Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/11/2024

Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Thursday, July 11, 2024

Venue:  Comerica Park, Detroit, MI 

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +120, Tigers -142; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +120, Tigers -140; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +120, Tigers -140; Over/Under:  8 runs

Cleveland Guardians:  57-33 (1st place, AL Central)

Detroit Tigers:  43-49 (4th place, AL Central)

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Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10

Detroit Tigers:  6-4 last 10

The Guardians are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-33 record overall and have a road record of 27-22. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Tigers on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Guardians lost the series opener of this series on Monday and won the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .731 OPS. Tanner Bibee is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Spencer Howard is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-1 with a 5.63 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 6 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 0 Ks on 6 hits through 2.2 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Tigers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-49 record overall and have a home record of 20-23. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Tigers won the 1st game of this series on Monday and lost the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .674 OPS. Reese Olson is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Jack Flaherty is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-5 with a 3.24 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.

The current betting odds have the Tigers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Tigers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 43-49 record overall which has them near the bottom of the AL Central and they are also 20-23 in their home games. Meanwhile, The Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 57-33 record overall which has them leading the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked good in their road games with their 27-22 road record. The Tigers won the 1st game of this series and lost the 2nd game, but their offense has been getting hot now as they put up a ton of runs in both of those starts. With their offense playing better now, they have a good chance to win this series or at least split it in this game with the better pitching matchup. The Tigers are going to have Flaherty on the mound here and he did give up 5 earned runs in his last start, but he hasn't looked that bad this season. He is 5-5 with a 3.24 ERA, not giving up a ton of runs in his starts throughout the season, and the team has been finding success with him since they have won 4 of their last 5 games with him starting. Flaherty is only going to be motivated to bounce back at home after that bad start in his last one too. The Guardians are going to have Howard on the mound and he hasn't looked that great this year. He is 1-1 with a 5.63 ERA and also had a bad start in his last one. He gave up 6 earned runs in his last start, but that has been a common theme for him this season, and his team has also lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting. The Tigers have been playing the Guardians tough in the first 2 games of this series and this game is going to be no different since the Tigers are getting hot on offense and have the better matchup here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Tigers to win this game.

Guardians Tigers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 11, 2024 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Tigers 6 Guardians 3.

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Cleveland Guardians: 57-34 (+15.92 units) on the moneyline in their last 91 games. 47-44 (+8.30 units) on the runline in their last 91 games. 53-38 to the over with their team total in their last 91 games.

Detroit Tigers: 26-36 (-11.80 units) on the moneyline in their last 62 games. 39-49 (-12.85 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 88 games. 34-24 to the over in their last 58 games.

Cleveland Guardians:  W. Brennan (RF) Out indefinitely - Oblique. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Detroit Tigers:  P. Meadows (CF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Mize (SP) Out indefinitely - Leg. K. Carpenter (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Gipson-Long (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Kwanny getting the base hit, that’s what got the inning going." - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the Tigers in their game on Tuesday.

“That tells you what I think about Ramírez.” - A.J. Hinch on intentionally walking Jose Ramirez 3 times in their loss to the Guardians on Tuesday.

S Kwan (L) DH

A Martínez (S) LF

J Ramírez (S) 3B

J Naylor (L) 1B

J Noel (R) RF

A Gimenez (L) 2B

D Schneemann (L) SS

T Freeman (R) CF

A Hedges (R) C

M Vierling (R) CF

C Keith (L) 2B

R Greene (L) LF

C Kelly (R) C

G Urshela (R) 1B

W Pérez (S) RF

J Malloy (R) DH

J Báez (R) SS

Z McKinstry (L) 3B

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.363)

Hits:  José Ramírez (96)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (23)

RBI:  José Ramírez (77)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (18)

Wins:  Logan Allen (8)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (28)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Batting Average:  Andy Ibáñez (.285)

Hits:  Riley Greene (86)

Home Runs:  Riley Greene (17)

RBI:  Riley Greene (45)

Stolen Bases:  Javier Báez (6)

Wins:  Tarik Skubal (10)

Saves:  Jason Foley (14)

ERA:  Tarik Skubal (2.37)

Managers:

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)

Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (4th season)