Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/12/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Monday, May 12, 2025

Venue:  Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights +105, Oilers -125; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights +110, Oilers -130; Over/Under:  7 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights +105, Oilers -125; Over/Under:  7 goals

Vegas Golden Knights:  50-22-10 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Edmonton Oilers:  48-29-5 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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Vegas Golden Knights:  6-3-1 last 10

Edmonton Oilers:  7-3-0 last 10

The Golden Knights are entering the playoffs with 110 points, a 50-22-10 record overall, and they were 21-13-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-3. Reilly Smith led the team in goals scored with 2 while William Karlsson and Nicolas Roy each scored 1 goal for them in that one. William Karlsson, Jack Eichel, Nicolas Hague, Noah Hanifin, Keegan Kolesar, Brayden McNabb, Alex Pietrangelo, and Zach Whitecloud each led the team in assists with 1 while Tomáš Hertl led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 20 shots with 17 saves and a .850 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 275 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 219 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Oilers are entering the playoffs with 101 points, a 48-29-5 record overall, and they were 25-13-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, losing that one at home 4-3. Corey Perry led the team in goals scored with 2 while Connor McDavid scored 1 goal for them in that one. Evan Bouchard and Leon Draisaitl each led the team in assists with 2 while Connor McDavid led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 23 shots with 19 saves and a .826 save percentage. Their offense has scored 259 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 236 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Golden Knights and the 3rd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Oilers are leading this series 2-1 after the Golden Knights won game 3 on the road. The Golden Knights made it a 2-1 series lead for the Oilers with a 4-3 win over them in the 3rd game of this series and that game ended in crazy fashion. The Golden Knights scored the winning goal with less than 1 second left, and they also fought back hard after starting the game down 2-0. It looked like it was going to be another bad game for the Golden Knights when the Oilers took a 2-0 lead in game 3 as that series was starting to look like it was over, but luckily for the Golden Knights, Pickard picked up an injury in the last game so Skinner was the starting goalie and he gave the Golden Knights new life. Skinner gave up 2 quick goals to start the comeback for the Golden Knights and ended up giving up 4 goals on the night. He was also the starting goalie in the 2 games that the Oilers lost against the LA Kings in the last series. Skinner has been a big problem for the Oilers in the playoffs and it showed in game 3 as the Oilers had a chance to put this series far out of reach, but now the Golden Knights are right back in it and will be coming into this one with some momentum. Skinner can't be trusted in net for the Oilers with the 3 games he has already played in these playoffs and the Golden Knights are in the perfect situation to take advantage of a goalie not feeling great about himself. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game. 

Golden Knights Oilers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Monday, May 12, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Knights 5 Oilers 4.

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Vegas Golden Knights: 39-34 (+15.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog. 85-62 (+19 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 98-76 (+12 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 4-1 OVER when trailing in a playoff series.

Edmonton Oilers: 146-95 (-22.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 39-37 (-8.8 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 48-45 (-7.1 units) on the moneyline versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game. 35-18 OVER off a home loss.

Vegas Golden Knights:  B. Saad (LW) Day To Day - Lower body. M. Stone (RW) Day To Day - Upper-body.

Edmonton Oilers:  C. Pickard (G) Day To Day - Undisclosed. M. Ekholm (D) Out - Undisclosed. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.

“Honestly, I’ve seen (William Karlsson) use that play a few times were he forechecks and spins it out in front of the net. Jumping out from the bench, I think there was about seven seconds and I just tried to get there as fast as possible. 'Karl’ does a good job of hunting pucks and being the first on it and once it popped out, I saw a lot of guys sell out, so I just hoped I had enough time to kind of pump fake and find a line and it worked out. I think if I try to shoot that, it’s getting stopped if not by the first guy or the second guy or the goalie. Sometimes you just hope for the best and that one seemed to work out, thankfully I had enough time.” - Reilly Smith after their win against the Oilers in game 3 of this series on Saturday.

“The game-winning goal, we’re in good position. Really, it’s a 1-on-3, he dumps the puck in, they retrieve it. We’re playing a little desperate to try and block a shot. They make a play and unfortunately that’s the end of it. Everyone on the ice is in desperation mode, selling out to make that last save. Unfortunately, there was an extra 0.4 seconds on the clock to make that play happen.” - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s loss against the Golden Knights in game 3 of this series on Saturday.

LW Ivan Barbashev

C Jack Eichel

RW Mark Stone

LD Brayden McNabb

RD Shea Theodore

G Adin Hill

LW Leon Draisaitl

C Connor McDavid

RW Corey Perry

LD Darnell Nurse

RD Evan Bouchard

G Stuart Skinner

Points: J. Eichel (94)

Goals: P. Dorofeyev (35)

Assists: J. Eichel (66)

GAA: A. Schmid (1.26)

Points: L. Draisaitl (106)

Goals: L. Draisaitl (52)

Assists: C. McDavid (74)

GAA: C. Pickard (2.71)

Coaches:

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (3rd season)

Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)