Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/13/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, May 12, 2025
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, May 13, 2025
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Jets +124, Stars -148; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Jets +125, Stars -150; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Jets +125, Stars -150; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Winnipeg Jets:  56-22-4 (1st place, Central Division)
Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Winnipeg Jets:  5-5-0 last 10
Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10



Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Preview and Analysis


The Jets are entering the playoffs with 116 points, a 56-22-4 record overall, and they were 26-15-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-2. Kyle Connor and Nino Niederreiter each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Colin Miller, Josh Morrissey, and Gabriel Vilardi each led the team in assists with 1 while Kyle Connor led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Connor Hellebuyck was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 26 shots with 21 saves and a .808 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 191 goals against them allowing 2.3 goals per game.


The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 28-10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Winnipeg Jets in their last game, winning that one at home 5-2. Mikko Rantanen, Thomas Harley, Roope Hintz, Wyatt Johnston, and Alexander Petrovic each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mikko Rantanen, Mikael Granlund, and Sam Steel each led the team in assists with 2 while Thomas Harley led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 25 shots with 23 saves and a .920 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


Jets vs Stars Prediction

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Jets and the 2nd seeded Stars from the Central Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Stars are leading the series 2-1 after winning game 3 at home. The Stars took a 2-1 series lead with a 5-2 win over the Jets in the 3rd game of this series and once again the Jets had a terrible game on the road. The Jets were terrible on the road in the last series as they lost all 3 road games against the Blues, and that trend has continued into this series as they have now lost all 4 road games in the playoffs. Their goaltending has been terrible in these games too as they have been giving up a ton of goals in their road games, a lot more than they have been giving up at home. The Stars didn't get off to a great start in the playoffs as they lost their first home game to the Avalanche in the last series, but they are undefeated on home ice since that 1st playoff game and they have looked a lot better in those games lately too. The Stars have been rolling on home ice lately, their offense is scoring more goals and their defense has looked a lot better too. The Jets have looked like a completely different team in their road games in the playoffs and the Stars can take advantage of that after a big home win to give themselves the edge coming into this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Jets Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, May 13, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Stars 5 Jets 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Winnipeg Jets: 161-105 (+30.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 38-28 (+14.1 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 92-63 (+25.7 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 32-22 UNDER off a road loss. 

Dallas Stars: 45-40 (-13.3 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 15-20 (-17.3 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 82-81 (-15 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 50-26 UNDER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more.

Key Injuries


Winnipeg Jets:  L. Stanley (D) Day To Day - Undisclosed.

Dallas Stars:  M. Heiskanen (D) Day To Day - Knee. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.


Notable Quotes


“I thought we played a heck of a hockey game. [I] thought we played a really strong game.” - Scott Arniel after his team’s loss against the Stars in game 3 of this series on Sunday.


“It's the best performance I've got to witness, standing where I'm standing with a guy on my team for this extended period. But you know, for me, he's just getting started. He's just warming up here. I think he's on a mission.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Jets in game 3 of this series on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Winnipeg Jets
LW Kyle Connor
C Mark Scheifele
RW Gabriel Vilardi
LD Josh Morrissey
RD Dylan Demelo
G Connor Hellebuyck

Dallas Stars
LW Mikael Granlund
C Roope Hintz
RW Mikko Rantanen
LD Esa Lindell
RD Cody Ceci
G Jake Oettinger

Statistical Leaders


Winnipeg Jets
Points: K. Connor (97)
Goals: K. Connor (41)
Assists: K. Connor (56)
GAA: C. Hellebuyck (2.00)

Dallas Stars
Points: M. Rantanen (88)
Goals: J. Robertson (35)
Assists: M. Rantanen (56)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Coaches:
Winnipeg Jets: Scott Arniel (1st season)
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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