Alabama Crimson Tide vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/07/2023

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 7, 2023

Venue:  Kyle Field, College Station, TX 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -2.5, Texas A&M +2.5; Over/Under:  47 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -2.5, Texas A&M +2.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama -2.5, Texas A&M +2.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  4-1 (2-0) (2nd place, SEC West)

Texas A&M Aggies:  4-1 (2-0) (1st place, SEC West)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  won their last game on the road against the Mississippi State Bulldogs 40-17.

Texas A&M Aggies:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Arkansas Razorbacks 34-22.

Alabama is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Mississippi State 40-17. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 10/12 passes for 164 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jalen Milroe led the team in rushing yards with 69 and 2 TDs. Amari Niblack led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Caleb Downs led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Trezmen Marshall led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Caleb Downs, Jihaad Campbell, and Chris Braswell each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Texas A&M is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Arkansas 34-22. Max Johnson was the starting QB and he completed 17/28 passes for 210 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Le'Veon Moss led the team in rushing yards with 107. Ainias Smith led the receivers with 71 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Edgerrin Cooper led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Edgerrin Cooper led the defense in sacks with 2. Chris Russell came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Texas A&M listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas A&M is 4-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road against Miami-FL who also looked really good in their first few games. Texas A&M has a solid defense that has not been giving up many points in their games and their offense also looked a lot better with Max Johnson under center. Alabama is also 4-1 this season with their only loss coming at home to Texas who looks like one of the best teams in the country right now, but Alabama has also looked a lot better since that loss to Texas. They have been putting up more points in their last 2 games and their defense has also been really good as they are keeping Alabama in a lot of games when the offense isn't moving the ball. That is going to be the key here with 2 good defenses though and Texas A&M has a more reliable offense right now with a better QB running it. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas A&M to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Texas A&M Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 7, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Texas A&M 21 Alabama 17.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 19-9 ATS in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49. 54-37 ATS off a road win. 8-4 UNDER after playing 2 straight conference games. 10-3 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 

Texas A&M Aggies: 15-25 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 2-6 ATS after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. 4-10 ATS after allowing 175 or less total yards in their previous game. 5-1 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 8-4 UNDER after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  D. Lawson (LB) Ques Sat - Ankle. E. Henderson Jr. (WR) Out indefinitely - Hip.

Texas A&M Aggies:  C. Weigman (QB) out for season - Ankle. J. Gilbert (DB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Green (TE) out for season - Knee.

“There’s a lot of things that we think we can improve on. But I also think there’s a lot of good things that we need to build on. There are signs of the way we played in the second half against Ole Miss and times that we played in this game where we just got to build on that. We’re not where we want to be, we’re not where we need to be.” - Nick Saban after his team’s win against MS State in their last game. 

“We should have put up a lot more points than we did. The defense played unbelievable.” - Max Johnson after their win against Arkansas in their last game. 

WR Benson, Malik  

WR Burton, Jermaine

WR Bond, Isaiah 

TE Dippre, CJ 

QB Milroe, Jalen 

RB McClellan, Jase 

WR Stewart, Evan 

WR Thomas, Noah 

WR Smith, Ainias 

TE Wright, Max 

QB Johnson, Max  

RB Daniels, Amari 

FB Crownover, Earnest

Passing: J. Milroe (838)

Rushing: J. MccLellan (326)

Receiving: J. Burton (189)

Touchdowns: J. Milroe (4)

Passing: C. Weigman (979)

Rushing: L. Moss (276)

Receiving: E. Stewart (357)

Touchdowns: N. Thomas (4)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nick Saban (17th season)

Texas A&M Aggies: Jimbo Fisher (6th season)