Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/27/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Venue:  Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Bruins -105, Lightning -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Bruins -105, Lightning -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Bruins -105, Lightning -115; Over/Under:  6 goals

Boston Bruins:  41-16-15 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

Tampa Bay Lightning:  39-25-7 (4th place, Atlantic Division)

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Boston Bruins:  6-3-1 last 10

Tampa Bay Lightning:  7-1-2 last 10

The Bruins are entering this game with 97 points, a 41-16-15 record overall, and they are 18-7-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Philadelphia Flyers in their last game, losing that one on the road 3-2, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Florida Panthers still to be played on Monday night. In their game against the Flyers, Justin Brazeau and Danton Heinen each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Charlie Coyle, Jake DeBrusk, Morgan Geekie, and Mason Lohrei each led the team in assists with 1 while Jake DeBrusk and Danton Heinen each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Linus Ullmark was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 29 shots with 26 saves and a .896 save percentage. Their offense has scored 241 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 200 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The Lightning are entering this game with 85 points, a 39-25-7 record overall, and they are 21-9-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Anaheim Ducks in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-2 in overtime. Anthony Cirelli, Anthony Duclair, and Luke Glendening each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Brandon Hagel, Tanner Jeannot, Nick Perbix, and Austin Watson each led the team in assists with 1 while Nikita Kucherov led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jonas Johansson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 32 shots with 30 saves and a .938 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 250 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 235 goals against them allowing 3.3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Lightning listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lightning have looked good in their games this season with their 39-25-7 record overall which has them in 4th place of their division in the East and in a Wild Card spot right now. They are trying to climb out of the Wild Card and into a divisional playoff spot and they have looked really good lately as they have been surging up the standings. They have also looked great on home ice with their 21-9-4 home record, looking a lot better in those games this year. Meanwhile, the Bruins have looked great in their games this season with their 41-16-15 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the East right now with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They are in a race with the Panthers for 1st place in the division and they have a game against the Panthers right before this one. They are in a terrible situation here since they are playing this game on a back-to-back and that is a really important game against the Panthers too so they aren't going to have their best effort here after playing on Monday night. They haven't looked as good in their road games this year either, going 18-7-9 in road games. The Bruins have looked hot lately with their 6-3-1 record in their last 10 games, but the Lightning have been the hotter team coming into this one with their 7-2-1 record in their last 10 games. The Lightning have been hot lately and they have the advantage being on home ice here with the Bruins on a back-to-back too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lightning to win this game.

Bruins Lightning Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, March 27, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Lightning 4 Bruins 1.

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Boston Bruins: 162-87 (+23.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 51-25 (+18 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 6-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 5.5. 9-3 OVER revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less. 

Tampa Bay Lightning: 45-43 (-14.7 units) on the moneyline vs. division opponents. 7-10 (-4.3 units) on the moneyline off a road win. 20-11 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders. 85-60 OVER after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games.

Boston Bruins:  J. Beecher (C) Ques Tues - Illness. P. Maroon (LW) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Forbort (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Poitras (C) out for season - Shoulder. M. Lucic (LW) out for season - Ankle.

Tampa Bay Lightning:  H. Fleury (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. B. Point (C) Ques Wed - Lower Body. V. Hedman (D) Ques Wed - Lower Body. M. Sergachev (D) Late April - Leg. B. Seabrook (D) out for season - Shoulder. L. Brown (C) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

“These are the games you want to be in this time of year. Coming up, that’s what they’re going to be like.” - Danton Heinen after their loss against the Flyers in their game on Saturday.

“Since the trade deadline we’ve really turned the corner. Duclair and (defenseman Matt) Dumba have come in and really given our team a little life. Special teams have been great and the goaltending has been excellent and it's added up to some points for us in the last few weeks here.” - Jon Cooper after his team’s win against the Ducks in their game on Sunday.

LW Marchand, Brad

C Coyle, Charlie

RW DeBrusk, Jake

LD Grzelcyk, Matt

RD McAvoy, Charlie

G Swayman, Jeremy

LW Hagel, Brandon

C Cirelli, Anthony

RW Kucherov, Nikita

LD Raddysh, Darren

RD Cernak, Erik

G Johansson, Jonas

Points: D. Pastrnak (99)

Goals: D. Pastrnak (44)

Assists: D. Pastrnak (55)

GAA: J. Swayman (2.57)

Points: N. Kucherov (123)

Goals: N. Kucherov (41)

Assists: N. Kucherov (82)

GAA: A. Vasilevskiy (2.94)

Coaches:

Boston Bruins: Jim Montgomery (2nd season)

Tampa Bay Lightning: Jon Cooper (12th season)