Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/08/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jun 07, 2024
Game Time: 8:40 pm ET, Saturday, June 8, 2024
Venue:  Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA 
Where to Watch:  SDPA


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +120, Padres -142; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +120, Padres -142; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +120, Padres -142; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Arizona Diamondbacks:  30-33 (3rd place, NL West)
San Diego Padres:  32-34 (2nd place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks:  5-5 last 10
San Diego Padres:  4-6 last 10



Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis


The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-33 record overall and have a road record of 15-17. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. The Diamondbacks won the series opener of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Brandon Pfaadt is their starting pitcher on Friday while Ryne Nelson is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-4 with a 5.44 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 1 K on 6 hits through 7.2 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Padres are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-34 record overall and have a home record of 13-20. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. The Padres lost the 1st game of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Michael King is their starting pitcher on Friday while Matt Waldron is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-5 with a 3.98 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 4 strikeouts on 2 hits through 6.1 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.


Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction

The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres haven't looked good in their games this season with their 32-34 record overall and their 13-20 home record. The Padres still find themselves in 2nd place of the NL West with their record below .500, but they won't be in the race for the division unless they start turning things around. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks haven't looked great in their games this season either with their 30-33 record overall and their 15-17 road record. They are right behind the Padres in 3rd place, but this is the team that went to the World Series last year and they just haven't been the same team this year. They aren't going to have the best pitching matchup in this game either. Nelson is on the mound for the Diamondbacks here and hasn't looked great in his starts. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but he is still 3-4 with a 5.44 ERA this season since he has been giving up more runs in his starts all year. The Padres have Waldron on the mound here and he hasn't been lights out this year, but he has still been a solid starter for them. He is only 3-5 but has a 3.98 ERA and he only gave up 1 earned run in his last start too. The Padres do have the better pitching matchup here and they have the slightly better offense on the season so this is a good game to take them in at home as they look to start turning things around there. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game. 

Diamondbacks Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 8, 2024 (8:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 3 Diamondbacks 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Arizona Diamondbacks: 198-206 (+10.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 68-84 (+13.6 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 97-107 (+12 units) on the moneyline in road games. 24-13 UNDER against right-handed starters. RYNE NELSON is 11-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher and 13-6 UNDER in road games.

San Diego Padres: 209-193 (-38.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 151-123 (-39.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 102-95 (-37.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. MATT WALDRON is 9-2 UNDER in all games, 6-0 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175, and 6-1 UNDER in home games.

Key Injuries


Arizona Diamondbacks:  B. Walston (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. A. Thomas (CF) Late May - Hamstring. K. Nelson (RP) out for season - Shoulder.

San Diego Padres:  Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow. X. Bogaerts (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. G. Otto (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. 


Notable Quotes


“The way we were matching up, the way we were duking it out and getting big outs, making pitches. We just kept moving downfield. We finished the game and it was exciting. The dugout erupted. It was a big win for us.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Thursday.


“Tough series. I’m not going to kid you. Start of the trip, we get two wins and then can't pick up another one. I mean, today, another unusual game. Two swings got us, but they were two big swings.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s loss against the LA Angels in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Arizona Diamondbacks
Corbin Carroll (L) CF
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Joc Pederson (L) DH
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Pavin Smith (L) RF
Eugenio Suárez (R) 3B
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Kevin Newman (R) SS

San Diego Padres
Luis Arraez (L) 1B
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
David Peralta (L) DH
Jackson Merrill (L) CF
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
Tyler Wade (L) 3B
Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Blaze Alexander (.300)
Hits:  Ketel Marte (69)
Home Runs:  Ketel Marte (12)
RBI:  Christian Walker (39)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (10)
Wins:  Zac Gallen (5)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (7)
ERA:  Justin Martinez (0.42)

San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.374)
Hits:  Fernando Tatis (73)
Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (10)
RBI:  Jake Cronenworth (40)
Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (13)
Wins:  Dylan Cease (5)
Saves:  Robert Suarez (17)
ERA:  Logan Gillaspie (0.00)

Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)
San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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