  J. Robertson (LW) Day To Day - Knee. M. Heiskanen (D) Day To Day - Knee. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

“We competed to win tonight. That's what we did. Very similar to Game 4 in our building, both of them must-wins for me, and our team responded. Hopefully we do it one more time. We have belief, and we're not going to give up on that. We got to go play another game to the best of our ability and give it everything we got against another team that's going to try and do the exact same thing.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s win against the Stars in game 6 of this series on Thursday.

“If you’re going to go into a game and two goals are going to go in off your own players, it’s going to be tough to win that night. I give our guys credit. Despite the fact that we had those bounces against us, we still battled right to the end. I’m proud of the group for that. Now we’ve got a great opportunity. Home for Game 7. We’ve been in this situation before. No one gave us a chance to win this series, and here we are with one game at home to advance. So that’s a great situation to be in.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Avalanche in game 6 of this series on Thursday.

LW Artturi Lehkonen

C Nathan MacKinnon

RW Martin Necas

LD Devon Toews

RD Cale Makar

G MacKenzie Blackwood

LW Mikael Granlund

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Esa Lindell

RD Cody Ceci

G Jake Oettinger

Points: N. MacKinnon (116)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (32)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (84)

GAA: S.Wedgewood (2.21)

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (9th season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)