Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/09/2024

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, June 9, 2024

Venue:  Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA 

Where to Watch:  ARID

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +124, Padres -148; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +120, Padres -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +120, Padres -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Arizona Diamondbacks:  30-34 (4th place, NL West)

San Diego Padres:  33-34 (2nd place, NL West)

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Arizona Diamondbacks:  5-5 last 10

San Diego Padres:  4-6 last 10

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-34 record overall and have a road record of 15-18. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Padres on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Diamondbacks won the series opener of this series on Thursday and lost the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Ryne Nelson is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Scott McGough is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 1-3 with a 6.35 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 1 K on 0 hits through 1 IP against the San Diego Padres.

The Padres are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-34 record overall and have a home record of 14-20. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Padres lost the 1st game of this series on Thursday and won the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Matt Waldron is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Adam Mazur is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 2 strikeouts on 2 hits through 6 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.

The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres haven't looked good in their games this season with their 33-34 record overall and their terrible 14-20 home record, but their division has been so bad that they are still in 2nd place with that record. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks went to the World Series last year, but they haven't looked good at all this season with their 30-34 record overall and their 15-18 road record which has them below the Padres in the division. The Padres have had the slightly better offense this season and that is going to help them out here since their bats got hot on Friday night, taking the 2nd game of this series. That is going to give them some momentum for the rest of the series and they also have the better pitching matchup that they can take advantage of. The Padres are going with their rookie Mazur in this game, but he has been good this season with his 0-0 record and 1.50 ERA. He has only made 1 start this year and the team lost that game, but he only gave up 1 earned run and is going to give his team a good chance to win in this game. The Diamondbacks don't really have a starter set in stone so it could be a bullpen game for them and their bullpen hasn't been great lately with the runs they have been giving up. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.

Diamondbacks Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 9, 2024 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Padres 5 Diamondbacks 2.

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Arizona Diamondbacks: 198-208 (+8.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 68-86 (+11.5 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 97-109 (+10 units) on the moneyline in road games. 24-15 UNDER against right-handed starters. 23-13 UNDER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs. 27-16 UNDER after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals.

San Diego Padres: 211-193 (-36.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 153-123 (-37.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 104-95 (-35.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 5-1 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. 7-1 UNDER after scoring 9 runs or more 2 straight games. 4-1 UNDER after scoring 10 runs or more in a win over a division rival.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  B. Walston (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. A. Thomas (CF) Late May - Hamstring. K. Nelson (RP) out for season - Shoulder.

San Diego Padres:  M. Machado (3B) Ques Sat - Hip. Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow. X. Bogaerts (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. G. Otto (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. 

“The way we were matching up, the way we were duking it out and getting big outs, making pitches. We just kept moving downfield. We finished the game and it was exciting. The dugout erupted. It was a big win for us.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Thursday.

“When you have your big boys being big boys, that’s what this thing’s all about. Tati’s a big boy and he knows that. ... He’s just going out right now and he’s in a good place and when his talent’s on display, nothing but positives for us.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Friday.

Corbin Carroll (L) CF

Ketel Marte (S) 2B

Joc Pederson (L) DH

Christian Walker (R) 1B

Jake McCarthy (L) LF

Randal Grichuk (R) RF

Eugenio Suárez (R) 3B

Gabriel Moreno (R) C

Blaze Alexander (R) SS

Luis Arraez (L) 1B

Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF

Jurickson Profar (S) LF

Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B

Donovan Solano (R) 3B

David Peralta (L) DH

Jackson Merrill (L) CF

Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS

Luis Campusano (R) C

Batting Average:  Randal Grichuk (.298)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (71)

Home Runs:  Ketel Marte (13)

RBI:  Christian Walker (39)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (10)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (5)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (7)

ERA:  Thyago Vieira (0.00)

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.378)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (74)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (11)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (42)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (13)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (5)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (17)

ERA:  Logan Gillaspie (0.00)

Managers:

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)