by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 19, 2024
Game Time: 12:45 pm ET, Saturday, November 23, 2024
Venue: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UMass +42, UGA -42; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UMass +42, UGA -42; Over/Under: 55.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UMass +42.5, UGA -42.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Season Record
UMass Minutemen: 2-8 (0-0) (FBS Independent)
Georgia Bulldogs: 8-2 (6-2) (3rd place, SEC)
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Recent Form
UMass Minutemen: lost their last game at home against the Liberty Flames 35-34 in overtime.
Georgia Bulldogs: won their last game at home against the Tennessee Volunteers 31-17.
UMass Minutemen vs Georgia Bulldogs Preview and Analysis
UMass is entering this game with a 2-8 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 0-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Liberty 35-34 in OT. AJ Hairston was the starting QB and he completed 13/25 passes for 163 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jalen John led the team in rushing yards with 119 and 2 TDs. Jakobie Keeney-James led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Christian LeBrun led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Christian LeBrun and Kofi Asare each led the defense in sacks with 1. Te'Rai Powell came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Georgia is entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Tennessee 31-17. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 25/40 passes for 347 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Nate Frazier led the team in rushing yards with 68 and 1 TD. London Humphreys led the receivers with 63 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Smael Mondon Jr. and KJ Bolden each led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Chaz Chambliss led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
UMass vs Georgia Prediction
The current betting odds have Georgia listed as a 42 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Georgia has looked great in their games this season with their 8-2 record overall and their 6-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They are right in the tight playoff race and the race for the SEC Championship too. Meanwhile, UMass has looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-8 record overall which has them as one of the worst teams in the nation. They don't play in a conference and they already have 8 losses on the season so they can't become bowl eligible and really have nothing left to play for. They are also 0-5 in their road games this year and don't have the talent that a program like Georgia brings in. Georgia is going to have some momentum here coming off a win over Tennessee in their last one and this will be a nice tune up game for them before going into the final stretch of the season. UMass hasn't been putting up many points this season anyway and they aren't going to get much done against this defense while Georgia will be able to move the ball at will here. The best way to place a bet here is on Georgia to cover the spread in this game.
UMass Georgia Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 23, 2024 (12:45 pm ET start time) is Georgia 56 UMass 7.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
UMass Minutemen: 4-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 4-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 5-1 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-1 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.
Georgia Bulldogs: 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 31 or more points. 0-5 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 0-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 6-3 OVER off a home win against a conference rival. 4-1 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record.
Key Injuries
UMass Minutemen: T. Phommachanh (QB) Out - Undisclosed.
Georgia Bulldogs: D. Bell (WR) Probable - Ankle. T. Etienne (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Robinson (RB) Questionable - Leg. R. Robinson (RB) Questionable - Foot. M. Morris (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Jonah-Ajonye (DL) Out - Lower Body. C. Young (WR) Out - Suspension.
Notable Quotes
“I am extremely grateful to Coach Brown for returning to UMass three years ago to help us build back a program he once coached to a national title game. Don should have immense pride in the outstanding contributions he has made to advance Massachusetts Football during his three stops in Amherst.” - Athletic Director Ryan Bamford on the firing of head coach Don Brown.
“A week ago, we were dead and gone. People had written us off.” - Kirby Smart after his team’s win against Tennessee in their last game.
Starting Lineups
UMass Minutemen
WR Gibson, Jacquon
WR Keeney-James, Jakobie
WR Galban, Sterling
TE Mazotti, Dominick
QB Phommachanh, Taisun
RB John, Jalen
Georgia Bulldogs
WR Bell, Dillon
WR Smith, Arian
WR Lovett, Dominic
TE Delp, Oscar
QB Beck, Carson
RB Etienne, Trevor
Statistical Leaders
UMass Minutemen
Passing: T. Phommachanh (1590)
Rushing: C. Hester (400)
Receiving: J. Keeney-James (670)
Touchdowns: J. Keeney-James (4)
Georgia Bulldogs
Passing: C. Beck (2835)
Rushing: T. Etienne (475)
Receiving: A. Smith (585)
Touchdowns: T. Etienne (7)
Coaches:
UMass Minutemen: Shane Montgomery (Interim)
Georgia Bulldogs: Kirby Smart (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
