Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/27/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 27, 2025

Venue:  Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Flames +180, Lightning -218; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Flames +180, Lightning -220; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Flames +180, Lightning -220; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Calgary Flames:  28-21-6 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Tampa Bay Lightning:  33-20-4 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Calgary Flames:  4-5-1 last 10

Tampa Bay Lightning:  7-2-1 last 10

The Flames are entering this game with 64 points, a 28-21-8 record overall, and they are 11-11-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Washington Capitals in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-1. Matt Coronato, Jonathan Huberdeau, and Martin Pospisil each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Kevin Bahl, Nazem Kadri, Ryan Lomberg, and Ilya Solovyov each led the team in assists with 1 while Nazem Kadri and MacKenzie Weegar each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Dan Vladar was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 27 shots with 26 saves and a .963 save percentage. Their offense has scored 154 goals this season averaging 2.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 168 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Lightning are entering this game with 70 points, a 33-20-4 record overall, and they are 20-7-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1. Michael Eyssimont, Brandon Hagel, Victor Hedman, and Nicholas Paul each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Nikita Kucherov led the team in assists with 2 while Michael Eyssimont led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Andrei Vasilevskiy was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 24 shots with 23 saves and a .958 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 205 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 155 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Lightning listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lightning have looked good in their games this season with their 33-20-4 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked great on home ice this year with their 20-7-2 home record, and they have been getting really hot lately, climbing the standings in the East. Meanwhile, the Flames have looked good in their games this season with their 28-21-8 record overall which has them in 4th place of their division in the West and in a Wild Card spot at the moment, but they are not safe from falling out of that spot. They just climbed over the Canucks who were in front of them by beating the Capitals in their last one, but the Flames haven't been a good road team this year with their 11-11-4 road record. They brought their best effort for the Capitals since they are one of the best teams in the NHL, but the Flames haven't looked that good lately as they are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games. The Lightning have been much hotter lately with their 7-2-1 record in their last 10 games, and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 6 wins in a row now. That was a big win for the Flames over the Caps, but they have struggled a lot on the road this season and the Lightning can take advantage of that with the way they have been rolling lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lightning to win this game and on the puckline. 

Flames Lightning Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, February 27, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Lightning 4 Flames 1.

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Calgary Flames: 104-116 (-51.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-31 (-20.6 units) on the moneyline revenging a home loss versus an opponent. 4-13 (-15.1 units) on the moneyline revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more. 48-56 (-9.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record.

Tampa Bay Lightning: 57-34 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline in non-conference games. 29-19 (+5.5 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 26-15 (+5.5 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 69-44 (+8.4 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game.

Calgary Flames:  J. Kirkland (C) Out For Season - Lower-body. A. Mantha (RW) Out For Season - Lower-Body.

Tampa Bay Lightning:  J. Johansson (G) Day To Day - Lower Body.

“He’s a very good goaltender. He’d probably like to have a few more starts at this point of the season and to be honest with you there’s been some nights where he’s deserved to go back in. He’s done a really good job and been a really supportive roommate.” - Ryan Huska on Dan Vladar after his team’s win against the Capitals in their game on Tuesday.

“Tonight’s game sticks out because we really defended well. We’re not giving up a slew of chances. When we do, it’s one and that’s it. The odd man rushes aren’t there, so we’ve really done a good job in just concentrating on the area that you need to win. And hence, a few in a row have gone by here now.” - Jon Cooper after his team’s win against the Oilers in their game on Tuesday.

LW Jonathan Huberdeau

C Nazem Kadri

RW Matt Coronato

LD Kevin Bahl

RD Rasmus Andersson

G Dan Vladar

LW Jake Guentzel

C Brayden Point

RW Nikita Kucherov

LD Victor Hedman

RD Janis Jérôme Moser

G Andrei Vasilevskiy

Points: N. Kadri (43)

Goals: J. Huberdeau (22)

Assists: M. Weegar (26)

GAA: D. Wolf (2.62)

Points: N. Kucherov (85)

Goals: B. Point (31)

Assists: N. Kucherov (59)

GAA: A. Vasilevskiy (2.26)

Coaches:

Calgary Flames: Ryan Huska (3rd season)

Tampa Bay Lightning: Jon Cooper (13th season)