Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/10/2024

 

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Wednesday, July 10, 2024

Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Where to Watch:  BSSO

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -135, Diamondbacks +115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -135, Diamondbacks +115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -135, Diamondbacks +115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  50-39 (2nd place, NL East)

Arizona Diamondbacks:  45-46 (3rd place, NL West)

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Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10

Arizona Diamondbacks:  6-4 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-39 record overall and have a road record of 21-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Braves won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .711 OPS. Chris Sale is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-5 with a 3.96 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-46 record overall and have a home record of 22-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Zac Gallen is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Slade Cecconi is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-6 with a 6.10 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 2 strikeouts on 8 hits through 4.2 innings played against the San Diego Padres.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 50-39 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East, trailing behind the Phillies in 1st place. They haven't looked great in their road games with their 21-22 road record. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks haven't looked great in their games this season with their 45-46 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL West. They are only 22-22 in their home games too, and this was the team that went to the World Series last season. The Braves already took the 1st game of this series on Monday with a win in extra innings and their offense has looked a lot better in their last few games. The Diamondbacks have also been hitting well lately, but they didn't have the offense to get the job done on Monday and now the Braves have the better pitching matchup here. They are going with Morton in this one and he is 5-5 with a 3.96 ERA. He hasn't been lights out in his starts this year, but he hasn't been terrible either. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he still gives the Braves the edge over their starter in this one. The Diamondbacks are going with Cecconi on the mound but he is 2-6 with a 6.10 ERA. He has had some bad starts this season and hasn't looked any better lately either. He just gave up 5 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him and the team has also lost 3 games in a row with him starting. The Braves haven't looked right this year with all of their injuries, but now they are starting to get hot again and this is a pitching matchup they can take advantage of. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Braves Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 10, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Braves 7 Diamondbacks 5.

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Atlanta Braves: 13-21 (-12.15 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 34 away games. 7-14 (-9.80 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 21 away games. 52-30 to the under in their last 82 games. 

Arizona Diamondbacks: 17-10 (+6.10 units) on the runline in their last 27 games. 20-15 (+4.15 units) on the moneyline in their last 35 games. 22-11 to the under with their team total in their last 33 home games. 

Atlanta Braves:  O. Arcia (SS) - Head. B. Anderson (RF) - Bacterial Infection. R. Kerr (RP) - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) - Elbow. M. Harris (CF) - Hamstring. S. Strider (SP) - Elbow. R. Acuña (RF) - Knee. J. Herget (SP) - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) - Hip. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) - Oblique. A. Perdomo (RP) - Elbow.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  G. Moreno (C) - Thumb. M. Walston (SP) - Elbow. Z. Gallen (SP) - Hamstring. K. Kelly (SP) - Shoulder. K. Nelson (RP) - Shoulder. M. Castro (RP) - Shoulder. A. Thomas (CF) - Hamstring. E. Rodriguez (SP) - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) - Elbow.

“I thought the bullpen guys did a great job of holding them in check. It's a good win to get.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Monday.

“You've just got to finish the inning. He made some really good pitches to get to that position and then a couple mistakes. A couple things went wrong and good teams will capitalize on that. I'm still shaking my head — a two-out homer doesn't happen very often. But it's been happening to us a little lately.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Monday.

J Kelenic (L) CF

O Albies (S) 2B

A Riley (R) 3B

M Olson (L) 1B

M Ozuna (R) DH

A Duvall (R) RF

E Rosario (L) LF

S Murphy (R) C

O Arcia (R) SS

C Carroll (L) RF

K Marte (S) 2B

J Pederson (L) DH

C Walker (R) 1B

L Gurriel Jr. (R) LF

G Moreno (R) C

E Suárez (R) 3B

A Thomas (L) CF

G Perdomo (S) SS

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.292)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (96)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (23)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (73)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (11)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (21)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Randal Grichuk (.288)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (95)

Home Runs:  Christian Walker (22)

RBI:  Christian Walker (65)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (16)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (6)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (11)

ERA:  Justin Martinez (1.42)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)