Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/09/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Jul 08, 2023
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 9, 2023
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs +130, Yankees -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs +130, Yankees -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs +130, Yankees -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Chicago Cubs:  41-46 (3rd place, NL Central)
New York Yankees:  48-41 (4th place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Chicago Cubs:  4-6 last 10
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10



Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Cubs are entering this series off of a loss and split their 4-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-46 record overall and have a road record of 20-24. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .724 OPS. Drew Smyly is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Kyle Hendricks is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-3 with a 2.64 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Yankees are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and split their 4-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-41 record overall and have a home record of 27-22. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .706 OPS. Gerrit Cole is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Domingo Germán is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-5 with a 4.52 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 5 strikeouts on 9 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.


Cubs vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cubs listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cubs have been a really up and down team this season but they took the series opener of this series and will be looking to finish strong against the Yankees before going into the All-Star break. The Cubs have Hendricks starting in this game and he has been a really reliable starter for them all season since he hasn't given up many runs in any of his starts this year. The Yankees offense hasn't been that great this season either as they have been leaning more on their pitching as a team so Hendricks will have no issues trying to shut down this cold lineup. The Yankees are starting German here and he has been good in his last 2 starts but he hasn't been that reliable all season. Before his last 2 starts, he was terrible as he was giving up a ton of runs in his starts and he will be at risk here of getting blown up again with this Cubs lineup putting up runs in their games lately. The Cubs have the better pitching matchup here and they also have the better offense which they will use to take advantage of the Yankees in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cubs to win this game. 

Cubs Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 9, 2023 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Cubs 5 Yankees 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Chicago Cubs: 41-46 (-5.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 26-35 (-9.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 14-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 41-24 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.

New York Yankees: 24-13 (+5.3 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 13-8 (+4.5 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 23-14 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 13-7 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Key Injuries


Chicago Cubs:  D. Swanson (SS) Out Indefinitely - Heel. N. Madrigal (2B) Mid Aug - Hamstring. B. Boxberger (RP) Mid July - Forearm. B. Hughes (RP) out for season - Knee. A. Sampson (SP) Late July - Knee. C. Heuer (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Late July - Appendix. E. Roberts (RP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  J. Bauers (LF) Late July - Shoulder. J. Cordero (RP) out for season - Suspension. A. Judge (RF) Early Aug - Toe. F. Montas (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. W. Calhoun (DH) Mid July - Quadricep. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“Best Cub outing I think he’s had. The secondary stuff he was landing at will. The mix was just really good.” - David Ross on Jameson Taillon after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Friday.


“It was fun to watch him get after it.” - Aaron Boone on Carlos Rodon after his team’s loss against the Cubs in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Chicago Cubs
Nico Hoerner (R) SS
Seiya Suzuki (R) RF
Ian Happ (S) LF
Yan Gomes (R) DH
Christopher Morel (R) 2B
Trey Mancini (R) 1B
Cody Bellinger (L) CF
Miguel Amaya (R) C
Patrick Wisdom (R) 3B

New York Yankees
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
Billy McKinney (L) LF
Kyle Higashioka (R) C
Franchy Cordero (L) RF

Statistical Leaders


Chicago Cubs
Batting Average:  Cody Bellinger (.303)
Hits:  Nico Hoerner (93)
Home Runs:  Christopher Morel (15)
RBI:  Nico Hoerner (44)
Stolen Bases:  Nico Hoerner (20)
Wins:  Marcus Stroman (9)
Saves:  Adbert Alzolay (6)
ERA:  Daniel Palencia (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.291)
Hits:  Gleyber Torres (80)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (19)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (40)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (16)
Wins:  Gerrit Cole (8)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (10)
ERA:  Tommy Kahnle (0.00)

Managers:
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (4th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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