Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/01/2025

 

Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Friday, August 1, 2025

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  Rangers Sports Network, ROOT Sports NW

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +144, Mariners -176; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +145, Mariners -175; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +145, Mariners -175; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Texas Rangers:  57-52 (3rd place, AL West)

Seattle Mariners:  57-52 (2nd place, AL West)

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Texas Rangers:  7-3 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  4-6 last 10

The Rangers are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-52 record overall and have a road record of 23-32. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Mariners on Friday with the series opener still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .680 OPS. Kumar Rocker is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Jack Leiter is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-6 with a 4.09 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 7 SO on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-52 record overall and have a home record of 28-24. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Rangers on Friday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. George Kirby is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-4 with a 3.36 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 walks with 7 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Angels.

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers have looked good in their games this season with their 57-52 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL West and in the Wild Card race. They haven't been a good road team though with their 23-32 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 57-52 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL West in the Wild Card race. They have also looked better in their own ballpark this year with their 28-24 home record. As good as the Mariners have looked this season, they have cooled off lately as they are only 4-6 in their last 10 games while the Rangers are 7-3 and have been red hot. The Rangers are going with Leiter in this one and he hasn't looked bad this season. He is 7-6 with a 4.09 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He is coming off a good start in which he only gave up 1 earned run and the team has won 3 games in a row now with him starting too. Their offense has also looked a lot better lately which is something that has been an issue for the Mariners lately. The Mariners are going with Gilbert in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 3-4 with a 3.36 ERA, but lately he hasn't looked as good. His team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he did give up 4 earned runs in his last start and has been giving up more runs lately. The Rangers can take advantage of the Mariners with their offense underperforming now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game. 

Rangers Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 1, 2025 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Rangers 4 Mariners 3.

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Texas Rangers: 107-120 (-15.3 units) on the moneyline in road games. 68-103 (-19.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 75-72 (-8.7 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 30-23 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.

Seattle Mariners: 86-55 (+15.6 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 150-113 (+12.2 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse. 97-67 (+4.9 units) on the moneyline vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season. 29-20 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200.

Texas Rangers:  J. Webb (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. C. Martin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Calf. J. Burger (1B) Ten Day IL - Quadriceps. T. Mahle (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Bradford (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Sborz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

Seattle Mariners:  L. Raley (RF) Ten Day IL - Back. B. Miller (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Santos (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. V. Robles (RF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Bliss (2B) Sixty Day IL - Biceps.

“He’s just a joy to watch. He got in some jams and he’s got such a tough makeup, has that ability to make a pitch when he has to. Congrats to him. We needed it in the worst way.” - Bruce Bochy on Nathan Eovaldi after his team’s win against the LA Angels in their game on Wednesday. 

“It was loud.” - Dan Wilson after his team’s loss against the A’s in their game on Wednesday.

Josh Smith (L) 1B

Corey Seager (L) SS

Marcus Semien (R) 2B

Adolis García (R) RF

Wyatt Langford (R) LF

Kyle Higashioka (R) DH

Evan Carter (L) CF

Josh Jung (R) 3B

Jonah Heim (S) C

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodríguez (R) CF

Cal Raleigh (S) DH

Randy Arozarena (R) LF

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Jorge Polanco (S) 2B

Mitch Garver (R) C

Dominic Canzone (L) RF

Ben Williamson (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Josh Smith (.274)

Hits:  Josh Smith (93)

Home Runs:  Wyatt Langford (15)

RBI:  Adolis García (62)

Stolen Bases:  Wyatt Langford (15)

Wins:  Jacob deGrom (10)

Saves:  Luke Jackson (9)

ERA:  Cole Winn (1.35)

Batting Average:  Dominic Canzone (.283)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (114)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (41)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (87)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodríguez (20)

Wins:  Bryan Woo (8)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (24)

ERA:  Sauryn Lao (0.00)

Managers:

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (3rd season)

Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (2nd season)