Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/13/2024

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 13, 2024

Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Padres +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Padres +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Padres +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  51-41 (2nd place, NL East)

San Diego Padres:  49-47 (2nd place, NL West)

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Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10

San Diego Padres:  4-6 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-41 record overall and have a road record of 22-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .709 OPS. Rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is their starting pitcher on Friday while Reynaldo López is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-2 with a 1.71 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Padres are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 2-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-47 record overall and have a home record of 25-26. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Randy Vásquez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Matt Waldron is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-7 with a 3.61 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 51-41 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East, trailing behind the Phillies in 1st place. They haven't looked as good in their road games though, going 22-24 in those this season. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked good with their 49-47 record overall which has them back in the playoff race after a rough start to the season, but they haven't looked that good in their home games with their 25-26 home record. The Padres just got swept in a mini series against the Mariners which they were at home for and they haven't looked great lately with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The Braves just split their last series on the road and haven't looked that much better with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games, but they do have the better pitching matchup here. They are going to have Lopez on the mound in this one and he has been their ace this season. He is 7-2 with a 1.71 ERA and hasn't given up many runs all season. He gave up no runs in his last start against the Phillies who have one of the best offenses in the MLB, and his team has won 6 of their last 7 games with him starting. The Padres will have Waldron on the mound here and he hasn't been terrible with his 5-7 record and his 3.61 ERA, but this is the kind of game that he will get into trouble. His team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting and even though he only gave up 3 earned runs in his last start, that is still too much to give up when facing a starter like Lopez and the way he has looked this season. The Braves will be looking to bounce back since they had a chance to win their last series but split it instead. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Braves Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 13, 2024 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Braves 4 Padres 1.

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Atlanta Braves: 22-32 (-10.45 units) on the runline in their last 54 games. 8-16 (-10.80 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 24 away games. 23-13 to the under with their team total in their last 36 away games.

San Diego Padres: 12-8 (+3.25 units) on the moneyline in their last 20 games. 34-31 (+3.50 units) on the runline in their last 65 games. 8-2 to the under with their first 5 team total in their last 10 games.

Atlanta Braves:  B. Anderson (RF) Prob Fri - Lower Body. R. Laureano (CF) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Kerr (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. M. Harris II (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body. J. Herget (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.

San Diego Padres:  Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Cosgrove (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. F. Tatis Jr. (RF) Late July - Quadricep. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow. X. Bogaerts (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“We've been hitting the ball well. That's just the way it goes sometimes.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Diamondbacks in their game on Thursday.

“In games like that it’s about execution. We weren’t able to get the big hit and we didn’t play clean as we liked to defensively.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s loss against the Mariners in their game on Wednesday.

J Kelenic (L) CF

O Albies (S) 2B

A Riley (R) 3B

M Olson (L) 1B

M Ozuna (R) DH

A Duvall (R) RF

E Rosario (L) LF

S Murphy (R) C

O Arcia (R) SS

L Arraez (L) 1B

J Profar (S) LF

J Cronenworth (L) 2B

M Machado (R) DH

D Solano (R) 3B

J Merrill (L) CF

D Peralta (L) RF

H Kim (R) SS

B Sullivan (L) C

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.298)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (102)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (24)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (75)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (12)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (21)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (101)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (14)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (59)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (17)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (7)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (22)

ERA:  Logan Gillaspie (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)