by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 3, 2024
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: ARID
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +140, Dodgers -166; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +140, Dodgers -166; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +140, Dodgers -166; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Arizona Diamondbacks: 41-43 (3rd place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 52-33 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 6-4 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-43 record overall and have a road record of 19-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Ryne Nelson is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Jordan Montgomery is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-5 with a 6.03 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 1 K on 9 hits through 2.2 IP against the Minnesota Twins.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-33 record overall and have a home record of 25-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .774 OPS. Bobby Miller is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Gavin Stone is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-2 with a 2.73 ERA this season. His team won their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 9 innings played against the Chicago White Sox.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 52-33 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked good in their home games with their 25-16 home record. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks went to the World Series last year, but they haven't looked great in their games this season with their 41-43 record overall. They are well out of the division race with that record and they haven't looked great in their road games either, going 19-22 in their road games this year. They aren't going to get much help in this game with the pitching matchup either since they are going with Montgomery on the mound here. He is 6-5 with a 6.03 ERA this season and he has been giving up a lot of runs all season. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and he gave up 9 hits too which is going to be a problem against the Dodgers who have one of the best offenses in the entire MLB. The Dodgers also lost their series over the weekend to the Giants so they will be looking to bounce back in this one, and they have a solid starter on the mound with Stone in this game. He is 9-2 with a 2.73 ERA this year and has been one of the best starters in the rotation for the Dodgers this season. He pitched 9 innings in his last start without giving up any runs, and the team has had a ton of success with him lately, winning their last 6 games with him starting. The Dodgers have a big edge with this pitching matchup and the much better offense to back Stone up here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game and on the runline.
Diamondbacks Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 3, 2024 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 9 Diamondbacks 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks: 33-43 (-15.90 units) on the runline in their last 76 games. 39-43 (-9.65 units) on the moneyline in their last 83 games. 43-33 to the under with their team total in their last 76 games.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 10-5 (+7.10 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 15 games. 27-14 (+6.05 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 41 games. 15-7 to the under with their team total in their last 22 home games.
Key Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks: G. Moreno (C) - Thumb. M. Walston (SP) - Elbow. Z. Gallen (SP) - Hamstring. K. Kelly (SP) - Shoulder. K. Nelson (RP) - Shoulder. M. Castro (RP) - Shoulder. A. Thomas (CF) - Hamstring. E. Rodriguez (SP) - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) - Elbow.
Los Angeles Dodgers: M. Muncy (3B) - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) - Hip. M. Betts (SS) - Hand. M. Grove (RP) - Lat. Y. Yamamoto (SP) - Triceps. J. Kelly (RP) - Posterior. R. Brasier (RP) - Calf. C. Brogdon (RP) - Foot. K. Hurt (SP) - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) - Shoulder. G. Sheehan (SP) - Forearm. C. Kershaw (SP) - Elbow. A. Gonsolin (SP) - Elbow. D. May (SP) - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“You find out a lot about guys when you're in the trench. I hear what's going on. I hear the evaluations. I hear the self-awareness. I hear the support. I hear the coaching between players, the advice, the sharing of knowledge. That's what stands out most to me about today. These guys fought. It wasn't an easy win. We're not playing our absolute best baseball. We made some mistakes. But we overcame them, and we won a game that I felt was one of those midseason must-win type of categories.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Sunday.
“They were just on the fastball today. We tried to go to some other things, but they were just all over it.” - James Paxton after their loss against the Giants in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Arizona Diamondbacks
C Carroll (L) CF
K Marte (S) 2B
J Pederson (L) DH
C Walker (R) 1B
L Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
J McCarthy (L) RF
E Suárez (R) 3B
T Barnhart (L) C
G Perdomo (S) SS
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
T Hernández (R) LF
F Freeman (L) 1B
A Pages (R) CF
J Heyward (L) RF
G Lux (L) 2B
C Taylor (R) 3B
K Hernández (R) SS
A Barnes (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Ketel Marte (.287)
Hits: Ketel Marte (91)
Home Runs: Ketel Marte (17)
RBI: Christian Walker (53)
Stolen Bases: Corbin Carroll (14)
Wins: Zac Gallen (6)
Saves: Paul Sewald (11)
ERA: Paul Sewald (0.54)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Miguel Vargas (.324)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (102)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (26)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (62)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (16)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (13)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
