Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/05/2024

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Wednesday, June 5, 2024

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -105, Red Sox -115; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

Atlanta Braves:  33-24 (2nd place, NL East)

Boston Red Sox:  30-30 (3rd place, AL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-24 record overall and have a road record of 14-12. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Max Fried is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-30 record overall and have a home record of 13-17. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Kutter Crawford is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Nick Pivetta is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-4 with a 4.08 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 9 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox haven't looked great in their games this season with their 30-30 record overall which has them near the bottom of the AL East. They have struggled in their home games too with their 13-17 home record, but this is a pitching matchup that is going to give the Red Sox a good chance to pick up a home win. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 33-24 record overall, but they have been picking up some key injuries lately and that is going to start taking a toll on them. The Braves are also rolling out a rookie starter here which is going to help them much since he has only made 1 MLB start in his career and gave up 3 runs, the team losing that game 7-2. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have Pivetta starting in this game and he hasn't been lights out this season, but he has been getting the job done. He is 2-4 with a 4.08 ERA, but lately he has looked a lot better in his starts and only gave up 2 earned runs in his last one. He also has a lot more experience which will help him navigate this banged up Braves lineup while the rookie on the other side is still trying to figure things out. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game and on the runline to keep it close.

Braves Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 5, 2024 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 5 Braves 2.

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Atlanta Braves: 240-149 (+12.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 85-51 (+4.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 112-80 (+4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 35-20 UNDER in all games. 7-1 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 15-2 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Boston Red Sox: 186-198 (-22.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 95-97 (-18.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 98-78 (-11.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 5-0 UNDER against NL East opponents. 13-6 UNDER in an inter-league game. 16-5 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher.

Atlanta Braves:  A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Boston Red Sox:  W. Abreu (CF) Ques Tues - Ankle. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. R. Gonzalez (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. O'Neill (RF) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Yoshida (LF) Out indefinitely - Hand. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder. I. Campbell (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Hendriks (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“I look at it individually and see some positives offensively with guys, which is what we’ve been trying to do. We’ve been playing good baseball. We just haven’t hit, but I see a light at the end of the tunnel for a bunch of guys.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Athletics in their game on Sunday.

“There were some matchups we liked but others we didn't, but that's where we were in the bullpen. One pitch away from getting out of it. ... A pitch to Javey, down in the zone and he put a good swing on it and then they kept going.” - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Adam Duvall (R) RF

Jarred Kelenic (L) LF

Sean Murphy (R) C

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Jarren Duran (L) LF

Wilyer Abreu (L) RF

Dominic Smith (L) 1B

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Enmanuel Valdez (L) 2B

Garrett Cooper (R) DH

Reese McGuire (L) C

Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF

David Hamilton (L) SS

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.313)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (66)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (17)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (53)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (8)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (15)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Rob Refsnyder (.337)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (64)

Home Runs:  Tyler O'Neill (11)

RBI:  Ceddanne Rafaela (33)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (11)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (6)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (9)

ERA:  Pablo Reyes (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)