Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/02/2024

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, July 2, 2024

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  YES

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +154, Yankees -185; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +154, Yankees -185; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +154, Yankees -185; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Cincinnati Reds:  39-45 (4th place, NL Central)

New York Yankees:  54-32 (2nd place, AL East)

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Cincinnati Reds:  4-6 last 10

New York Yankees:  3-7 last 10

The Reds are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-45 record overall and have a road record of 19-22. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .681 OPS. Hunter Greene was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Graham Ashcraft is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-4 with a 5.45 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 9 hits through 5.1 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-32 record overall and have a home record of 24-14. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .762 OPS. Gerrit Cole was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Luis Gil is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-3 with a 3.15 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 2 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.1 innings played against the New York Mets.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 54-32 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, trailing right behind the Orioles in 1st place. They have looked great in their home games with their 24-14 home record too. Meanwhile, the Reds haven't looked great in their games this season with their 39-45 record overall and their 19-22 road record which has them near the bottom of the NL Central and out of the playoff race right now. Ashcraft is going to be starting for the Reds in this game and that isn't going to help them get back on the winning track. He is 4-4 with a 5.45 ERA this season and he gave up 6 earned runs in his last start. The team has been playing well with him since they have won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, but he still gives up a ton of runs in his starts and the Yankees have one of the best offenses in the MLB that has been producing runs lately. The Yankees also have a great pitching staff and they are going to have Gil starting in this game who is 9-3 with a 3.15 ERA. The team has lost their last 2 games with him starting and he did give up 5 earned runs in his last start, but that has been very rare for him this season so he will be looking to bounce back with a much better performance here. The Reds don't have a great offense either so this is a good game for Gil to bounce back in while the Yankees offense does the rest here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game and on the runline.

Reds Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 2, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Reds 1.

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Cincinnati Reds: 38-44 (-11.35 units) on the first 5 innings runline in their last 81 games. 31-50 (-10.20 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 81 games. 24-15 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 39 games.

New York Yankees: 47-38 (+14.25 units) on the runline in their last 85 games. 34-18 (+14.90 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 52 games. 22-7 to the over in their last 29 games. 

Cincinnati Reds:  J. Fraley (RF) - Leg. N. Lodolo (SP) - Finger. T. Friedl (CF) - Hamstring. C. Encarnacion-Strand (1B) - Hand. E. Pagán (RP) - Lat. B. Williamson (SP) - Shoulder. I. Gibaut (RP) - Forearm. T. Antone (RP) - Elbow. M. McLain (SS) - Shoulder.

New York Yankees:  G. Stanton (DH) - Hamstring. G. Stanton (DH) - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) - Wrist. C. Poteet (SP) - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) - Lat. C. Schmidt (SP) - Lat. J. Berti (SS) - Calf. N. Burdi (RP) - Hip. J. Loáisiga (RP) - Elbow. J. Brubaker (SP) - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) - Back.

“I felt like I made some really good pitches. I was constantly behind hitters, but I felt like I was able to figure it out.” - Hunter Greene after their loss against the Cardinals in their game on Sunday.

“It’s just kind of head and shoulders above anything we’re seeing. What him and Juan are doing is hard to wrap your head around, especially in this hitting climate.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.

J India (R) 2B

E De La Cruz (S) SS

J Candelario (S) DH

S Steer (R) 1B

J Fraley (L) RF

N Marte (R) 3B

S Fairchild (R) CF

W Benson (L) LF

L Maile (R) C

A Volpe (R) SS

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) DH

A Verdugo (L) LF

G Torres (R) 2B

B Rice (L) 1B

A Wells (L) C

D LeMahieu (R) 3B

T Grisham (L) CF

Batting Average:  Austin Wynns (.600)

Hits:  Elly De La Cruz (79)

Home Runs:  Jeimer Candelario (14)

RBI:  Spencer Steer (51)

Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (40)

Wins:  Nick Lodolo (8)

Saves:  Alexis Díaz (17)

ERA:  Alex Young (0.00)

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (95)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (31)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (82)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (19)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (6th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)