Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/08/2024

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Monday, July 8, 2024

Venue:  Comerica Park, Detroit, MI 

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -148, Tigers +124; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -150, Tigers +125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -150, Tigers +125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Cleveland Guardians:  56-32 (1st place, AL Central)

Detroit Tigers:  42-48 (4th place, AL Central)

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Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10

Detroit Tigers:  5-5 last 10

The Guardians are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-32 record overall and have a road record of 26-21. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Tigers on Monday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .731 OPS. Carlos Carrasco was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Gavin Williams is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 7 hits through 4 IP against the Chicago White Sox.

The Tigers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-48 record overall and have a home record of 19-22. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Monday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .670 OPS. Tarik Skubal was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Jack Flaherty is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 5-5 with a 3.24 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.

The current betting odds have the Tigers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Tigers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 42-48 record overall which has them near the bottom of the AL Central and they are also 19-22 in their home games. Meanwhile, The Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 56-32 record overall which has them leading the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked good in their road games with their 26-21 road record, but the Tigers are the team with momentum coming into this one as they pulled off a sweep in their last series. They also have the more favorable pitching matchup here with Flaherty on the mound. He is 5-5 with a 3.24 ERA this year and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts. He did give up 5 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been the case for a majority of the season so he will be looking to bounce back with a better performance here. The Tigers have also won 4 of their last 5 games with him starting. The Guardians are going to have Williams on the mound here and he is in his 2nd season now, but he has only made 1 start this year, He is 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA as he gave up 5 earned runs in that start, only pitching 4 innings too. The Guardians haven't been at their best lately either, going 5-5 in their last 10 games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Tigers to win this game. 

Guardians Tigers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, July 8, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Tigers 4 Guardians 2.

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Cleveland Guardians: 48-29 (+13.27 units) on the moneyline in their last 77 games. 47-41 (+11.30 units) on the runline in their last 88 games. 52-36 to the over with their team total in their last 88 games.

Detroit Tigers: 38-46 (-13.95 units) on the runline in their last 84 games. 37-48 (-13.45 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 85 games. 41-32 to the over with their team total in their last 73 games.

Cleveland Guardians:  N. Sandlin (RP) - Back. E. Morgan (RP) - Elbow. G. Williams (SP) - Elbow. S. Bieber (SP) - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) - Shoulder.

Detroit Tigers:  E. Báez (SS) - Spine. A. Faedo (RP) - Hip. K. Carpenter (RF) - Spine. S. Gipson-Long (SP) - Groin.

“I’m a competitor because I always think I can get through the fifth, but I’m kind of happy with the way things turned out.” - Logan Allen after their win against the Giants in their game on Saturday.

“What a fun win. You know, we talk about winning series all the time, and this was the first series in a while where we feel really good about where we're at. Very proud of these dudes, and we'll see where it takes us.” - A.J. Hinch after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Saturday.

S Kwan (L) LF

A Martínez (S) 2B

J Ramírez (S) 3B

J Naylor (L) 1B

D Fry (R) DH

J Noel (R) RF

T Freeman (R) CF

B Naylor (L) C

B Rocchio (S) SS

M Vierling (R) LF

C Keith (L) 2B

M Canha (R) 1B

R Greene (L) DH

W Pérez (S) RF

G Urshela (R) 3B

Z McKinstry (L) SS

J Rogers (R) C

P Meadows (L) CF

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.365)

Hits:  José Ramírez (92)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (23)

RBI:  José Ramírez (76)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (16)

Wins:  Logan Allen (8)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (26)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Batting Average:  Andy Ibáñez (.285)

Hits:  Riley Greene (85)

Home Runs:  Riley Greene (17)

RBI:  Riley Greene (45)

Stolen Bases:  Javier Báez (6)

Wins:  Tarik Skubal (9)

Saves:  Jason Foley (14)

ERA:  Tarik Skubal (2.45)

Managers:

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)

Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (4th season)