Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 12, 2024
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Where to Watch: BSOH
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Guardians +102, Reds -122; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Guardians +100, Reds -120; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Guardians +100, Reds -120; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Cleveland Guardians: 42-22 (1st place, AL Central)
Cincinnati Reds: 32-34 (2nd place, NL Central)
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Cleveland Guardians: 6-4 last 10
Cincinnati Reds: 8-2 last 10
Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Preview and Analysis
The Guardians are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-22 record overall and have a road record of 21-14. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Reds on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .718 OPS. Triston McKenzie is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Tanner Bibee is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-1 with a 3.73 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Kansas City Royals.
The Reds are entering this series off a loss and won their 4-game series against the Chicago Cubs 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-34 record overall and have a home record of 17-18. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Guardians on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .682 OPS. Brent Suter is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Nick Lodolo is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-2 with a 2.92 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Chicago Cubs.
Guardians vs Reds Prediction
The current betting odds have the Reds listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Reds haven't looked great in their games this season with their 32-34 record overall and their 17-18 home record, but now they have been getting hot lately and this is the time to take them since they are the kind of team to go through a lot of hot and cold streaks. They have been really hot lately and they are catching their opponent at a good time since the Guardians have been cooling off themselves lately. The Guardians have looked great this season with their 42-22 record overall which leads the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. The Reds have still been the hotter team lately though, and it doesn't help the Guardians that they have Bibee on the mound here. Bibee hasn't been bad this season with his 4-1 record and his 3.73 ERA, but he has struggled at times this year, giving up runs consistently in his starts. The Reds offense hasn't been great this season, but they are starting to get hot now and they can really do some damage at home with the way they are hitting. The Reds also have a solid starter themselves here with Lodolo on the mound who is 6-2 with a 2.92 ERA. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and that has been a common theme for him since he hasn't given up many runs in his starts this season. The team has also won their last 3 games with him starting so they are going to bring their best effort in this game to stay hot. The best way to place a bet here is on the Reds to win this game.
Guardians Reds Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 12, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Reds 4 Guardians 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Cleveland Guardians: 42-22 (+17.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-14 (+7.9 units) on the moneyline in road games. 24-10 (+13.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 10-4 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. TANNER BIBEE is 23-15 UNDER in all games and 11-3 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds: 176-214 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 88-109 (-18.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 80-91 (-12 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. NICK LODOLO is 6-2 UNDER in all games, 13-7 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10, and 5-2 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher.
Key Injuries
Cleveland Guardians: G. Williams (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. E. Morgan (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Cincinnati Reds: E. Pagán (RP) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. B. Williamson (RP) Mid June - Shoulder. N. Marte (SS) Elig June 26 - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“With a game like today, and we have an off day tomorrow, we had our full bullpen ready to go. Man, they were special today.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Sunday.
“It was one of those you’re not in sync with your body. The mechanics mess with you. I couldn’t throw the fastball up when I wanted. My arm is healthy. My next bullpen I will figure why. I’ll just flip the page.” - Frankie Montas after their loss against the Cubs in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Tyler Freeman (R) CF
José Ramírez (S) 3B
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
David Fry (R) C
Andrés Giménez (L) 2B
Gabriel Arias (R) DH
Daniel Schneemann (L) RF
Brayan Rocchio (S) SS
Cincinnati Reds
Stuart Fairchild (R) RF
Elly De La Cruz (S) SS
Jeimer Candelario (S) 1B
Spencer Steer (R) DH
Jonathan India (R) 2B
Santiago Espinal (R) 3B
TJ Friedl (L) CF
Luke Maile (R) C
Blake Dunn (R) LF
Statistical Leaders
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average: Daniel Schneemann (.385)
Hits: José Ramírez (69)
Home Runs: José Ramírez (18)
RBI: José Ramírez (62)
Stolen Bases: José Ramírez (10)
Wins: Logan Allen (6)
Saves: Emmanuel Clase (19)
ERA: Shane Bieber (0.00)
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average: Jake Fraley (.288)
Hits: Elly De La Cruz (57)
Home Runs: Elly De La Cruz (11)
RBI: Spencer Steer (40)
Stolen Bases: Elly De La Cruz (34)
Wins: Nick Lodolo (6)
Saves: Alexis Díaz (13)
ERA: Alex Young (0.00)
Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (6th season)