Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/27/2024

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 27, 2024

Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Falcons -2.5, Buccaneers +2.5; Over/Under:  46 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Falcons -2.5, Buccaneers +2.5; Over/Under:  46 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Falcons -2.5, Buccaneers +2.5; Over/Under:  46 points

Atlanta Falcons:  4-3 (1st place, NFC South)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  4-3 (2nd place, NFC South)

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Atlanta Falcons:  lost their last game at home against the Seattle Seahawks 34-14.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  lost their last game at home against the Baltimore Ravens 41-31.

The Falcons are entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 34-14. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 24/35 passes for 232 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 103 and 1 TD. Kyle Pitts led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Justin Simmons and Dee Alford each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while James Smith-Williams led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 41-31. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 31/45 passes for 370 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 40. Cade Otton led the receivers with 100 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Antoine Winfield Jr. led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Antoine Winfield Jr. and YaYa Diaby each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons have looked good in their games this season with their 4-3 record overall and their 3-0 division record which leads the NFC South. They are coming off a big loss at home to the Seahawks in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back in this game and have been great in the division. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have looked good in their games this season with their 4-3 record overall which has them challenging the Falcons in the division, but they are coming off a loss in their last game and that was a decimating loss for them. They lost 41-31 to the Ravens and lost their 2 best WRs to injury in that game too. Godwin is likely out for the season while Evans is now dealing with a hamstring injury. The Bucs are already low on weapons this week, but that game was also on Monday night so this is a shorter week for them and puts them at a big disadvantage here. The Bucs almost beat the Falcons on the road just a few weeks ago, but this is going to be a very different game with the Bucs missing a lot of key players now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game. 

Falcons Buccaneers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 27, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 27 Buccaneers 20.

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Atlanta Falcons: 7-14 ATS as a favorite. 9-17 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 2-9 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 24-17 UNDER in all games. 6-1 UNDER after scoring 14 points or less last game. 9-3 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 8-2 ATS revenging a loss against an opponent. 14-7 1H ATS as an underdog. 7-3 1H ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 13-6 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 20-12 UNDER against conference opponents. 8-3 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.

Atlanta Falcons:  K. McGary (T) Injured - NIR-Rest. J. Matthews (T) Injured - NIR-Rest. D. Onyemata (DL) Injured - NIR-Rest. G. Jarrett (DL) Injured - NIR-Rest. T. Graham (DL) Injured - NIR-Rest. J. Simmons (SAF) Questionable - Hamstring. A. Hamilton (CB) Questionable - Back. L. Carter (OLB) Out - Illness. M. Judon (OLB) Injured - NIR - Rest. N. Landman (LB) Injured - Calf. T. Andersen (LB) Out - Knee. K. Hodge (WR) Injured - NIR - Personal. B. Robinson (RB) Injured - NIR - Rest.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  L. David (LB) Injured - Rest. V. Vea (NT) Questionable - Hamstring. W. Gholston (DL) Injured - Knee. M. Evans (WR) Injured - Hamstring. J. Dean (CB) Out - Hamstring. A. Winfield (SAF) Injured - Foot. E. Brown (DE) Questionable - Ribs. P. Durham (TE) Out - Calf. C. Izien (SAF) Injured - Elbow. T. Palmer (WR) Questionable - Concussion. R. Jarrett (WR) Out - Knee. R. White (RB) Questionable - Foot. K. Johnson (WR) Out - Ankle. C. Braswell (OLB) Injured - Shoulder. G. Barton (C) Injured - Hamstring.

“A tough day at the office. Pro football has a way of testing you like that.” - Kirk Cousins after their loss against the Seahawks in their last game. 

“He's a player. We'e trying to win the ballgame. We were still down 10, we're trying to get extra points and kick another onside kick. It just happened. With Mike (Evans) going down, we didn't have that many receivers left as it was, so we play what we got.” - Todd Bowles after his team’s loss against the Ravens in their last game. 

WR Mooney, Darnell

WR London, Drake

WR McCloud III, Ray-Ray 

TE Pitts, Kyle 

QB Cousins, Kirk 

RB Robinson, Bijan

WR Palmer, Trey 

WR McMillan, Jalen

WR Shepard, Sterling 

TE Otton, Cade 

QB Mayfield, Baker

RB White, Rachaad

Passing: K. Cousins (1830)

Rushing: B. Robinson (483)

Receiving: D. London (491)

Touchdowns: D. London (5)

Passing: B. Mayfield (1859)

Rushing: B. Irving (351)

Receiving: C. Godwin (576)

Touchdowns: M. Evans (6)

Coaches:

Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (1st season)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (3rd season)