Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/25/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, January 25, 2024

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics -5.5, Heat +5.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics -5.5, Heat +5.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics -5.5, Heat +5.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Boston Celtics:  34-10 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

Miami Heat:  24-19 (1st place, Southeast Division)

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Boston Celtics:  7-3 last 10

Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10

The Celtics are entering this game with a 34-10 record overall and they are 14-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Houston Rockets and the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 39 while Jaylen Brown was next on the team with 34 points. Jrue Holiday and Payton Pritchard each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jayson Tatum led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 46.6% from the field, 32.6% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.6 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 22-20-2 this season and their O/U record is 22-22.

The Heat are entering this game with a 24-19 record overall and they are 12-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Toronto Raptors, the Atlanta Hawks, and the Orlando Magic in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Memphis Grizzlies still to be played on Wednesday. In their game against the Magic, Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 22 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 15 points. Bam Adebayo led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 37.5% from the field, 32.4% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.7 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 19-23-1 this season and their O/U record is 18-25.

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked great in their games this season with their 34-10 record overall which leads the East and is also the best record in the entire NBA. The Celtics have been leading the NBA with the best record for most of the season and they have looked good in their road games with their 14-9 road record. Meanwhile, the Heat have also looked good in their games this season with their 24-19 record overall but they are trying to climb the standings in the East right now. They haven't looked that great in their home games though with their 12-8 home record. They haven't looked that good in their games lately either, losing 3 games in a row now. The Celtics are one of the best teams in the NBA this season and they have looked like it in a lot of their games. They also have a lot of momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. The Heat are also in a bad situation here since they are playing this game on a back-to-back and the Celtics are going to have extra motivation against the Heat considering how they were kicked out of the playoffs last year by the Heat. The Celtics are going to bring their best effort in this game to shut the Heat down. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Celtics Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, January 25, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 122 Heat 108.

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Boston Celtics: 1-6 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 7-15 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road wins. 6-3 UNDER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 31-22 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less.

Miami Heat: 35-22 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 33-22 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 11-6 UNDER as an underdog. 13-7 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 6-3 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents.

Boston Celtics:  O. Brissett (PF) Ques Thurs - Back.

Miami Heat:  H. Highsmith (SF) Prob Wed - Foot. J. Jaquez Jr. (SG) Doub Wed - Groin. D. Smith (SG) out for season - Knee.

“I just told our guys in the locker room, there’s only one time where I saw the schedule catch up to us. I forgot it was a back-to-back just watching our guys compete. I couldn’t tell. It’s a credit to them.” - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s win against the Mavericks in their game on Monday.

“Sometimes you're going to have rough patches, but as long as you're generating the right types of looks, you can't be obsessed with the results, even if it's frustrating. You also have to give Orlando credit. They were very physical tonight and they kind of blew up a lot of our movement.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Magic in their game on Sunday.

PG Jrue Holiday

SG Derrick White

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Jayson Tatum

C Kristaps Porzingis

PG Terry Rozier 

SG Tyler Herro

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Caleb Martin

C Bam Adebayo

PPG: J. Tatum (27)

APG: D. White (4.8)

Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.4)

PPG: T. Herro (22)

APG: T. Herro (4.4)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.5)

Coaches:

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)