Arizona State Sun Devils vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/11/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 10, 2025
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 11, 2025
Venue:  T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO 
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ASU +5.5, KSU -5.5; Over/Under:  142.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  ASU +5.5, KSU -5.5; Over/Under:  142.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ASU +5.5, KSU -5.5; Over/Under:  142.5 points

Season Record

Arizona State Sun Devils:  13-18 (4-16) (15th place, Big 12)
Kansas State Wildcats:  15-16 (9-11) (10th place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
Arizona State Sun Devils:  1-4  last 5
Kansas State Wildcats:  2-3  last 5


Arizona State Sun Devils vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview and Analysis


Arizona State is entering this game with a 13-18 record overall, a 4-16 record in conference games, and they are 5-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in their last game. Basheer Jihad led the team in points in that game with 22 while Joson Sanon was next on the team with 16. Alston Mason led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Basheer Jihad and Shawn Phillips each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 37.3% from the field, 13.3% from 3-point range, and 73.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 76.6 PPG against them. Arizona State has an ATS record of 16-15 this season and their O/U record is 16-15.


Kansas State is entering this game with a 15-16 record overall, a 9-11 conference record, and they are 2-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game. David N'Guessan led the team in points in that game with 19 while Dug McDaniel was next on the team with 14. Dug McDaniel led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Coleman Hawkins led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 37.7% from the field, 9.5% from 3-point range, and 68.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 71.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.7 PPG against them. Kansas State has an ATS record of 17-14 this season and their O/U record is 12-19.



Arizona State vs Kansas State Prediction

The current betting odds have Kansas State listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kansas State hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 15-16 record overall and their 9-11 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the Big 12. They haven't looked bad in these neutral site games though, going 2-1 in the 3 games they have played all season. Meanwhile, Arizona State has looked terrible in their games this season with their 13-18 record overall and their 4-16 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the Big 12. They have looked great in neutral site games though with their 5-1 record in those. Arizona State has struggled a lot throughout the season and they haven't looked good in their games lately. They are 1-4 in their last 5 games and have no momentum on their side with 4 losses in a row now. Their last win did come against Kansas State in a road game, but they have lost 4 games in a row since that win and all 4 losses were by double digits. Kansas State hasn't looked great lately as they are 2-3 in their last 5 games and coming off a loss to Texas Tech in their last one, but their 2 wins have both come in their last 3 games, and that loss to Texas Tech wasn't that bad since Texas Tech has been one of the best teams in the Big 12 all season. Kansas State also struggled with Arizona State as they won on the road by 1 and lost that last game at home by double digits, so they are going to be looking to have a better performance and can take advantage of the way Arizona State has folded up in these last few games of the regular season. The best way to place a bet here is on Kansas State to cover the spread in this game. 

Arizona State Kansas State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, March 11, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Kansas State 68 Arizona State 60.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Arizona State Sun Devils Kansas State Wildcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Arizona State Sun Devils: 1-3 ATS in conference tournament games. 5-9 1H ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses. 4-1 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 9-4 OVER after allowing 85 points or more. 34-23 OVER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.

Kansas State Wildcats: 8-3 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick. 8-0 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 31-15 ATS after playing a home game. 7-3 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 5-1 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%).

Key Injuries


Arizona State Sun Devils:  A. Miller (G) Questionable - Hip. J. Quaintance (F) Questionable - Knee. A. Nunez (G) Out - Foot.

Kansas State Wildcats:  None.

Notable Quotes


“I’m here getting ready for the Big 12 tournament. And all those decisions are really out of my hands.” - Bobby Hurley after his team’s loss against Texas Tech in their regular season finale. 


"One game, just win one game. Tournaments, the hardest game to win is the first because everybody has new life and everybody has hope. We just got to lock in, figure out who we're going to play, win that one game and go from there. But you've got to win the first one. That's kind of all we're talking to the guys about." - Jerome Tang on the Big 12 Tournament. 


Starting Lineups


Arizona State Sun Devils
B. Freeman 
B. Jihad 
A. Mason 
A. Miller 
J. Quaintance

Kansas State Wildcats
B. Hausen 
C. Hawkins 
M. Jones 
D. McDaniel 
D. N'Guessan

Statistical Leaders


Arizona State Sun Devils
PPG: B. Freeman (13.7)
APG: A. Mason (4)
Reb/G: J. Quaintance (7.9)

Kansas State Wildcats
PPG: D. N'Guessan (13.3)
APG: D. McDaniel (4.9)
Reb/G: D. N'Guessan (7.2)

Coaches:
Arizona State Sun Devils: Bobby Hurley (10th season)
Kansas State Wildcats: Jerome Tang (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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