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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NHL Previews and Odds - 10/24/2024

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Oct 24, 2024

The Thursday sports card features NFL, NCAAF, NBA, and NHL action. Week 8 in the National Football League kicks off with one game. The Minnesota Vikings travel to Los Angeles to play the Rams on Amazon Prime at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Vikings had won five games in a row before their 31-29 upset loss at home against Detroit as a 1-point underdog last Sunday. The Rams ended a two-game losing streak with a 20-15 victory against Las Vegas as a 7.5-point favorite on Sunday. Minnesota is a 3-point road favorite with the total set at 48 (all odds from DraftKings). Week 9 in NCAAF college football continues with two games between FBS opponents. Old Dominion hosts Georgia Southern on ESPN2 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Monarchs have won three of their last four games after their 24-14 upset win against Texas State as a 10.5-point underdog last Saturday. The Eagles won for the fifth time in their last six games with their 28-14 upset victory as a 10-point underdog on Saturday. Old Dominion is a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 54. Pittsburgh plays at home against Syracuse on ESPN at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Panthers have won their first six games this season after a 17-15 victory against California as a 3.5-point favorite on October 12th. The Orange are on a three-game winning streak after their 24-17 win at North Carolina State as a 1-point favorite on October 12th. Pittsburgh is a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 62.The National Basketball Association has four games on its docket. The Boston Celtics play in Washington against the Wizards at 7:10 p.m. ET as a 13-point road favorite with an over/under of 232. The Dallas Mavericks are home against the San Antonio Spurs on TNT at 7:30 p.m. ET as an 8-point favorite with a total of 229.5. The Denver Nuggets host the Oklahoma City Thunder on TNT at 10:00 p.m. ET as a 2-point favorite with an over/under of 226. The Minnesota Timberwolves are in Sacramento against the Kings at 10:10 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 226.5. The National Hockey League has nine games on its slate. Five NHL games drop the puck at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Toronto Maple Leafs play at home against the St. Louis Blues as a -238 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Tampa Bay Lightning are home against the Minnesota Wild as a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 6. The New York Rangers host the Florida Panthers as a -155 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Dallas Stars visit Boston to play the Bruins as a -122 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The New Jersey Devils play in Detroit against the Red Wings as a -162 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Two NHL games start at 9:10 p.m. ET. The Colorado Avalanche are in Utah to play the Hockey Club as a -135 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Carolina Hurricanes travel to Calgary to play the Flames as a -166 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The Winnipeg Jets plays in Seattle against the Kraken at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -135 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The Los Angeles Kings play at home against the San Jose Sharks at 10:40 p.m. ET as a -325 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.

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College Football: 3 Teams Undervalued In The Market

by Kyle Hunter

Wednesday, Oct 23, 2024

It’s already week nine of the college football season. Where does the time go? I wanted to take a look at a few teams and examine three teams I believe are undervalued in the betting market right now. We’ll look at why they might be overvalued and their remaining schedule. These are not in any specific order. Kansas Jayhawks (1-6 ATS and 2-5 SU) The Kansas Jayhawks have been one of the most disappointing teams in the country this year. I still believe in Lance Leipold as a head coach though. The loss of Andy Kotelnicke as offensive coordinator has been tough to handle for the team. Jalon Daniels has struggled badly for much of the season. Daniels and the Kansas offense broke out with a great performance against a good Houston defense last week. Is it the sign of things to come or not? Kansas is up to 16th in success rate on offense. They have had some terrible field position and haven’t been able to connect on big plays. The offensive line is getting it going though. They are second in offensive line yards for the season. They seem to be finding an identity.Remaining Schedule: at Kansas State, Iowa State, at BYU, Colorado, at BaylorThe Big 12 is highly competitive, so the schedule isn’t an easy one. They’ll be catching points though and I’ll be looking for spots to back them.  Akron Zips (2-5 ATS and 1-6 SU) We go under the radar for the second team. The Akron Zips from the MAC. Akron is -6 in TO margin on the season. The Zips have only scored a touchdown on 8 out of 17 trips into the red zone. That should positively regress some in MAC play. The defense is giving up fewer big plays than a year ago. Akron is a decent 84th in defensive line yards this year. Joe Moorhead is a bright offensive mind, and I expect him to be able to get something going against some of the weaker teams in the league.Remaining Schedule: Eastern Michigan, Buffalo, at N Illinois, at Kent State, ToledoAkron has played one of the toughest schedules of a non Power 4 team. The Zips have been tested and I think it will benefit them down the stretch. TCU Horned Frogs (2-5 ATS and 4-3 SU) TCU has seen the ball bounce the other way a lot this year. TCU has forced six fumbles and only recovered one of them. They have also fumbled the ball 14 times and lost 9 of them. They’ve had some very poor fumble luck. They have a -10 TO margin on the season.TCU is a solid 34th in the  country in yards per play margin on the season. Defensively, TCU is 12th in passing play success rate allowed. They have the secondary to slow down some of the good passing attacks in the Big 12. Remaining Schedule: Texas Tech, at Baylor, Oklahoma State, Arizona, at CincinnatiThe underlying metrics for this team suggest they have been unlucky. I’ll look for spots to find value backing them. 

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College Football: 3 Teams Overvalued In The Market

by Kyle Hunter

Wednesday, Oct 23, 2024

It’s already week nine of the college football season. Where does the time go anyways? I wanted to take a look at a few teams and examine three teams I believe are overvalued in the betting market right now. We’ll look at why they might be overvalued and their remaining schedule. These are not in any specific order. BYU Cougars (6-1 ATS) BYU is having a really good season. They are 7-0 straight up and 6-1 against the number. I think there are several signs of regression in their statistics though. BYU is 59th in offensive success rate. They have been reliant on being excellent in the red zone (which can be random) and hitting explosive plays. Defensively, BYU is 82nd in defensive line yards. They are 79th in yards per carry allowed. The run defense will be exposed by top rushing attacks. Jake Retzlaff has a history of turning it over and he has been fortunate to not turn it over more several times this year.Remaining Schedule: at UCF, at Utah, Kansas, at Arizona State, HoustonThere isn’t a layup of a game on this schedule. The Utah game doesn’t look nearly as imposing as it would have before their injury woes. Arizona State on the road is a tough and Skattebo will be running a lot on this BYU defense. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-1-1 ATS) Illinois is 6-1 straight up and 5-1-1 ATS this year. Bret Bielema’s team is certainly better than preseason expectations, but I don’t think they are as good as many believe they are now. Illinois is 69th in the nation in yards per play margin. They are +7 in turnover margin. Luke Altmeyer has thrown only one interception this year despite having 9 turnover worthy plays according to PFF. The Illinois defense is 112th in success rate allowed. They are 124th in defensive line yards. Illinois has already allowed 20 sacks on offense. This isn’t the profile of a really good team.Remaining Schedule: at Oregon, Minnesota, Michigan State, at Rutgers, at NorthwesternThe rest of the schedule is fairly easy outside of the game at Oregon. Still, I think laying points with this team is dangerous given their clear weaknesses.  Memphis Tigers (4-3 ATS) Memphis is 6-1 straight up this year, but they aren’t playing like a top notch team. Memphis is +10 in turnover margin this season. They have recovered 9 fumbles lost by the opposition this year, which is the most in the country. Memphis is only 60th in the nation in yards per play margin though, and they have played the 117th toughest schedule in the country (very easy) according to Jeff Sagarin. Memphis’ defense is giving up loads of explosive plays. Opponents have 33 plays of 20 yards or more on them already this year. The Memphis passing game is 87th in pass play success rate on the season. Remaining schedule: Charlotte, at UTSA, Rice, UAB, at TulaneThis is an easy schedule the rest of the way too on the whole. The game at Tulane could be a massive one for both teams! Memphis has played down to weak opponents in the past couple years though, so I’m cautious laying big numbers with them. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, NBA, NHL, and UEFA Champions League Previews and Odds - 10/23/2024

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Oct 23, 2024

The Wednesday sports card features NCAAF, NBA, NHL, and UEFA Champions League action.Week 9 in NCAAF college football continues with two games between FBS opponents. Liberty travels to Kennesaw State on the CBS Sports Network at 7:00 p.m. ET. The Flames are on a five-game winning streak after their 31-24 victory in overtime against Florida International as a 16-point favorite on October 8th. The Owls have lost their first six games of the season after a 14-5 setback against Middle Tennessee as an 8-point underdog last Tuesday. Liberty is a 26-point favorite with the total set at 46.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Jacksonville State hosts Middle Tennessee on ESPN2 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Gamecocks are on a three-game winning streak after their 54-13 victory at home against New Mexico State as a 21-point favorite on October 9th. The Blue Raiders ended a five-game losing streak with their victory against Kennesaw State last week. Jacksonville State is a 21-point favorite with an over/under of 64.The National Basketball Association has ten games on its docket. The Indiana Pacers play in Detroit against the Pistons at 7:10 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point road favorite with a total of 234. Four more NBA games tip off at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Cleveland Cavaliers are at Toronto to play the Raptors as a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 224.5. The Atlanta Hawks play at home against the Brooklyn Nets as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 221. The Milwaukee Bucks visit Philadelphia to play the Bucks on ESPN as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 224. The Miami Heat are home against the Orlando Magic as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 208. Two NBA games start at 8:10 p.m. ET. The New Orleans Pelicans host the Chicago Bulls as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 226. The Houston Rockets play at home against the Charlotte Hornets as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 229.5. The Memphis Grizzles play in Utah against the Jazz as a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 228. Two games conclude the NBA card at 10:10 p.m. ET. The Golden State Warriors are at Portland against the Trail Blazers as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 222. The Phoenix Suns travel to Los Angeles to play the Clippers on ESPN as a 5-point road favorite with an over/under of 225. The National Hockey League has one game on its slate. The Washington Capitals are home against the Philadelphia Flyers on TNT/truTV/Max at 7:40 p.m. ET as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 6.Matchday 3 in the UEFA Champions League concludes with nine matches. Two matches start at 12:45 p.m. ET. Atalanta hosts Celtic as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Beyer Leverkusen plays at Brest as a -1.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 3.5.Seven matches conclude the UCL card at 3:00 p.m. ET. Manchester City plays at home against Sparta Praha as a -2.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Liverpool is at RB Leipzig as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 3.5. Barcelona is home against Bayern Munich as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Atletico Madrid hosts Lille on the CBS Sports Network as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Benfica plays at home against Feyenoord as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Salzburg is home against GNK Dynamo as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Inter Milan visits the Young Boys as a -1.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. All nine Champions League matches are available on Paramount+.

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College Football Week 8 Top 12 Poll

by Wayne Root

Tuesday, Oct 22, 2024

College football's Week 8 slate for the 2024 season produced several outcomes that altered the top 12 College rankings. Tennessee beat Alabama 24-17, Georgia upset Texas, and Miami held on in another high-scoring battle to knock off Louisville. Additionally, Illinois knocked off Michigan, while BYU and Iowa State remained unbeaten in the Big 12 with last-second victories. Could 10-win teams pose a problem for the CFP committee? The new College Football Playoff means opportunity for two-loss – and perhaps even three-loss teams to make the postseason.  College Football Top 12 Rankings (After Week 8)1. Oregon (7-0)Week 8 Result: Defeated PurdueA week after a massive win over Ohio State, Oregon was on letdown alert for a trip to Purdue. The Oregon Ducks kept their foot on the gas with a 35-0 win over Purdue Friday night to erase any doubts of a fluke. So a win over Ohio State and Purdue, a trap game situation, and the Ducks are clearly the best in the Big Ten right now. The Ducks simply took care of business in an easy 35-0 victory. Quarterback Dillon Gabriel was efficient once again (21 of 25 for 290 yards and two touchdowns), and the defense pitched its first shutout since 2012. One big takeaway from the Oregon win Friday night was the red zone efficiency. Five touchdowns in five trips will do!2. Georgia (6-1)Week 8 Result: Defeated TexasThe Bulldogs made a statement in Saturday's 30-15 win over Texas: The SEC still runs through Athens. Georgia’s defense was so good, it seemed like Quinn Ewers and Arch Manning were both seeing ghosts Saturday night. This was the type of performance you’d expect from a national title contender. After losing to Alabama and a so-so performance last week against Mississippi State, coach Kirby Smart's team had plenty of doubters leading into the showdown with the Longhorns. The Bulldogs came back to life on defense and the running game was stout, despite Carson Beck’s three interceptions holding the offense back. The SEC just got way more interesting. Georgia dominated along the line of scrimmage, registering seven sacks and also forcing three turnovers to hold a high-powered Texas offense to 15 points and 3.4 yards a play.3. Ohio State (5-1)Week 8 Result: Bye WeekOhio State probably needed a breather following the upset loss to Oregon. The Buckeyes were that close and it could’ve been the difference between this ranking and the No. 1 overall spot. The Buckeyes – the preseason Big Ten favorite – are the third team from the conference in the top six. Ohio State had a bye week to evaluate the 32-31 loss to Oregon on Oct. 12, and Nebraska is a welcome challenge ahead of Penn State. Edge rushers JT Tuimoloau (3.0 sacks) and Jack Sawyer (2.5 sacks) are players to watch in the second half of the season, especially this week against freshman quarterback Dylan Raiola. The Buckeyes are set to return to action Saturday against Nebraska. After the date versus the Cornhuskers, Ohio State has a tough road trip on tap to Penn State on Nov. 2. First up, it’s Nebraska before the Penn State showdown. 4. Texas (6-1)Week 8 Result: Lost to Georgia Texas looked like the best team in the country when it dominated Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry. Saturday night, the offense looked overmatched by new SEC foe Georgia. The Longhorns fell 30-15 to Georgia in Saturday night's anticipated SEC showdown. Texas' high-powered offense was held to 259 yards, lost three turnovers, and had four drives end in Bulldogs' territory without points. Quinn Ewers, Arch Manning, didn’t matter. Neither quarterback was going to get going against the Bulldogs. Now, is there a controversy? Did Steve Sarkisian unintentionally create one? Coach Steve Sarkisian's program is still squarely in the mix for the SEC title, but it's clear Georgia is still the team to beat in '24.5. Miami (7-0)Week 8 Result: Defeated LouisvilleAnother week, another thrilling win for the Hurricanes. The Miami Hurricanes avoided disaster again. Stop us if you heard that before. Maybe it’s not avoiding disaster so much as the ‘Canes know how to win thrilling close games? This time, Cam Ward did it with 319 yards in a 52-45 win over Louisville. Miami is 7-0 and in the driver’s seat in the ACC. Coach Mario Cristobal's team struggled to get stops against Louisville's passing game but scored on defense with a fumble recovery for a touchdown and made one timely stop in the fourth quarter to escape 52-45. Quarterback Cameron Ward was brilliant once again by throwing for four scores, and running back Damien Martinez ran for 89 yards to power a ground game that churned out 219 overall.6. Penn State (6-0)Week 8 Result: Bye WeekThe Nittany Lions were off last Saturday and return to action this Saturday at Wisconsin. Penn State had a week to recover following an epic win over USC on the road the other weekend. The Nittany Lions head to Madison against a surging Wisconsin team this coming weekend though. Drew Allar had his best performance against the Trojans, throwing for a career high 391 yards, but did have three interceptions. As long as Penn State limits the turnovers, it should be a win over the Badgers next Saturday. After the showdown in Madison, Penn State returns home to play Ohio State on Nov. 2. 7. LSU (6-1)Week 8 Result: Defeated ArkansasPlaying a rivalry game against Arkansas a week after an overtime win at Ole Miss was a dangerous spot for the Bayou Bengals. LSU beat Arkansas for the eighth time in nine years and improved to 6-1 on the season. It’s now six wins in a row for the Tigers as we head into the latter half of the year. Instead of a letdown, coach Brian Kelly's team handled the Razorbacks in a 34-10 victory. Kelly's defense continues to improve, holding Arkansas to just 277 yards and an average of two yards per carry. Next week is going to be fascinating when LSU travels to take on Texas A&M, a fellow 6-1 team and winners of six in a row. Could Brian Kelly get this LSU team to another SEC Championship Game?8. Tennessee (6-1)Week 8 Result: Defeated AlabamaTennessee didn’t look good early on after going scoreless in the first half. But they woke up and won 24-17 over Alabama to improve to 6-1 on the season. A struggling Tennessee offense came alive in the second half, scoring 24 points in the final two quarters to lift coach Josh Heupel's team to a win over Alabama. Nico Iamaleava also woke up after a dreadful first half. But this was quite the win for the Vols to take a step up in the SEC pecking order. Quarterback Nico Iamaleava (14 of 27 for 194 yards) missed a handful of throws again but made a couple of clutch passes in the second half to help the offense get on track. Additionally, Tennessee's defense limited a dynamic Crimson Tide attack to 314 total yards.9. Indiana (7-0)Week 8 Result: Defeated NebraskaThe Hoosiers crushed Nebraska 56-7 and now lead the FBS in points per game (48.7). That victory was tempered with news quarterback Kurtis Rourke (thumb) – who leads the FBS with a 188.7 passer efficiency rating –  is out indefinitely. Tayven Jackson played well in Rourke's place Saturday and will be on the spot against Washington in Week 9. The Hoosiers jump six spots after crushing Nebraska. Coach Curt Cignetti's team dominated the Cornhuskers from the opening snap, jumping out to a 28-0 lead and never taking their foot off the pedal in a 49-point victory. The offense torched a solid Nebraska defense for 7.9 yards a snap, while Indiana's defense allowed only 304 total yards. Cignetti has quickly transformed the Hoosiers into a CFB Playoff contender in his first season.10. Clemson (6-1)Week 8 Result: Defeated VirginiaClemson has won six games in a row since the season opening loss to Georgia and suddenly the Tigers look like a contender again. Does that continue as the season progresses? They’ll get a bye week fresh off another good performance from Cade Klubnik under center. That was after he threw a bad pick early in the game, but bounced back in a big way with over 300 yards and three touchdowns. Virginia tacked on 21 points in the fourth quarter to make the score respectable, but Clemson was in control most of the game for a 48-21 victory. The win gave the Tigers their sixth in a row, and quarterback Cade Klubnik was impressive once again (23 of 35 for 308 yards and three scores).11. Iowa State (7-0)Week 8 Result: Defeated UCFIowa State remained undefeated by the skin of its teeth with a 38-35 win over UCF. The Big 12 leaders still have the inside track to the conference title game with a looming date with Kansas State at the end of the year. The Cyclones kept their undefeated season alive thanks to 24 second-half points, including a touchdown with less than two minutes to go to rally to a victory over UCF. Quarterback Rocco Becht was instrumental in the comeback, passing for 274 yards and a touchdown and adding 97 yards and two more scores on the ground. The biggest concern should be the defense, which has been one of the best in the conference. They’ll have to get it right before the final stretch.12. BYU (7-0)Week 8 Result: Defeated Oklahoma StateThe Cougars are the other Big 12 team with a nine-lives to them, as they pulled out a thrilling 38-35 victory against Oklahoma State with Jake Retzlaff’s 35-yard TD pass to Darius Lassiter. The defense allowed 269 rushing yards against the Cowboys, however, and that is a real concern heading into a road test at UCF. Retzlaff will need to be more efficient and avoid turnovers here. Friday night college football delivered once again, as BYU scored a touchdown with 10 seconds left to beat Oklahoma State. The Cougars were favored by over a touchdown but struggled with turnovers (three lost) and couldn't contain the Cowboys' offense (421 yards allowed). BYU has a favorable slate remaining but three of the team's final five games come on the road.

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Celtics Repeat?

by AAA Sports

Tuesday, Oct 22, 2024

As actor George Peppard used to say at the end of A-Team episodes, “I love it when a plan comes together.”So it was last year for the Boston Celtics, who seemingly could do no wrong on the way to their record 18th championship. Two starters – Kristaps Porzingis and Jrue Holiday – fell in their laps in the off-season, the maligned bench was actually pretty good, Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown figured out a way to make themselves indefensible, and their quirky coach was somehow able to keep it all together.They laughed at teams that rested in the regular season, slammed the accelerator every night, and won 68 games – 14 more than anyone else in the East. After winning 83 percent of their games between October and mid-April, they did even better in the playoffs, losing only three of 19 games (84 percent). If you put all of their playoff losses into one series, they still would have won the title.With the new season about to start, the question now becomes: Can the Celtics become the first team since the 2018 and 2019 Golden State Warriors to win two titles in a row? Every book in existence seems to think so. Boston is anywhere from +290 to +325 to go back-to-back this year. They’ll try to do it with a deep roster that includes three Olympians (Tatum, Holiday, and Derrick White), and the Finals MVP (Brown). Even the absence of injured Porzingis for at least a few months doesn’t seem to be all that concerning.If not Boston, then who else in the East?New York (around +700 to win title) surprised everyone by snagging Karl-Anthony Towns at the expense of Julius Randle, but they don’t have anywhere near the depth of the Celtics and may get worn down over the 82-game grind.Philadelphia (around +1000 to win title) created a ton of buzz by getting Paul George to switch coasts, but George is already banged up and no one knows if he’ll be ready to go come the spring. Add in the fact that Joel Embiid has flat-out stated that he will never play in back-to-back for the rest of his career, and also that Philly can never seem to beat Boston. Then there’s Milwaukee (around +1400 to win title), a veteran team that had coaching and player assimilation issues early on in 2023-24 and never could quite figure out how Damien Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo should play together.Miami, Cleveland, and Indiana all hope to catch lightning in a bottle, but don’t appear to be much of a threat to make it through four playoff series.Books have Boston winning in the 58/59 range this season, a full 10-game drop-off from last season. They must figure that they might not get off to a fast start with Porzingis sidelined, and maybe that everything can’t possibly go as smoothly as it did a year ago. Perhaps the 3s won’t drop quite as often as they did 12 months ago. And when playoffs come around, there is little chance that they will face four teams as weak as they faced last spring – injury-riddled Miami and Cleveland, not-ready-for-prime time Indiana, and good-but-not-great Dallas.OTOH, Brown, and Tatum should have plenty of motivation after getting snubbed by the Olympics bosses. Xavier Tillman, a mid-season pickup, is a beast who should be adequate at center until Porzingis returns. The bench (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, and veteran Al Horford) can’t wait to rain more back-breaking 3s. Outside of Porzingis, they enter the season healthy.Confidence is overflowing in Boston as the Celtics try to become the first Celtics team to go back-to-back since Bill Russell player-coached them to championships in 1968 and 1969. After last season, everyone believes that they will do it again and reprise the Warriors of a half-decade ago. Can they do it? Sure. Will they do it? There don’t seem to be too many roadblocks to prevent it.

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Vegas Writer's NHL Morning Skate

by Vegas Writer

Tuesday, Oct 22, 2024

Tuesday's edition of the "Morning Skate" recaps a quiet Monday card that featured just one game. It's been a few days since we caught up, but I've got all the updated numbers for you and am looking forward to a profitable week.Let's take a look at the main highlight from Monday: Auston Matthews found the back of the net for the third straight game to lift the Toronto Maple Leafs to a 5-2 win over the visiting Tampa Bay Lightning. Matthews notched his 371st career goal and tied Alex Ovechkin for 10th most in NHL history before age 28. Through Monday's game:Favorites are 55-33, including a 30-14 run since last Tuesday.Overs are 42-40-6.Tonight's FEATURED GAME (lines courtesy DraftKings):Washington at Philadelphia (-110, 6u, -120)Alex Ovechkin is coming off his first goal of the season in a thrilling 6-5 overtime win in Jersey on Saturday. The "Great 8" is just 41 goals from breaking Wayne Gretzky’s all-time NHL record of 894. Ovechkin has 49 goals and 31 assists in 74 career games against the Flyers.If Ovi scores tonight, he'll make Philadelphia the fourth franchise against whom he's notched 50 tallies.The Flyers have opened the season 1-3-1, and the natives are already becoming restless. They opened the home portion of their schedule with a 3-0 loss to Vancouver on Saturday, following four straight season-opening road games.Washington, meanwhile, rides in on a three-game win streak and should be flying high for this Metropolitan Division clash.PREDICTION: It's easy to see the direction I was taking this, as I don't think the Flyers will be able to skate with the Capitals tonight. Washington found its stride when Vegas came to town last week and the Caps scored a 4-2 win with former Knight Logan Thompson in net. Then they beat the Western Conference-favored Dallas Stars, 3-2. Add in a win over the Devils, a team many believe can win the East, and you can see why the Caps are playing with confidence. We're getting off cheap with the Capitals here.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, NBA, NHL and UEFA Champions League Previews and Odds - 10/22/2024

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Oct 22, 2024

The Tuesday sports card features NCAAF, NBA, NHL, and UEFA Champions League action.Week 9 in NCAAF college football starts with two games between FBS opponents. Sam Houston travels to Florida International on ESPNU at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Bearkats were on a four-game winning streak before their 31-14 upset loss at home against Western Kentucky as a 1-point favorite last Wednesday. The Golden Panthers have lost four of their last five games after their 30-21 upset loss at UTEP as a 7-point favorite on Wednesday. Sam Houston is a 5.5-point road favorite, with the total set at 46 (all odds from DraftKings). Louisiana Tech hosts UTEP on the CBS Sports Network at 8:00 p.m. ET. The Bulldogs lost for the fourth time in their last five games after their 33-30 upset loss in overtime at New Mexico State as a 12-point favorite last Tuesday. The Miners ended a six-game losing streak with their upset victory against FIU last week. Louisiana Tech is a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 50.The National Basketball Association regular season tips off with two games on TNT. The Boston Celtics play at home against the New York Knicks at 7:40 p.m. ET as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 221.5. The Minnesota Timberwolves play in Los Angeles against the Lakers at 10:10 p.m. ET as a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 219.The National Hockey League has 16 games on its slate. The Philadelphia Flyers are home against the Washington Capitals on ESPN at 6:10 p.m. ET as a -120 money-line favorite with a total of 6. The Florida Panthers host the Minnesota Wild at 6:40 p.m. ET as a -148 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The New Jersey Devils play at home against the Tampa Bay Lightning at 6:55 p.m. ET as a -166 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Dallas Stars are in Buffalo to play the Sabres at 7:10 p.m. ET as a -155 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The New York Rangers visit Montreal to play the Canadiens at 7:25 p.m. ET as a -225 money-line road favorite with a total of 6. The Toronto Maple Leafs play in Columbus against the Blue Jackets at 7:40 p.m. ET as a -230 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The New York Islanders are home against the Detroit Red Wings at 7:55 p.m. ET as a -155 money-line favorite with a total of 6. The Winnipeg Jets are in St. Louis to play the Blues at 8:10 p.m. ET as a -155 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The Vancouver Canucks travel to Chicago to play the Blackhawks at 8:25 p.m. ET as a -180 money-line road favorite with a total of 6. The Colorado Avalanche play in Seattle against the Kraken on ESPN at 8:40 p.m. ET as a -122 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Nashville Predators host the Boston Bruins at 8:55 p.m. ET as a -122 money-line favorite with a total of 6. The Edmonton Oilers play at home against the Carolina Hurricanes at 9:10 p.m. ET as a -135 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Utah Hockey Club are home against the Ottawa Senators at 9:25 p.m. ET as a -112 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Calgary Flames host the Pittsburgh Penguins at 9:40 p.m. ET as a -112 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Anaheim Ducks play at home against the San Jose Sharks at 10:25 p.m. ET as a -175 money-line favorite with a total of 6. The Vegas Golden Knights are home against the Los Angeles Kings on ESPN at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -142 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. Matchday 3 in the UEFA Champions League begins with nine matches. Two matches start at 12:45 p.m. ET. AC Milan hosts Club Brugge as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. Monaco plays at home against Red Star Belgrade as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5.Seven matches conclude the UCL card at 3:00 p.m. ET. Paris Saint-Germain is home against PSV Eindhoven as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. Juventus hosts Stuttgart as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Arsenal plays at home against Shakhtar Donetsk as a -2.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. Aston Villa is home against Bologna on the CBS Sports Network as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Girona hosts Slovan Bratislava as a -2.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. Sporting Lisbon is at Sturm Graz as a -1.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Real Madrid plays at home against Borussia Dortmund as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. All nine Champions League matches are available on Paramount+.

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NHL Off the Post: October 21st

by Sean Murphy

Monday, Oct 21, 2024

We're two weeks into the 2024-25 NHL season so it's a good time to take stock of what we've seen so far and what to expect moving forward. Here's a look at some news and notes to consider in your daily handicapping.Bad Hab-itsSince turning heads with a 1-0 victory in their season-opener against the rival Maple Leafs, the Canadiens have fallen on hard times. They enter Tuesday's matchup with the Rangers 1-3-1 over tehir last five games. As expected, scoring has been a problem as the Habs young core has produced a grand total of 15 goals over their last five games. On a positive note, goaltender Sam Montembeault has shown plenty of promise, recording a 2.30 goals against average and .932 save percentage in four appearances. We've yet to see Montreal post consecutive 'over' results this season and that's a trend that may be worth banking on in the coming week (it is coming off an 'over' on Long Island on Saturday).Royal treatmentThe Kings are down to the final game of their season-opening seven-game road trip that has taken them to the east coast and back. So far, so good as Los Angeles is 3-1-2 heading into Tuesday's showdown with the Golden Knights in Las Vegas. Interestingly, the reason behind the lengthy road trip out of the gate was scheduled renovations of the Kings dressing room. Those plans were postponed until next year on short notice so you could say the trip was all for nothing. The good news is, Los Angeles will benefit from playing 21 of its final 32 regular season contests on home ice. Their next trip east of the central time zone won't happen until the second week of December.Flying highTake a look at most power rankings and you'll find the Jets sitting on top. Whether that's valid or not remains to be seen but for now Winnipeg is undefeated at 5-0. Things will get a little tougher this week as the Jets head out on the road to face the Blues, Kraken and Flames in a five-night stretch. Some offensive regression is to be expected after Winnipeg scored a whopping 14 goals in consecutive regulation time wins over the Sharks and Penguins this past week. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck has posted a stellar 1.25 GAA and .952 SV% in four starts.Predators or prey?Nashville made arguably the biggest offseason splash in the free agent market but its moves haven't paid immediate dividends as it has gone winless through five games (the lowly Sharks are the NHL's only other remaining winless team). It's far too early to push the panic button as the Preds have opened with a fairly difficult schedule and that should ease up in the coming weeks with five of their next seven contests coming on home ice and two of their next three against the Blackhawks and Blue Jackets. Of note, free agent acquisition Steven Stamkos has recorded just one goal (and no assists) through five games.Frozen FrenzyTuesday's NHL slate will feature all 32 teams in action for the annual 'Frozen Frenzy' fuelled by the league's television partners. The first game goes off the board at 6 pm et with the Capitals visiting the Flyers and the night wraps up with the Kings and Golden Knights doing battle at 11 pm et. Just in case you're wondering why there's only a single game on the Monday and Wednesday boards, there's your answer. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NHL and EPL Previews and Odds - 10/21/2024

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Oct 21, 2024

 The Monday sports card features NFL, NHL, and EPL action. Week 7 in the NFL concludes with two games. The Baltimore Ravens travel to Tampa Bay to play the Buccaneers on ESPN at 8:15 p.m. ET.  The Ravens are on a four-game winning streak after their 30-23 win against Washington as a 7-point favorite last Sunday. The Buccaneers won for the second time in their last three games with their 51-27 victory at New Orleans as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday. Baltimore is a 3-point road favorite with the total set at 50.The Los Angeles Chargers travel to Arizona to play the Cardinals on ESPN+ at 9:00 p.m. ET. The Chargers ended a two-game losing streak with a 23-16 win at Denver as a 3-point favorite last Sunday. The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games after their 34-13 loss at Green Bay on Sunday. Los Angeles is a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 44. The National Hockey League has one game on its slate. The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Tampa Bay Lightning at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Maple  Leafs had won three games in a row before a 4-1 loss against the New York Rangers on Saturday. Toronto is a -142 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5.Matchweek 8 in the English Premier League concludes with one match on the USA Network. Nottingham Forest plays at home against Crystal Palace as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NHL, MLB and EPL Previews and Odds - 10/20/2024

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Oct 20, 2024

The Sunday sports card features NFL, MLB, NHL, and EPL action. Week 7 in the NFL continues with 12 games. The Jacksonville Jaguars are the technical home team against the New England Patriots on the NFL Network at 9:30 p.m. ET at Wembley Stadium in London, England. The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite with the total set at 42 (all odds from DraftKings). Seven NFL games kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Indianapolis Colts play at home against the Miami Dolphins as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 43.5. The Minnesota Vikings are home against the Detroit Lions as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 50.5. The Green Bay Packers host the Houston Texans as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 48.5. The Philadelphia Eagles travel to New York to play the Giants as a 3-point road favorite with a total of 42.5. The Buffalo Bills play at home against the Tennessee Titans as a 9-point favorite with an over/under of 41. The Cincinnati Bengals play in Cleveland against the Browns as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 41.5. The Atlanta Falcons are home against the Seattle Seahawks as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 52. Three NFL games start during the second window of afternoon games. Two NFL games start at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Washington Commanders host the Carolina Panthers as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 51.5. The Los Angeles Rams play at home against the Las Vegas Raiders as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 43.5. The San Francisco 49ers are home against the Kansas City Chiefs at 4:25 p.m. ET as a 2-point favorite with a total of 47. The New York Jets are in Pittsburgh to play the Steelers on NBC at 8:20 p.m. ET for Sunday Night Football. The Jets are a 2-point road favorite with an over/under of 39. Major League Baseball continues the best-of-seven league championship round of the playoffs with Game 6 of the NLCS. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the New York Mets on FS1 at 8:08 p.m. ET. The Mets come off a 12-6 victory at home in Game 5 on Friday. The Dodgers still hold a 3-2 series lead. They have yet to name their starting pitcher to go against New York’s Sean Manaea. Los Angeles is a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The National Hockey League has three games on its slate. The Winnipeg Jets play at home against the Pittsburgh Penguins at 3:10 p.m. ET as a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. Two more games complete the NHL card at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Colorado Avalanche visits San Jose to play the Sharks as a -258 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Los Angeles Kings play in Anaheim against the Ducks as a -185 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.Matchweek 8 in the English Premier League continues with two matches on the USA Network. Manchester City is at Wolverhampton at 9:00 a.m. ET as a -1.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 3.5. Liverpool are home against Chelsea at 11:30 a.m. ET as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5.

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Vegas Writer's NHL Morning Skate

by Vegas Writer

Saturday, Oct 19, 2024

Saturday's edition of the "Morning Skate" recaps a three-game card that included a game where three players notched their first career four-point games as the Winnipeg Jets extended their franchise-record season-opening winning streak.Heading into Saturday, we still have three unbeaten teams: Calgary (4-0-0), Winnipeg (4-0-0) and Tampa Bay (3-0-0). Only one was in action last night, as the Jets torched the San Jose Sharks in an 8-3 blowout.Let's take a look at the main highlight from Friday: Cole Perfetti (2 goals, 2 assists), Vladislav Namestnikov (1 goal, 3 assists) and Neal Pionk (1 goa1, 3 assists) posted single-game career highs for points as the Jets continued their offensive tear. Winnipeg has outscored opponents by a combined 18-5 margin through their first four games and now lead the NHL with a +13 goal differential. Through the first 10 nights:Favorites are 45-26, including a 20-7 run since Tuesday.Overs are 34-32-5.Tonight's FEATURED GAME (lines courtesy DraftKings):Edmonton at Dallas (-110, 6o, -115)Edmonton visits the Dallas Stars in a rematch of the 2024 Western Conference Final in which the Oilers advanced to the Stanley Cup Final after six games.That series opened with a double-overtime winner from Connor McDavid and closed with an emotional 2-1 Oilers Game 6 victory that saw McDavid open the scoring and then assist on the series-clinching goal. McDavid led all players in the series with 3 goals and 7 assists in six games played.Edmonton has won three straight from Dallas, and six of the last 10, while the guest has won five of the last nine meetings between these Western Conference rivals.PREDICTION: As contentious as this rivalry can be, and the fact five of the last seven meetings have stayed under, I can see how this final tally could stay low. Dallas comes into this one ranked 27th in the league with 2.60 goals-for-per-game, while Edmonton ranks 30th with 2.2 gpg.

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