Vanderbilt Commodores vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/31/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jan 30, 2023
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Tuesday, January 31, 2023
Venue:  Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
Where to Watch:  SEC Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +13.5, Alabama -13.5; Over/Under:  154.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +13.5, Alabama -13.5; Over/Under:  154.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +13.5, Alabama -13.5; Over/Under:  154.5 points

Season Record

Vanderbilt Commodores:  10-11 (3-5) (10th place, SEC)
Alabama Crimson Tide:  18-3 (8-0) (1st place, SEC)

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Recent Form
Vanderbilt Commodores:  2-3  last 5
Alabama Crimson Tide:  4-1  last 5


Vanderbilt Commodores vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview and Analysis


Vanderbilt is coming into this game with a 10-11 record overall and they are 2-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 3-5 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Kentucky Wildcats and the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game. Myles Stute led the team in points in that game with 22 while Jordan Wright was next on the team with 15 points. Ezra Manjon led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Quentin Millora-Brown led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 39.7% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 71.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.6 PPG against them. Vanderbilt has an ATS record of 10-11 this season and their O/U record is 11-10.


Alabama is coming into this game with an 18-3 record overall and they are 10-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 8-0 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. Rylan Griffen led the team in points in that game with 15 while Jahvon Quinerly was next on the team with 12 points. Brandon Miller led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Noah Clowney led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 37.9% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 61.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.9 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 12-8-1 this season and their O/U record is 11-10.



Vanderbilt vs Alabama Prediction

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama enters this game as one of the highest ranked teams in the country with their 18-3 record overall and they have been great in the SEC too with their perfect 8-0 conference record. They have been great at home all year too with their perfect 10-0 home record but they just lost their last game to Oklahoma and it was a very big loss by over 20 points. They are going to be angry in this game and looking to bounce back on their home court against a team they just beat on the road by double digits a few weeks ago. Vanderbilt has been terrible this year with their 10-11 record overall as they are struggling to even stay above .500, but they have also been bad against SEC opponents with their 3-5 conference record. They have also been bad in road games as they are 2-4 and they have lost 2 games in a row entering this one too. Alabama is just on a different level than Vanderbilt and Vandy could already barely keep up with them at home a few weeks ago, now Alabama is coming off a huge loss and are going to be looking to lay a beating on the next team they see. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game.

Vanderbilt Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 31, 2023 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Alabama 86 Vanderbilt 64.
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NCAAB Betting Trends


Vanderbilt Commodores: 10-2 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points. 21-8 ATS in road games. 11-2 OVER as an underdog of 10 or more points. 
Alabama Crimson Tide: 14-30 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 10-26 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more. 21-13 OVER after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite.

Key Injuries


Vanderbilt Commodores:  M. Keeffe (G) Out indefinitely - Illness. L. Dort (F) Late Feb - Foot.
Alabama Crimson Tide:  N. Burnett (G) Early Feb - Wrist.

Notable Quotes


"Both teams came out and competed really hard, it came down to execution. I didn't think we were great in our late game execution. That's both on both ends, offensively and they had a couple of key plays down the stretch where we didn't really get looks at the basket." - Jerry Stackhouse after his team’s loss against Texas in their last game.


“Oklahoma came ready to play, and we obviously didn’t. I told our guys coming in they had a bunch of one-possession losses. They’re much better than they’re record indicated. They were ready to go. I didn’t think we were. They jumped on us from the beginning, and we never really got back in it. Shoot, from the coaching staff all the way down, they shot almost 70 percent from three. They were at 70 percent one point. We didn’t shoot it well, they shot it great. A lot of that’s due to their defense and our defense both. Give them open shots, they’ve gonna make them.” - Nate Oats after his team’s loss against Oklahoma in their last game.


Starting Lineups


Vanderbilt Commodores
T. Lawrence 
Q. Millora-Brown 
C. Smith 
M. Stute 
T. Thomas

Alabama Crimson Tide
C. Bediako 
J. Bradley 
N. Clowney 
B. Miller 
M. Sears

Statistical Leaders


Vanderbilt Commodores
PPG: L. Robbins (13.2)
APG: E. Manjon (3.1)
Reb/G: L. Robbins (5.9)

Alabama Crimson Tide
PPG: B. Miller (19)
APG: J. Bradley (3.4)
Reb/G: N. Clowney (8.5)

Coaches:
Vanderbilt Commodores: Jerry Stackhouse (4th season)
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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