Toronto Raptors vs. New York Knicks: Prediction, Preview, Picks & Odds - 1/16/2023

by Chuck Sommers

Monday, Jan 16, 2023
Time: 3 p.m. ET
Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Where to watch: MSG, TSN

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: Knicks -3
FanDuel: Knicks -3
BetMGM: Knicks -3.5
Caesars: NL

Season record
Raptors: 19-24
Knicks: 24-19

We’re nearing the halfway mark of the season in the NBA and it’s been quite the ride so far. Al McMordie is cashing hard at 22-15-0 in the last 30 days, while Doc’s Sports has also had a strong run of form as of late at 14-10-0 (+$3,000). If they’ve been killing it as much as they were in the first half, what does the second half have in store? The only way you’re going to find out is by staying locked on bigal.com and following what our champion handicappers are up to heading into the final 41 games. Trust us, you want to know.

Raptors - Knicks preview, prediction and analysis


Recent form
Raptors: lost 114-103 vs. Hawks
Knicks: won 117-104 at Pistons

The New York Knicks are running as one of the hottest teams in the NBA, and they’ll look to go for another win when they face the Toronto Raptors at Madison Square Garden on Monday.
 
The Knicks are going for their eighth win in nine games and playing the second night of a back-to-back. New York is coming off a 117-104 win over the Detroit Pistons on Sunday on a night where Julius Randle erupted for 42 points and 15 rebounds in 40 minutes of action. Jalen Brunson added 27 points and four assists to boost his All-Star candidacy, as well.
 
This run by the Knicks has pushed them to the sixth seed in the East with plenty of room to grow. They’re two games back of the Philadelphia 76ers and Cleveland Cavaliers for fourth and fifth, respectively.
 
“I’m not sure it has anything to with Detroit,” he said. “I feel like I can get my shot away against any team."
 
Randle is playing like it, averaging 24 points and 10 rebounds this year while playing in all 43 games. If he’s not an All-Star by this time next week, it’s going to be a crime. Brunson, as well. The free agent acquisition is averaging 22 points and almost 7 assists per game. The Knicks, on their 7-1 run straight up, have also rallied to go 6-2 against the spread in those eight while being favored in the last four.
 
The Raptors are in the midst of an inconsistent season, knowing they’re playing much better than what they’ve produced so far at 19-24 this season. Their three-game winning streak ended on Saturday with a 114-103 loss to the Atlanta Hawks in which the Raptors were favored by 7.5 against the banged-up Hawks.
 
Trae Young had 29 points on 9 of 17 shooting, and Dejounte Murray had another strong all-around game with 27 points, eight rebounds and six assists in a game that was dominated by the Atlanta frontcourt. That offset a strong 27-point, 12-rebound effort from Scottie Barnes while Atlanta neutralized Pascal Siakam (15 points on 5 of 16).
 
“We’ve got a long way to go with some consistency,” Raptors coach Nick Nurse said.
 
Toronto has been stride-for-stride in terms of on-court vs. against the spread during this run of 10 games, going 4-6 in both. Of course, this is a Toronto team that has been so strong over the past few years. It’s beyond weird to see this group struggle as much as it has.
 
Prediction
 
The Knicks will benefit greatly from going back homeafter a quick two-game road trip, even if it’s a back-to-back. New York is 6-1 ATS in its last seven Monday games while the under has cashed in five of the last six Monday games. The Knicks are just the better team right now, which isn’t something I expected to say this early in 2023. Knicks 112, Raptors 100

Betting trends

Raptors are 20-24 ATS against division opponents the last three seasons.

Raptors are 9-12 ATS this season after a game they failed to cover.

Knicks are 45-23 ATS when the line is +3 and -3 the last 3 seasons.

Projected starting lineup

Raptors:
PG: Fred VanVleet
SG: Gary Trent Jr.
SF: O.G. Anunoby
PF: Scottie Barnes
C: Pascal Siakam

Knicks:
PG: Jalen Brunson
SG: Quentin Grimes
SF: RJ Barrett
PF: Julius Randle
C: Mitchell Robinson

Injury report

Raptors: 
None

Knicks: None

Statistical leaders

Raptors:
Points: Pascal Siakam – 25.7
Rebounds: Pascal Siakam – 8.2
Assists: Pascal Siakam – 6.4

Knicks:
Points: Julius Randle – 24.1
Rebounds: Julius Randle – 10.4
Assists: Jalen Brunson – 6.5

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Toronto Raptors - New York Knicks prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily NBA projections and previews.

Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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