by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jul 01, 2024
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Tuesday, July 2, 2024
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +160, Dodgers -192; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +160, Dodgers -192; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +160, Dodgers -192; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Arizona Diamondbacks: 41-43 (3rd place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 52-33 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 6-4 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-43 record overall and have a road record of 19-22. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Brandon Pfaadt was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Ryne Nelson is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-6 with a 5.69 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 10 hits through 3.2 IP against the Minnesota Twins.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-33 record overall and have a home record of 25-16. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .774 OPS. James Paxton was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Bobby Miller is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 1 strikeout on 4 hits through 2 innings played against the Chicago White Sox.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 52-33 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked good in their home games with their 25-16 home record. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks went to the World Series last year, but they haven't looked great in their games this season with their 41-43 record overall. They are well out of the division race with that record and they haven't looked great in their road games either, going 19-22 in their road games this year. They aren't going to get much help in this game with the pitching matchup either, starting Nelson in this one. He is 5-6 with a 5.69 ERA and he has been giving up a lot of runs lately. He gave up 6 earned runs in his last start and that will be an issue here with the Dodgers back at home and looking to bounce back after losing their last series to the Giants. The Dodgers are going to have Miller on the mound in this one and he is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA. He has struggled in his few starts this season, giving up 3 earned runs in only 2 innings in his last start, but he will be looking to bounce back here. The Dodgers also have one of the best offenses in the entire MLB to back him up here so the edge is with the Dodgers to bounce back at home in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Diamondbacks Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 2, 2024 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 7 Diamondbacks 4.
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MLB Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks: 32-43 (-16.90 units) on the runline in their last 75 games. 32-40 (-13.35 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 72 games. 42-32 to the under with their team total in their last 74 games.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 10-4 (+7.10 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 14 games. 27-13 (+7.35 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 40 games. 13-4 to the under with their team total in their last 17 home games.
Key Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks: G. Moreno (C) - Thumb. M. Walston (SP) - Elbow. Z. Gallen (SP) - Hamstring. K. Kelly (SP) - Shoulder. K. Nelson (RP) - Shoulder. M. Castro (RP) - Shoulder. A. Thomas (CF) - Hamstring. E. Rodriguez (SP) - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) - Elbow.
Los Angeles Dodgers: M. Muncy (3B) - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) - Hip. M. Betts (SS) - Hand. M. Grove (RP) - Lat. Y. Yamamoto (SP) - Triceps. J. Kelly (RP) - Posterior. R. Brasier (RP) - Calf. C. Brogdon (RP) - Foot. K. Hurt (SP) - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) - Shoulder. G. Sheehan (SP) - Forearm. C. Kershaw (SP) - Elbow. A. Gonsolin (SP) - Elbow. D. May (SP) - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“You find out a lot about guys when you're in the trench. I hear what's going on. I hear the evaluations. I hear the self-awareness. I hear the support. I hear the coaching between players, the advice, the sharing of knowledge. That's what stands out most to me about today. These guys fought. It wasn't an easy win. We're not playing our absolute best baseball. We made some mistakes. But we overcame them, and we won a game that I felt was one of those midseason must-win type of categories.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Sunday.
“They were just on the fastball today. We tried to go to some other things, but they were just all over it.” - James Paxton after their loss against the Giants in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Arizona Diamondbacks
C Carroll (L) CF
K Marte (S) 2B
J Pederson (L) DH
C Walker (R) 1B
L Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
J McCarthy (L) RF
E Suárez (R) 3B
T Barnhart (L) C
G Perdomo (S) SS
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
T Hernández (R) LF
F Freeman (L) 1B
A Pages (R) CF
J Heyward (L) RF
G Lux (L) 2B
C Taylor (R) 3B
K Hernández (R) SS
A Barnes (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Ketel Marte (.287)
Hits: Ketel Marte (91)
Home Runs: Ketel Marte (17)
RBI: Christian Walker (53)
Stolen Bases: Corbin Carroll (14)
Wins: Zac Gallen (6)
Saves: Paul Sewald (11)
ERA: Paul Sewald (0.54)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Miguel Vargas (.324)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (102)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (26)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (62)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (16)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (13)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
