Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/09/2024

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 9, 2024

Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Where to Watch:  ARID

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +105, Diamondbacks -125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +105, Diamondbacks -125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +105, Diamondbacks -125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  49-39 (2nd place, NL East)

Arizona Diamondbacks:  45-45 (3rd place, NL West)

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Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10

Arizona Diamondbacks:  6-4 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-39 record overall and have a road record of 20-22. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Monday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Chris Sale is their starting pitcher on Monday while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-5 with a 3.96 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-45 record overall and have a home record of 22-21. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .737 OPS. Rookie pitcher Yilber Diaz is their starting pitcher on Monday while Zac Gallen is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-4 with a 3.06 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 49-39 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East, trailing behind the Phillies in 1st place. They haven't looked great in their road games with their 20-22 road record. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks haven't looked great in their games this season with their 45-45 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL West. They are only 22-21 in their home games too, and this was the team that went to the World Series last season. They are starting to get hot again though, going 6-4 in their last 10 games and winning their series against the Padres over the weekend which helped them in the division. They are going to have their stud on the mound in this one too, going with Gallen who is 6-4 with a 3.06 ERA. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts all year, and the team has won their last 2 games with him starting too. The Braves are at a clear disadvantage here with Morton on the mound since he is 5-5 with a 3.96 ERA. He hasn't been terrible this season, but he also gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and that has been more of a common theme for him this year. The Braves have also lost 2 of the last 3 games that he started in and their offense hasn't been producing as much as the Diamondbacks have been in their games lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game. 

Braves Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 9, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 4 Braves 1.

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Atlanta Braves: 12-21 (-13.15 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 33 away games. 6-14 (-11.05 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 20 away games. 51-24 to the under in their last 75 games. 

Arizona Diamondbacks: 17-9 (+7.30 units) on the runline in their last 26 games. 41-50 (+5.25 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 91 games. 22-12 to the under with their team total in their last 34 home games. 

Atlanta Braves:  O. Arcia (SS) - Head. B. Anderson (RF) - Bacterial Infection. R. Kerr (RP) - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) - Elbow. M. Harris (CF) - Hamstring. S. Strider (SP) - Elbow. R. Acuña (RF) - Knee. J. Herget (SP) - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) - Hip. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) - Oblique. A. Perdomo (RP) - Elbow.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  G. Moreno (C) - Thumb. M. Walston (SP) - Elbow. Z. Gallen (SP) - Hamstring. K. Kelly (SP) - Shoulder. K. Nelson (RP) - Shoulder. M. Castro (RP) - Shoulder. A. Thomas (CF) - Hamstring. E. Rodriguez (SP) - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) - Elbow.

“He was really good against a really good lineup.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Sunday.

“I think both teams were a little bit tired, emotionally spent, from two pretty intense games. We all know the outcomes, we all know how we got to the outcomes, and those were not easy games. Those were emotionally taxing. So the team came out today and played really good baseball.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Sunday.

J Kelenic (L) CF

O Albies (S) 2B

A Riley (R) 3B

M Olson (L) 1B

M Ozuna (R) DH

T d'Arnaud (R) C

A Duvall (R) RF

O Arcia (R) SS

E White (R) LF

C Carroll (L) RF

G Moreno (R) C

J Pederson (L) DH

C Walker (R) 1B

J McCarthy (L) LF

G Perdomo (S) SS

E Suárez (R) 3B

A Thomas (L) CF

K Newman (R) 2B

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.295)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (96)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (23)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (72)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (11)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (21)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Randal Grichuk (.288)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (95)

Home Runs:  Christian Walker (22)

RBI:  Christian Walker (64)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (15)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (6)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (11)

ERA:  Justin Martinez (1.50)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)