by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Sunday, Nov 28, 2021
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 28, 2021
Venue: First National Bank Arena, Jonesboro, AR
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UMKC NL, Arkansas State NL; Over/Under: NL points
Bet365: Point Spread: UMKC +3, Arkansas State -3; Over/Under: 134 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UMKC NL, Arkansas State NL; Over/Under: NL points
Season Record
UMKC Roos: 3-2 (4th place, Summit League)
Arkansas State Red Wolves: 3-2 (6th place, Sun Belt)
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UMKC Roos vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
UMKC Roos: 3-2 last 5
Arkansas State Red Wolves: 3-2 last 5
UMKC Roos Analysis
Kansas City is coming into this game with a 3-2 record overall and they are 2-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 3 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Their last loss came against the Iowa Hawkeyes while their 3 straight wins came against the Missouri Tigers, the Kansas Christian College Falcons, and the Idaho State Bengals in their last game. Evan Gilyard II led the team in points in that game with 30 while Marvin Nesbitt Jr. was next on the team with 8 points. Gilyard also led the team in assists in that game with 2 while Nesbitt Jr. and Caden Boser off the bench both led the team in rebounds with 5 each. They are 48.2% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 73.6% from the free throw line with their shooting this season. Their offense is averaging 73.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64 PPG against them. UMKC has an ATS record of 2-2 this season and their O/U record is 3-1.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Analysis
Arkansas State is coming into this game with a 3-2 record overall and they are 2-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last one which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. Their 2 wins in that span came against the Central Baptist College Mustangs and the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks while their loss was against the Morehead State Eagles in their last game. Desi Sills led the team in points in that game with 15 while Marquis Eaton was next on the team with 10 points. Eaton led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Norchad Omier led the team in rebounds with 8. They are 43.3% from the field, 30% from 3-point range, and 81.4% from the free throw line with their shots this season. Their offense is averaging 74 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.5 PPG against them. Arkansas State has an ATS record of 1-2 this season and their O/U record is 1-2.
UMKC vs Arkansas State Prediction
Kansas City is coming into this game as a 3 point underdog with the current betting odds according to the bookmakers. UMKC has been the slightly better team to start the season, they are coming into this game on a winning streak while Arkansas State is coming off of a loss. Both of these teams average roughly the same on offense but UMKC has been playing better on defense and allowing less points in their games. They are also shooting much better and playing better than Arkansas State is right now. The best bet to place in this game is UMKC to cover the spread here.
UMKC Arkansas State Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, November 28, 2021 (4:00 pm ET start time) is UMKC 69 Arkansas State 66.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
UMKC Roos: 75-66 O/U in all games. 14-8 O/U in all neutral court games. 45-42 O/U when playing only their 2nd game in a week. 23-19 O/U when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. 14-8 O/U when playing on a neutral court. 29-25 O/U in non-conference games. 16-12 O/U in all tournament games.
Arkansas State Red Wolves: 59-39 O/U after a game with 9 or less assists. 210-195 O/U in all games. 83-75 O/U when playing with one or less days rest. 79-71 O/U when playing their 2nd game in 3 days. 102-61 O/U after 1 or more consecutive unders.
Key Injuries
UMKC Roos: None.
Arkansas State Red Wolves: D. Sills (G) Out indefinitely - Leg injury.
Notable Quotes
“We need to have an everyday-improvement mentality, which is what Evan has had, and it paid off.” Billy Donlon on Evan Gilyard II.
“Terrance is an ultra-quick, physical point guard. He is wise beyond his years as his basketball IQ is off the charts. His toughness and leadership are qualities you love in a point guard. Terrance can score at all three levels and is an excellent 3-point shooter. We cannot wait to get Terrance on campus next summer and in a Red Wolves uniform.” - Mike Balado on acquiring some new recruits for next year.
Starting Lineups
UMKC Roos
J. Allick
E. Gilyard
J. Johnson
A. Kopp
M. Nesbitt
Arkansas State Red Wolves
M. Eaton
C. Fields
N. Omier
D. Sills
K. Wesley
Statistical Leaders
UMKC Roos
PPG: E. Gilyard (16.8)
APG: J. Peuser (6)
Reb/G: M. Nesbitt Jr. (6.6)
Arkansas State Red Wolves
PPG: D. Sills (13)
APG: C. Fields (5.2)
Reb/G: N. Omier (8.6)
Coaches:
UMKC Roos: Billy Donlon (3rd season)
Arkansas State Red Wolves: Mike Balado (5th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
