Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 3, 2023
Venue: Petersen Events Center, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch: ACC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UVA -4.5, Pitt +4.5; Over/Under: 129.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UVA -4.5, Pitt +4.5; Over/Under: 129.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UVA -4.5, Pitt +4.5; Over/Under: 129.5 points
Season Record
Virginia Cavaliers: 10-2 (2-1) (4th place, ACC)
Pittsburgh Panthers: 10-4 (3-0) (3rd place, ACC)
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Recent Form
Virginia Cavaliers: 3-2 last 5
Pittsburgh Panthers: 4-1 last 5
Virginia Cavaliers vs Pittsburgh Panthers Preview and Analysis
Virginia is coming into this game with a 10-2 record overall and they are 2-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 2-1 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Albany Great Danes and the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in their last game. Kihei Clark led the team in points in that game with 15 while Jayden Gardner was next on the team with 14 points. Kihei Clark led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Ben Vander Plas led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 47.4% from the field, 45.5% from 3-point range, and 62.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 70.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 58.3 PPG against them. Virginia has an ATS record of 4-8 this season and their O/U record is 6-6.
Pittsburgh is coming into this game with a 10-4 record overall and they are 7-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 3-0 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Sacred Heart Pioneers, the North Florida Ospreys, the Syracuse Orange, and the North Carolina Tar Heels in their last game. Jamarius Burton led the team in points in that game with 31 while Fede Federiko was next on the team with 7 points. Nelly Cummings led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jalen Wilson led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 46% from the field, 20% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.9 PPG against them. Pittsburgh has an ATS record of 10-3-1 this season and their O/U record is 9-5.
Virginia vs Pittsburgh Prediction
The current betting odds have Pittsburgh listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Pittsburgh has been having a very good season so far as they are 10-4 this year but they have shown up in the games that matter most as they are undefeated in conference play through 3 games. They have been a really good home team all year too with a 7-1 record in their home games and they are one of the best ATS teams in the country right now with a 10-3-1 ATS record. Virginia has also been having a great year as they are 10-2 but they have been starting to falter in their games lately as those 2 losses have come within their last 5 games. They are 2-1 on the road this year but they are also 2-1 in their conference games meaning they have already lost to another ACC team and could be at risk of losing on the road here in a very tough environment to play in. Virginia is not a team that scores a lot of points either as they try to win games with their defensive play so they are not going to pull away early in this game and Pittsburgh will be able to stick around with a chance to pull off the upset at home. The best way to place a bet here is on Pittsburgh to cover the spread in this game.
Virginia Pittsburgh Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 3, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Pittsburgh 67 Virginia 64.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Virginia Cavaliers: 11-21 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. 3-10 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite. 14-7 OVER in a road game where the total is 129.5 or less.
Pittsburgh Panthers: 10-2 ATS in all games. 8-1 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 7-1 OVER as an underdog.
Key Injuries
Virginia Cavaliers: None.
Pittsburgh Panthers: J. Hugley IV (F) Out indefinitely - Personal. W. Jeffress (F) out for season - Toe. V. Stevenson (F) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. D. Johnson (G) Out indefinitely - Suspension.
Notable Quotes
"I was hoping since we had four days off after the Miami game, and I was hoping that that would really... because he played in Houston and the Miami game and did a good job for the most part and wasn't 100%," said Bennett on Wednesday night. "But we need Reese as close to 100% as possible. I think it's improving and just didn't feel quite right. We decided let's give him a full week and then reevaluate. So that'll be you know, obviously the four days from the Miami game and now it's been three days so it's been seven days and let's just see where he's at. And I hope hopefully this will just try to get you over the hump. As I told you last time, you know, a hamstring, polar, different things can take a little while so we've got to be as smart as we can and, and just respond and read how he's feeling and keep giving great rehab and then rest. So this will be a good seven day period. And we'll reevaluate and hopefully he'll be good to go, but you know it always be what's best for him." - Tony Bennett on the injury status of Reece Beekman.
“Jamarius was unbelievable through the whole game. We rode him. He carried us. He made big plays. He defended. Just an unbelievable performance.” - Jeff Capel on Jamarius Burton after his team’s win against UNC in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Virginia Cavaliers
R. Beekman
K. Clark
A. Franklin
J. Gardner
K. Shedrick
Pittsburgh Panthers
J. Burton
N. Cummings
G. Elliott
F. Federiko
B. Hinson
Statistical Leaders
Virginia Cavaliers
PPG: J. Gardner (12)
APG: K. Clark (5.8)
Reb/G: J. Gardner (5.7)
Pittsburgh Panthers
PPG: B. Hinson (17.1)
APG: N. Cummings (4.9)
Reb/G: B. Hinson (7.3)
Coaches:
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett (14th season)
Pittsburgh Panthers: Jeff Capel III (5th season)