by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 15, 2024
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 16, 2024
Venue: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: WSU -11, UNM +11; Over/Under: 72 points
Bet365: Point Spread: WSU -10.5, UNM +10.5; Over/Under: 71.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: WSU -10.5, UNM +10.5; Over/Under: 71.5 points
Season Record
Washington State Cougars: 8-1 (0-0) (Pac-12)
New Mexico Lobos: 4-6 (3-3) (6th place, MWC)
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Recent Form
Washington State Cougars: won their last game at home against the Utah State Aggies 49-28.
New Mexico Lobos: won their last game on the road against the San Diego State Aztecs 21-16.
Washington State Cougars vs New Mexico Lobos Preview and Analysis
Washington State is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Utah State 49-28. John Mateer was the starting QB and he completed 18/24 passes for 179 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Wayshawn Parker led the team in rushing yards with 149 and 2 TDs. Kyle Williams led the receivers with 55 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 3 TDs. Taariq Al-Uqdah led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while David Gusta led the defense in sacks with 1. Kapena Gushiken came away with the only interception for them in that one.
New Mexico is entering this game with a 4-6 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their conference games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against San Diego State 21-16. Devon Dampier was the starting QB and he completed 16/24 passes for 175 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Eli Sanders led the team in rushing yards with 173 and 2 TDs. Ryan Davis led the receivers with 47 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Randolph Kpai led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Randolph Kpai and Moso'oipala Tuitele each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Washington State vs New Mexico Prediction
The current betting odds have Washington State listed as an 11 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Washington State has looked great in their games this season with their 8-1 record overall which has them as a ranked team. They haven't really been playing any conference games since there are only 2 teams left in their conference this season, but they have looked great lately. Their only loss this season was to Boise State and that is going to hurt their chances of making the CFP, but they are coming off a big win in their last one and have been blowing out some teams lately. Meanwhile, New Mexico hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 4-6 record overall and their 3-3 conference record which has them lower in the Mountain West and not really a threat to make the championship game. They have also looked worse in their home games this year with their 1-3 home record. They are coming off a nice road win over San Diego State in their last one and they haven't really been getting blown out in their losses lately, but their defense has been giving up a ton of points all season and they have struggled a lot more against some of the better teams they have faced. New Mexico will put up some points here since WSU hasn't been great on defense themselves, but New Mexico isn't going to stop this Wazzu offense either and Washington State will eventually pull away in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Washington State to cover the spread in this game.
Washington State New Mexico Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 16, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Washington State 49 New Mexico 31.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Washington State Cougars: 6-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 9-3 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 7-2 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 6-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. 4-1 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 rushing yards/game or more.
New Mexico Lobos: 1-4 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 3-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 1-7 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 22-12 OVER in all lined games. 9-2 OVER as a home underdog. 13-3 OVER after playing their last game on the road.
Key Injuries
Washington State Cougars: W. Parker (RB) Probable - Undisclosed. T. Shackelford (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Dollar (TE) Out - Undisclosed. D. Paine (RB) Out - Knee.
New Mexico Lobos: J. Jacobs (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Wysong (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Morgan (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“When you have a dynamic offense, sometimes you've got to take your turn, and it was Kyle’s night. Kris Hutson has had his night, and Carlos has made some big plays and Wayshawn, that’s part of being a mature offense.” - Jake Dickert after his team’s win against USU in their last game.
“Washington State’s a good team. They’re, just no offense to anyone, they’re the next team that we play to improve our program. And I know you’ve heard me say that before, and you’re probably like, when is that going to change? Never. It’s the next game for our team to improve. Ranked? Really cool. Their record? Awesome.” - Bronco Mendenhall on his team’s upcoming game against Wazzu this week.
Starting Lineups
Washington State Cougars
WR Williams, Kyle
WR Hutson, Kris
WR Meredith, Josh
TE Mathers, Cooper
QB Mateer, John
RB Parker, Wayshawn
New Mexico Lobos
WR Medford, Caleb
WR Davis, Ryan
WR Wysong, Luke
TE Bruckler, Trace
QB Dampier, Devon
RB Sanders, Eli
Statistical Leaders
Washington State Cougars
Passing: J. Mateer (2332)
Rushing: J. Mateer (630)
Receiving: K. Williams (691)
Touchdowns: J. Mateer (11)
New Mexico Lobos
Passing: D. Dampier (2418)
Rushing: D. Dampier (872)
Receiving: L. Wysong (700)
Touchdowns: D. Dampier (13)
Coaches:
Washington State Cougars: Jake Dickert (4th season)
New Mexico Lobos: Bronco Mendenhall (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
