by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Nov 15, 2021
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, November 16, 2021
Venue: Peden Stadium, Athens, OH
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Toledo -5.5, Ohio +5.5; Over/Under: 54 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Toledo -6, Ohio +6; Over/Under: 54 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Toledo -6, Ohio +6; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
Toledo Rockets: 5-5 (4th place, MAC West)
Ohio Bobcats: 3-7 (3rd place, MAC East)
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Toledo Rockets vs Ohio Bobcats Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Toledo Rockets: won on the road on Nov. 10 against the Bowling Green Falcons 49-17.
Ohio Bobcats: won on the road on Nov. 9 against the Eastern Michigan Eagles 34-26.
Toledo Rockets Analysis
Toledo is coming into this college football game with a 5-5 record overall and they are 3-2 in their road games this season where they will be playing in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 3-3 in their conference games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and they are coming into this one off of a win in their last game on Wednesday. DeQuan Finn played a great game as he completed 18/24 passes for 270 yards, 3 touchdowns and no turnovers. Bryant Koback had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 121 yards and 2 touchdowns on 19 carries while Micah Kelly had 80 yards on 10 carries. Danzel McKinley-Lewis led the receivers with 83 yards and 1 touchdown on 3 receptions while Matt Landers had 57 yards and 1 touchdown on 3 receptions. Jamal Turner caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Jonathan Jones led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Jamal Hines led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while Ronald Delancy III caught the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 326 points in their 10 games this season averaging 32.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 215 points against them allowing 21.5 PPG. The Rockets offense is averaging 424.6 YPG while the Rockets’ defense is allowing 330 YPG.
Ohio Bobcats Analysis
Ohio is coming into this FBS game with a 3-7 record overall and they are 1-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 3-3 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Kurtis Rourke played well in that game as he completed 9/17 passes for 230 yards and 3 touchdowns. De’Montre Tuggle led the team in rushing with 78 yards on 14 carries while Armani Rogers had 61 yards on 10 carries. Isiah Cox ran in the 1 TD on the ground for them in that one. Cox also led the receivers with 66 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while Cameron Odom had 66 yards and 1 touchdown on 1 reception. Tuggle caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Alvin Floyd led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 6 assisted ones. Will Evans led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 while Tariq Drake came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 238 points in their 10 games this season averaging 23.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 308 points against them allowing 30.8 PPG. Ohio’s offense is averaging 378.9 YPG while the Ohio defense is allowing 443.5 YPG.
Toledo vs Ohio Prediction
Ohio is coming into this game as a 5.5 point underdog with the latest odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams have started to play much better in their recent games with each team winning 2 of their last 3 games. Toledo has been a very inconsistent team this season, keeping games close when they should be getting blown out but then losing games outright as a massive favorite. Ohio is on a 2 game winning streak and have been playing great recently. They cannot make their title game but they can spoil any slight chances that Toledo has left with a win here. The best bet to place in this game is on Ohio to cover the spread here as they are the home team that has been playing well and Toledo has been inconsistent and is now on the road for this one.
Toledo Ohio Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Tuesday, November 16, 2021 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Ohio 24 Toledo 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Toledo betting trends: 34-24 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 142-131 ATS in all games. 39-32 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 96-73 ATS as a favorite. 33-25 ATS as a road favorite. 101-85 ATS against conference opponents.
Ohio betting trends: 89-106 O/U in all games. 9-12 O/U as a home underdog. 60-72 O/U against conference opponents. 72-86 O/U in games played on turf.
Key Injuries
Toledo Rockets: B. Mitchell (WR) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
Ohio Bobcats: J. Holloway (LS) day-to-day - Undisclosed injury. O. Allison (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed injury. K. Danneker (OL) day-to-day - Undisclosed injury. N. Sink (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. K. Thompson (LB) Out Indefinitely - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
“That’s somebody’s opinion. We feel like we’ve recruited well. I feel like we have talented guys, but you still have to play the 12 opportunities that you have each year. ... I’m glad that he has enough respect for our program to think we have a talented roster. Obviously, the football game through three quarters would have indicated that we do have a little bit of talent on our team.” - Jason Candle on Scot Loeffler calling his team the best in the MAC by far.
“Just from a play calling standpoint, we really haven't changed anything when we're calling. I think just more execution at the right time is kind of the reason for the success.” - Tim Albin on Kurtis Rourke getting into a rhythm in the offense.
Starting Lineups
Toledo Rockets
WR Newton, Jerjuan
WR Isaiah Winstead
WR Devin Maddox
TE Turner, Jamal
QB Finn, Dequan
RB Koback, Bryant
Ohio Bobcats
WR Odom, Cameron
WR Walton, Tyler
WR Cox, Isiah
TE Luehrman, Ryan
QB Rogers, Armani
RB Tuggle, De'Montre
Statistical Leaders
Toledo Rockets
Passing: D. Finn (1455)
Rushing: B. Koback (943)
Receiving: D. Maddox (502)
Touchdowns: B. Koback (9)
Ohio Bobcats
Passing: K. Rourke (1480)
Rushing: D. Tuggle (695)
Receiving: C. Odom (379)
Touchdowns: D. Tuggle (7)
Coaches:
Toledo Rockets: Jason Candle (7th season)
Ohio Bobcats: Tim Albin (1st season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
