by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jul 07, 2023
Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Saturday, July 8, 2023
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Cubs +155, Yankees -180; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Cubs +155, Yankees -180; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Cubs +155, Yankees -180; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Chicago Cubs: 40-46 (3rd place, NL Central)
New York Yankees: 48-40 (3rd place, AL East)
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Recent Form
Chicago Cubs: 3-7 last 10
New York Yankees: 5-5 last 10
Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis
The Cubs are entering this series off of a loss and split their 4-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-46 record overall and have a road record of 19-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Jameson Taillon is their starting pitcher on Friday while Drew Smyly is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-5 with a 4.10 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 3.2 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Yankees are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and split their 4-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-40 record overall and have a home record of 27-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .711 OPS. Carlos Rodón is their starting pitcher on Friday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-2 with a 2.79 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.
Cubs vs Yankees Prediction
The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees are trying to climb the standings in the AL East right now and they just missed an opportunity to cut down on the gap in a series against the Orioles but they still have a chance to finish off strong at home here before the All-Star break starts. The Cubs have been a really up and down team all season as they have gone through cold streaks and hot streaks but right now they have been mediocre over the last week and will struggle to win this game with the pitching matchup. They are going to be facing the Yankees ace here and Cole has been solid all season, not giving up many runs in any of his starts. He has also been pitching well in his starts lately and he will have no issues shutting down the Cubs offense which has also been really up and down this season. The Cubs have Smyly starting here and he started the season pitching well but has been slipping in his starts lately as he is starting to give up more runs now. The Yankees don't have a great offense this year but they have been playing well at home and they will find ways to put the runs up in this game as they lean on their much better starter and one of the best bullpens in the MLB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game and on the runline.
Cubs Yankees Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 8, 2023 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 3 Cubs 0.
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MLB Betting Trends
Chicago Cubs: 40-46 (-6.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 26-35 (-9.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 13-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 40-24 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.
New York Yankees: 16-3 (+11.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 13-7 (+6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 9-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200. 12-7 UNDER in an inter-league game.
Key Injuries
Chicago Cubs: D. Swanson (SS) Ques Fri - Heel. N. Madrigal (2B) Mid Aug - Hamstring. B. Boxberger (RP) Mid July - Forearm. B. Hughes (RP) out for season - Knee. A. Sampson (SP) Late July - Knee. C. Heuer (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Late July - Appendix. E. Roberts (RP) out for season - Elbow.
New York Yankees: J. Bauers (LF) Ques Fri - Shoulder. J. Cordero (RP) out for season - Suspension. A. Judge (RF) Early Aug - Toe. C. Rodon (SP) Prob Fri - Elbow. F. Montas (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. W. Calhoun (DH) Mid July - Quadricep. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“Guys are grinding hard right now and playing with every ounce of energy they've got. It's standing out. We're never out of the game.” - David Ross after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Thursday.
“Obviously, tonight’s just a bad night for us — no fun to go through, but part of it. We’ve got to obviously kind of dig deep and get Sevy to where he needs to be.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Cubs
Mike Tauchman (L) DH
Nico Hoerner (R) SS
Ian Happ (S) LF
Seiya Suzuki (R) RF
Christopher Morel (R) 2B
Cody Bellinger (L) CF
Yan Gomes (R) C
Jared Young (L) 1B
Patrick Wisdom (R) 3B
New York Yankees
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Anthony Rizzo (L) DH
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
Billy McKinney (L) RF
DJ LeMahieu (R) 1B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) LF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Cubs
Batting Average: Cody Bellinger (.298)
Hits: Nico Hoerner (91)
Home Runs: Christopher Morel (15)
RBI: Nico Hoerner (43)
Stolen Bases: Nico Hoerner (20)
Wins: Marcus Stroman (9)
Saves: Adbert Alzolay (5)
ERA: Daniel Palencia (0.00)
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Aaron Judge (.291)
Hits: Gleyber Torres (79)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (19)
RBI: Aaron Judge (40)
Stolen Bases: Anthony Volpe (16)
Wins: Gerrit Cole (8)
Saves: Clay Holmes (10)
ERA: Tommy Kahnle (0.00)
Managers:
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (4th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
