Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/17/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, May 17, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ABC, ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Jets +130, Stars -155; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Jets +130, Stars -155; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Jets +125, Stars -150; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Winnipeg Jets:  56-22-4 (1st place, Central Division)

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Winnipeg Jets:  4-6-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10

The Jets are entering the playoffs with 116 points, a 56-22-4 record overall, and they were 26-15-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one at home 4-0. Nikolaj Ehlers led the team in goals scored with 2 while Vladislav Namestnikov and Mark Scheifele each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Kyle Connor and Neal Pionk each led the team in assists with 2 while Nikolaj Ehlers led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Connor Hellebuyck was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 22 shots with 22 saves and a 1.000 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 191 goals against them allowing 2.3 goals per game.

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 28-10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Winnipeg Jets in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-0. No one on the team scored a goal for them or recorded an assist in that one. Miro Heiskanen and Mikko Rantanen each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 34 shots with 31 saves and a .912 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Jets and the 2nd seeded Stars from the Central Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Stars are leading this series 3-2 after the Jets won game 5 at home. The Jets made it a 3-2 series lead for the Stars with a 4-0 win over the Stars in the 5th game of this series and the Jets looked great in those games. They are coming off a 4-0 win in game 5 and have now won 2 home games in a row by scores of 4-0, but the problem is they have 2 road losses in between those wins. The Jets have looked a lot better on home ice in these playoffs and they have looked like a completely different team in their road games. Their offense has been a lot weaker as they haven't been scoring as many goals in their road games and their goaltending has been much worse too. They haven't won a road game in the playoffs yet and they are even coming off a 7 game series in the last round so they had 3 opportunities to win on the road and couldn't, now they come into Dallas facing elimination with a 0-5 road record in these playoffs. The Stars have been starting to roll in these playoffs as they are still playing with the momentum from their big series win over the Avalanche in the last round. They had a set back in game 5 on the road with the Jets in a desperate situation, but the Stars will bounce back on home ice to close out this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Jets Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, May 17, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Jets 1.

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Winnipeg Jets: 28-14 (+8.9 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 39-29 (+14.1 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 38-30 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game. 24-12 UNDER off a home win against a division rival.

Dallas Stars: 46-40 (-12.3 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 83-82 (-15 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 97-85 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 8-4 UNDER when leading in a playoff series. 

Winnipeg Jets:  None.

Dallas Stars:  N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

“Our guys, you could feel it, you could hear it, from this morning to tonight, guys just knowing they had to be at their best tonight. I think we’ve done a good job of putting stuff behind us and focusing on what the next challenge is. Whether that was going from the last game to tonight’s game or whether that was going from your first shift in the first period to your third shift in the second period, it was being consistent and doing those things that are going to help us have success. Guys just recognized they have a job to do, and they went out and did it.” - Scott Arniel after his team’s win against the Stars in game 5 of this series on Thursday.

“Listen, they won the Presidents’ Trophy, right? That’s a really good team. We do have a great opportunity to go home and win this at home. We did what we had to do, which is win one game in here (Game 1) in order to give us this opportunity of this elimination game (on home ice), and if not, we’ll have to come back in here and win another one.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Jets in game 5 of this series on Thursday.

LW Kyle Connor

C Mark Scheifele

RW Gabriel Vilardi

LD Josh Morrissey

RD Dylan Demelo

G Connor Hellebuyck

LW Mikael Granlund

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Thomas Harley

RD Miro Heiskanen

G Jake Oettinger

Points: K. Connor (97)

Goals: K. Connor (41)

Assists: K. Connor (56)

GAA: C. Hellebuyck (2.00)

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Coaches:

Winnipeg Jets: Scott Arniel (1st season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)