Winnipeg Jets vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/06/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Mar 05, 2025
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 6, 2025
Venue:  Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA 
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Jets -155, Flyers +130; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Jets -155, Flyers +130; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Jets -155, Flyers +130; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Winnipeg Jets:  42-16-4 (1st place, Central Division)
Philadelphia Flyers:  27-27-8 (7th place, Metropolitan Division)

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Recent Form
Winnipeg Jets:  7-2-1 last 10
Philadelphia Flyers:  4-4-2 last 10



Winnipeg Jets vs Philadelphia Flyers Preview and Analysis


The Jets are entering this game with 88 points, a 42-16-4 record overall, and they are 19-11-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New York Islanders in their last game, losing that one on the road 3-2. Josh Morrissey and Nikolaj Ehlers each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Kyle Connor led the team in assists with 2 while Nikolaj Ehlers led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Connor Hellebuyck was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 29 shots with 26 saves and a .896 save percentage. Their offense has scored 216 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 146 goals against them allowing 2.4 goals per game.


The Flyers are entering this game with 62 points, a 27-27-8 record overall, and they are 15-14-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Calgary Flames in their last game, losing that one at home 6-3. Andrei Kuzmenko, Noah Cates, and Sean Couturier each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Andrei Kuzmenko, Bobby Brink, Tyson Foerster, and Matvei Michkov each led the team in assists with 1 while Matvei Michkov led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Samuel Ersson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 5 shots with 2 saves and a .400 sv percentage before getting replaced by Ivan Fedotov who allowed 2 goals on 27 shots with 25 saves and a .926 save percentage. Their offense has scored 183 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 208 goals against them allowing 3.4 goals per game.


Jets vs Flyers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Jets listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jets have looked great in their games this season with their 42-16-4 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have also been a good road team this year with their 19-11-0 road record. Meanwhile, the Flyers haven't looked good in their games this season with their 27-27-8 record overall which has them right near the bottom of their division in the East. They still have the potential to make the playoffs since they are only a few points away from a Wild Card spot, but they have a lot of work to do to get there and they haven't even been that great on their home ice this year with their 15-14-1 home record. They were on a bit of a hot streak coming out of the All-Star break, but now they have lost that momentum as they are coming off a 6-3 loss to the Flames at home in their last one, and they are only 4-4-2 in their last 10 games too. The Jets are coming off a loss to the Islanders in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back in this one and they have still been hot lately as they are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. The Jets lost a tight game to the Islanders so they will bring their best effort to bounce back here, and they can take advantage of the Flyers now that they have lost their momentum. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jets to win this game. 

Jets Flyers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, March 6, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Jets 4 Flyers 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Winnipeg Jets: 142-94 (+26 units) on the moneyline in all games. 106-50 (+25.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 74-41 (+8.8 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 68-39 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record. 39-12 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive unders.

Philadelphia Flyers: 96-130 (-17.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 58-99 (-11.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog. 42-70 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 30-18 UNDER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more. 14-8 UNDER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 goals/game or less.

Key Injuries


Winnipeg Jets:  R. Kupari (C) Day To Day - Undisclosed. D. Samberg (D) Out - Personal.

Philadelphia Flyers:  G. Hathaway (RW) Day To Day - Upper-body. R. Ellis (D) Out - Back.


Notable Quotes


“Our pace and our pressure was back to what it was when it’s at its best. We’re in the funk right now when it comes to scoring goals. And teams go through these. But at the end of the day, I like that effort. Just stick with it. Like the power play, it’ll get answered.” - Scott Arniel after his team’s loss against the Islanders in their game on Tuesday.


"I'd like to have that one back. I think we get it 3-2, you need to play at 3-2 for a while, but they come right back. It just ends up being a hill." - John Tortorella after his team’s loss against the Flames in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Winnipeg Jets
LW Kyle Connor
C Mark Scheifele
RW Gabriel Vilardi
LD Josh Morrissey
RD Dylan Demelo
G Connor Hellebuyck

Philadelphia Flyers
LW Tyson Foerster
C Noah Cates
RW Bobby Brink
LD Cameron York
RD Travis Sanheim
G Samuel Ersson

Statistical Leaders


Winnipeg Jets
Points: K. Connor (76)
Goals: M. Scheifele (34)
Assists: K. Connor (45)
GAA: C. Hellebuyck (2.01)

Philadelphia Flyers
Points: T. Konecny (63)
Goals: T. Konecny (22)
Assists: T. Konecny (41)
GAA: S. Ersson (2.91)

Coaches:
Winnipeg Jets: Scott Arniel (1st season)
Philadelphia Flyers: John Tortorella (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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