Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/28/2024

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 28, 2024

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +120, Phillies -142; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +120, Phillies -142; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +120, Phillies -142; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Cleveland Guardians:  62-41 (1st place, AL Central)

Philadelphia Phillies:  64-39 (1st place, NL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! AAA Sports is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on an 18-8 MLB RUN for +$6,770 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  3-7 last 10

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-41 record overall and have a road record of 29-26. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Guardians won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Carlos Carrasco is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Xzavion Curry is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-2 with a 4.98 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 1 K on 4 hits through 4.1 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-39 record overall and have a home record of 37-17. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Phillies lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Rookie pitcher Tyler Phillips is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 10-5 with a 2.87 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 64-39 record overall which has them leading the NL East with the best record in the entire MLB. They also have one of the best home records in the MLB with their 37-17 home record. Meanwhile, the Guardians have looked really good in their games this season with their 62-41 record overall which has them leading the AL Central. They haven't looked as good in their road games though with their 29-26 road record. Both of these teams have been struggling lately with the Phillies being a bit worse, going 3-7 in their last 10 games, but they will be looking to bounce back in this game at home. They have a solid starter on the mound here with Suarez going and he is 10-5 with a 2.87 ERA. His team lost 3 games in a row with him starting, but he hasn't looked that bad in his starts lately and is due for a win here. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start but that has been on the higher end of what he has given up this season in games so expect him to bounce back with a better performance. The Guardians have Curry on the mound in this one and he is 0-2 with a 4.98 ERA. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't really been the case in his few starts this season. The team hasn't had a ton of success with him on the mound either, losing 3 of their last 4 games with him starting. The Phillies still have the better offense to lean on in this one and Suarez will help keep the Guardians offense at bay so the Phillies can end this series with a win at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Guardians Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 28, 2024 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Phillies 4 Guardians 3.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Cleveland Guardians Philadelphia Phillies prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

Cleveland Guardians: 5-22 (-20.40 units) on the runline in their last 27 games. 8-17 (-8.80 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 25 games. 59-45 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 104 games. 

Philadelphia Phillies: 34-11 (+12.85 units) on the moneyline in their last 45 home games. 33-11 (+18.95 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 44 home games. 52-34 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 86 games.

Cleveland Guardians:  T. Bibee (SP) Ques Sat - Knee. S. Hentges (RP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  L. Ortiz (RP) out for season - Ankle. S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Walker (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. M. Rucker (RP) Ques Sat - Finger. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“Ben has a big personality. He's competitive. He's a huge part of what we do. I couldn't be more happy for him.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Friday.

“Our pregame work was crisp and guys had a lot of energy. But we've got to throw the ball accurately. We've got to cover all our assignments. We didn't do that early.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Friday.

S Kwan (L) LF

A Martínez (S) RF

J Ramírez (S) 3B

D Fry (R) DH

J Noel (R) 1B

A Gimenez (L) 2B

T Freeman (R) CF

B Rocchio (S) SS

B Naylor (L) C

K Schwarber (L) DH

T Turner (R) SS

B Harper (L) 1B

A Bohm (R) 3B

J Realmuto (R) C

B Marsh (L) LF

N Castellanos (R) RF

B Stott (L) 2B

J Rojas (R) CF

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.340)

Hits:  José Ramírez (108)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (24)

RBI:  José Ramírez (82)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (18)

Wins:  Ben Lively (9)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (32)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.333)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (115)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (23)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (71)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (23)

Wins:  Aaron Nola (11)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (1.05)

Managers:

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)